Ayr United vs St. Johnstone: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Ayr United played St. Johnstone in Championship (Scotland). The match was played on 12 December 2025. Final score: 2:4.

Current form

Ayr United: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. St. Johnstone: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Ayr United scores 1.18 and concedes 0.94 goals per match. St. Johnstone scores 1.94 and concedes 0.88. League average: 2.42 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Ayr United 53%, St. Johnstone 53%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 29%, St. Johnstone 65%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.

xG, shots and style

St. Johnstone has higher xG: 1.90 vs 1.46. Ayr United: 11.1 shots per match, St. Johnstone: 16.1.

Match halves

Ayr United: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.41. St. Johnstone: half-time lead 47%, second-half goals 0.88.

Goals by minute

Ayr United: 0-15 (6 goals). St. Johnstone: 16-30 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Championship: 2.42 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 45%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.

Half-by-half

2 : 0
1st half
0 : 4
2nd half

Match statistics

32Possession (%)68
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
4Shots15
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
3Shots on target7
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.69xG1.86
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
2Corners7
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
30Dangerous attacks58
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
7Fouls13
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1Cards4
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.18Goals scored / match1.94
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.94Goals conceded / match0.88
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
50%Average possession62%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
4.71Shots on target / match5.53
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.06Shots per match16.06
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
4.71Shots on target5.53
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
10.6%Shot conversion12.1%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
50%Possession62%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.46xG for1.9
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.17xG against0.86
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Shooting quality

Ayr United: BalancedSt. Johnstone: Dominant
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
Accuracy (shots on target)43%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.130.12
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.250.35

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

St. Johnstone is 33% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.6 pts / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United
LDDWD
Season result split
29% W53% R18% P
Season (W-D-L)
5-9-3
1.41 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-4-2
Last 5 at home
2-2-1
WWLDD
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.58Opponent xG: 1.45BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
St. Johnstone
WDWLD
Season result split
59% W29% R12% P
Season (W-D-L)
10-5-2
2.06 pts / match · goal difference +18
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-2-1
1.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-1-2
Last 5 away
2-1-2
WLWDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 1.4xG: 2.00Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

St. Johnstone is 64% better for: goals scored per match.

1.18 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.94 goals / match - St. Johnstone

St. Johnstone is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.94 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.88 goals / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United scoring profile: mixed

Ayr United scores in 71% of matches (12 of 17 matches), while St. Johnstone keeps a clean sheet in 47% (8 of 17 matches).

St. Johnstone scoring profile: very strong

St. Johnstone scores in 82% of matches (14 of 17 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 35% (6 of 17 matches).

20Goals scored (season)33
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
16Goals conceded (season)15
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
2.12Average goals in match2.82
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
5Goals scored (last 5)10
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
5Goals conceded (last 5)7
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

How often they score at least...

71%1 goal82%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
29%2 goals59%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
12%3 goals29%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
6%4 goals18%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

How often they concede at least...

65%1 goal53%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
24%2 goals24%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
6%3 goals12%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0%4 goals0%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

50%
League average

Goal patterns

12%BTTS at half-time18%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
6%BTTS in both halves6%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
12%Scored in both halves41%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS47%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
40%BTTS - last 560%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

82%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
18%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
12%Min. 3 goals before half-time18%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

2nd half

53%Min. 1 goal after half-time76%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
24%Min. 2 goals after half-time41%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
12%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

St. Johnstone is 11% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.59 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.76 pts / match - St. Johnstone

Ayr United - half-time state
47% leading18% draw35% trailing
St. Johnstone - half-time state
47% leading35% draw18% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.59Points per match (1st half)1.76
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.76Goals scored (1st half)1.06
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.47Goals conceded (1st half)0.41
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
1.24Average goals (1st half)1.47
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
59%Clean sheet before half-time65%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
47%No goal before half-time41%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.24Points per match (2nd half)1.88
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.41Goals scored (2nd half)0.88
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.47Goals conceded (2nd half)0.47
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
0.88Average goals (2nd half)1.35
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
59%Clean sheet after half-time76%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone
71%No goal after half-time35%
Ayr UnitedSt. Johnstone

Ayr United - second-half results

24% W53% R24% P
27
Half-time points
13
Half-time goals
+5
Goal difference (1st half)
21
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.59
PPG before half-time
Lead holding62%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

St. Johnstone - second-half results

53% W29% R18% P
30
Half-time points
18
Half-time goals
+11
Goal difference (1st half)
32
Second-half points
+7
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.76
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 47% of matches and wins 59%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ayr United - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.80
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.80.2
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal80%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet40%80%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-2+2
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 60% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
St. Johnstone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.601.60
Goals scored / match1.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.60.8
Average goals in match1.61.8
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%60%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal40%20%
Goal difference+2+1
Half-time: 40% leading - 40% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 40% won - 40% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 5

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Ayr United
ScoredConceded
6
2
0-15
3
3
16-30
4
3
31-45
2
5
46-60
2
0
61-75
3
3
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

St. Johnstone
ScoredConceded
4
3
0-15
10
1
16-30
4
3
31-45
4
3
46-60
4
3
61-75
7
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (10 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.47
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.0 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
102%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
53%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
58%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
5%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 20 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Ayr United

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.29
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.28
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.23
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
93%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
82%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.21
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.4
Late goals
15% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
15%

St. Johnstone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.04
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.02
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.02
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
170%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
69%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.46
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
21% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 12% come in the first quarter-hour.
21%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).

Teams vs league

Ayr UnitedLigaSt. Johnstone
Average goals in match 2.122.42 2.82
Both teams scored 53%50% 53%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%45% 65%
Clean sheets 35%32% 47%
Goal before half-time 82%70% 76%
Goal after half-time 53%71% 76%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.42
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
45%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
32%
Clean sheets
1.27
Home goals / match
1.14
Away goals / match
+11%
Home attack advantage
+10%
Home defence advantage
+7%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
26%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
5%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
71%
1 goal
40%
2 goals
15%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. Ayr UnitedGoalMark McKenzieAssist: Dylan Watret
  2. Ayr UnitedGoalJamie MurphyAssist: Ethan Walker
  3. St. JohnstoneGoalMatthew Colin FouldsAssist: Joshua McPake
  4. Ayr UnitedYellow cardAnton Dowds
  5. St. JohnstoneYellow cardCheick Diabate
  6. St. JohnstoneYellow cardAdam Forrester
  7. St. JohnstoneGoalJoshua McPake
  8. St. JohnstoneYellow cardAdama Sidibeh
  9. St. JohnstoneSubstitutionOn: Kai FotheringhamOff: Adam Forrester
  10. Ayr UnitedSubstitutionOn: Jamie HislopOff: Marco Rus
  11. St. JohnstoneGoalJoshua McPakeAssist: Adama Sidibeh
  12. Ayr UnitedSubstitutionOn: Lucas McRobertsOff: Jamie Murphy
  13. St. JohnstoneYellow cardJoshua McPake
  14. St. JohnstoneSubstitutionOn: Victor Alfredo Griffith MullinsOff: Joshua McPake
  15. St. JohnstoneGoalKai Fotheringham

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Referee context

See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.

Colin StevenMatches officiated: 14
3.43Cards per match
0Penalties per match
1 / X / 256%Home wins21%Draws21%Away wins

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Ayr United 0 - 1 - 0 St. Johnstone. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Saint Johnstone FC
0 : 0
Ayr United FC

FAQ

What was the result of Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

The Championship match finished Ayr United 2:4 St. Johnstone. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

Ayr United score 1.18 goals per game on average and St. Johnstone 1.94. The Championship average is 2.42 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Ayr United's matches and 53% of St. Johnstone's.

What form are Ayr United and St. Johnstone in?

Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and St. Johnstone 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs St. Johnstone?

Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Ayr United vs St. Johnstone: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.