Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir: match statistics
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Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayr United play Stenhousemuir in Championship (Scotland). The match date is 25 September 2026.
Current form
Ayr United: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Stenhousemuir: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayr United scores 1.00 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Stenhousemuir scores 1.57 and concedes 0.29. League average: 1.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayr United 43%, Stenhousemuir 29%. Over 2.5: Ayr United 14%, Stenhousemuir 14%. League level: BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 23%.
xG, shots and style
Stenhousemuir has higher xG: 1.12 vs 1.00. Ayr United: 6.6 shots per match, Stenhousemuir: 6.3.
Match halves
Ayr United: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.29. Stenhousemuir: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 1.00.
Goals by minute
Ayr United: 31-45+ (4 goals). Stenhousemuir: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Championship: 1.94 goals per match, BTTS 34%, Over 2.5 23%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayr United | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 48% | 45% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.55 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Stenhousemuir is 275% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Ayr United · 3 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Stenhousemuir is 57% better for: goals scored per match.
1 goals / match - Ayr United · 1.57 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Stenhousemuir is 293% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Ayr United · 0.29 goals / match - Stenhousemuir
Ayr United scores in 71% of matches (5 of 7 matches), while Stenhousemuir keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
Stenhousemuir scores in 100% of matches (7 of 7 matches), while Ayr United keeps a clean sheet in 29% (2 of 7 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayr United
Over / Under - Stenhousemuir
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Stenhousemuir is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.43 pts / match - Ayr United · 1.86 pts / match - Stenhousemuir
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayr United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 29%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Stenhousemuir - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayr United
Stenhousemuir
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Championship).
Teams vs league
| Ayr United | Liga | Stenhousemuir | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.14 | 1.94 | • 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 43% | 34% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 14% | 23% | ▼ 14% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 63% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 57% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do Ayr United and Stenhousemuir play?
Ayr United face Stenhousemuir on 25 September 2026 in Championship. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir?
Ayr United score 1.00 goals per game on average and Stenhousemuir 1.57. The Championship average is 1.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 23% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Ayr United's matches and 29% of Stenhousemuir's.
What form are Ayr United and Stenhousemuir in?
Over the last 5 games Ayr United have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Stenhousemuir 5-0-0 (3.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayr United vs Stenhousemuir?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.