Scotland - ChampionshipSomerset ParkData current as of 08 September 2026

Ayr United vs Inverness CT: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Ayr United vs Inverness CT: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ayr United play Inverness CT in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 12 September 2026. Venue: Somerset Park.

Current form

Ayr United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Inverness CT: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ayr United scores 0.80 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Inverness CT scores 0.40 and concedes 1.20. League average: 1.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ayr United 40%, Inverness CT 40%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 0%, Inverness CT 20%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 16%.

xG, shots and style

Inverness CT has higher xG: 1.10 vs 0.87. Ayr United: 5.8 shots per match, Inverness CT: 6.8.

Match halves

Ayr United: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 0.20. Inverness CT: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.40.

Goals by minute

Ayr United: 31-45+ (3 goals). Inverness CT: 46-60 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 16%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(2.70)
(3.20)
(2.30)

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.8Goals scored / match0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1Goals conceded / match1.2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
37%Average possession57%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
2.8Shots on target / match4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

5.8Shots per match6.8
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
2.8Shots on target4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
13.8%Shot conversion5.9%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
37%Possession57%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.87xG for1.1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.26xG against0.9
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Shooting quality

Ayr United: Counter-attackingInverness CT: Balanced
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
Accuracy (shots on target)48%59%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.150.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.290.10

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ayr United is 67% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Ayr United · 0.6 pts / match - Inverness CT

Ayr United
WDLDL
Season result split
20% W40% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 at home
1-1-0
WD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 0.87Opponent xG: 1.26BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 0%
Inverness CT
DDDLL
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W60% R40% P
Season (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-3-2
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-1-1
Last 5 away
0-1-1
DL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.4Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 1.10Opponent xG: 0.90BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Ayr United is 100% better for: goals scored per match.

0.8 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.4 goals / match - Inverness CT

Ayr United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.2 goals / match - Inverness CT

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Inverness CT keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

Inverness CT scoring profile: mixed

Inverness CT scores in 40% of matches (2 of 5 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 20% (1 of 5 matches).

4Goals scored (season)2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
5Goals conceded (season)6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.8Average goals in match1.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
4Goals scored (last 5)2
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
5Goals conceded (last 5)6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%2 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%3 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

How often they concede at least...

80%1 goal60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%2 goals40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%3 goals20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

36%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
20%Scored in both halves0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

BTTS and goal count

0%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%BTTS - last 540%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

100%Min. 1 goal before half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Ayr United is 250% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.4 pts / match - Ayr United · 0.4 pts / match - Inverness CT

Ayr United - half-time state
40% leading20% draw40% trailing
Inverness CT - half-time state
0% leading40% draw60% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.4Points per match (1st half)0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.6Goals scored (1st half)0
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.8Goals conceded (1st half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
1.4Average goals (1st half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%Clean sheet before half-time40%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
40%No goal before half-time100%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

After half-time (2nd half)

1.2Points per match (2nd half)1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.2Goals scored (2nd half)0.4
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.2Goals conceded (2nd half)0.6
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
0.4Average goals (2nd half)1
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
80%Clean sheet after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT
80%No goal after half-time60%
Ayr UnitedInverness CT

Ayr United - second-half results

20% W60% R20% P
7
Half-time points
3
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
0
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.40
PPG before half-time
Lead holding50%

Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 20%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time-0.6

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Inverness CT - second-half results

20% W40% R40% P
2
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
5
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.40
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.401.20
Goals scored / match0.60.2
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.40.4
1 goal100%40%
2 goals40%0%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal40%80%
Goal difference-10
Half-time: 40% leading - 20% draw - 40% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 3
Inverness CT - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.401.00
Goals scored / match0.00.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match0.61.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet40%60%
No goal100%60%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 40% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
0
2
0-15
0
1
16-30
3
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
1
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Inverness CT
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
2
16-30
0
0
31-45
1
2
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (1 goal). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.70
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
24%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
24%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 4 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.39
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.19
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-0.9 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.26
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
74%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
147%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
25% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
25%

Inverness CT

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.20
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.00
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.70
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.30
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
59%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
111%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaInverness CT
Average goals in match 1.801.76 1.60
Both teams scored 40%36% 40%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 0%16% 20%
Clean sheets 20%38% 40%
Goal before half-time 100%60% 60%
Goal after half-time 40%64% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per match
36%
Both teams scored
16%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
38%
Clean sheets
1.08
Home goals / match
0.68
Away goals / match
+59%
Home attack advantage
+37%
Home defence advantage
+20%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
60%
1 goal
20%
2 goals
0%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
64%
1 goal
28%
2 goals
4%
3 goals
0%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Ayr United and Inverness CT play?

Ayr United face Inverness CT on 12 September 2026 in Championship at Somerset Park. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

Ayr United score 0.80 goals per game on average and Inverness CT 0.40. The Championship average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 16% of games. Both teams score in 40% of Ayr United's matches and 40% of Inverness CT's.

What form are Ayr United and Inverness CT in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Inverness CT 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Inverness CT?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.