Ayr United vs Ross County: match statistics
Ayr United is currently 4th in the table, while Ross County occupies a distant 10th place, indicating a clear quality gap between the sides. The hosts boast a significantly better home goal difference (0) compared to the visitors' away goal difference (-10). Ross County has a very poor away scoring record, averaging just 0.73 goals per match and failing to score in 45% of their away fixtures. Ayr United demonstrates stable home form with a 45% draw rate and 27% win rate, whereas Ross County wins only 18% of their away matches. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.37 vs 1.15), suggesting superior chance creation quality. Considering all these factors, Ayr United has a realistic chance of securing a victory, although their high percentage of home draws this season warrants caution in the prediction.
Ayr United vs Ross County: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayr United played Ross County in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 21 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Ayr United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Ross County: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayr United scores 1.30 and concedes 1.17 goals per match. Ross County scores 0.92 and concedes 1.63. League average: 2.42 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayr United 65%, Ross County 42%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 39%, Ross County 46%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
xG, shots and style
Ayr United has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Ayr United: 10.9 shots per match, Ross County: 11.5.
Match halves
Ayr United: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.39. Ross County: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Ayr United: 0-15 (9 goals). Ross County: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 44%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-2-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayr United is currently 4th in the table, while Ross County occupies a distant 10th place, indicating a clear quality gap between the sides. The hosts boast a significantly better home goal difference (0) compared to the visitors' away goal difference (-10). Ross County has a very poor away scoring record, averaging just 0.73 goals per match and failing to score in 45% of their away fixtures. Ayr United demonstrates stable home form with a 45% draw rate and 27% win rate, whereas Ross County wins only 18% of their away matches. The xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.37 vs 1.15), suggesting superior chance creation quality. Considering all these factors, Ayr United has a realistic chance of securing a victory, although their high percentage of home draws this season warrants caution in the prediction.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ross County is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.8 pts / match - Ross County
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayr United is 41% better for: goals scored per match.
1.3 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.92 goals / match - Ross County
Ayr United is 39% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.17 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.63 goals / match - Ross County
Ayr United scores in 78% of matches (18 of 23 matches), while Ross County keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Ross County scores in 58% of matches (14 of 24 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 26% (6 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Ross County
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayr United is 67% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.74 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.04 pts / match - Ross County
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 30%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ross County - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 21%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (9 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayr United
Ross County
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Ross County | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.48 | 2.42 | ▲ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 49% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 44% | ▲ 46% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 32% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 87% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 71% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ayr United 0 - 2 - 0 Ross County. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayr United vs Ross County?
The Championship match finished Ayr United 0:0 Ross County. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ayr United and Ross County?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ayr United won 0, Ross County won 0 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 4.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Ross County?
Ayr United score 1.30 goals per game on average and Ross County 0.92. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 65% of Ayr United's matches and 42% of Ross County's.
What form are Ayr United and Ross County in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Ross County 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Ross County?
The statistical background for Ayr United vs Ross County — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.