Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima: match statistics
Ayutthaya United is showing decisively better form than Nakhon Ratchasima, as confirmed by their points-per-match balance over the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.8). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have recorded only one victory in that period. Nakhon Ratchasima has a catastrophic away record with a 73% loss rate and concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in 55% of their away fixtures. Although Ayutthaya has a weaker home record (50% losses), their advantage in possession (47% vs 40%), shooting accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1) speaks in their favor. The class difference between the 7th and 16th place in the table, coupled with the visitors' clear weakness in away matches, suggests a home victory, although their unstable home form does not allow for an overly high probability.
Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ayutthaya United played Nakhon Ratchasima in Thai League T1 (Thailand). The match was played on 21 March 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Ayutthaya United: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Nakhon Ratchasima: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ayutthaya United scores 1.29 and concedes 1.42 goals per match. Nakhon Ratchasima scores 0.65 and concedes 1.70. League average: 2.73 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ayutthaya United 63%, Nakhon Ratchasima 39%. Over 2.5: Ayutthaya United 46%, Nakhon Ratchasima 43%. League level: BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Ayutthaya United has higher xG: 1.53 vs 1.22. Ayutthaya United: 13.9 shots per match, Nakhon Ratchasima: 9.6.
Match halves
Ayutthaya United: half-time lead 25%, second-half goals 0.83. Nakhon Ratchasima: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.35.
Goals by minute
Ayutthaya United: 76-90+ (8 goals). Nakhon Ratchasima: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Thai League T1: 2.73 goals per match, BTTS 57%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Ayutthaya United is showing decisively better form than Nakhon Ratchasima, as confirmed by their points-per-match balance over the last 5 games (1.8 vs 0.8). The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while the visitors have recorded only one victory in that period. Nakhon Ratchasima has a catastrophic away record with a 73% loss rate and concedes an average of 2.18 goals per away match, failing to score in 55% of their away fixtures. Although Ayutthaya has a weaker home record (50% losses), their advantage in possession (47% vs 40%), shooting accuracy, and expected goals (xG 1.5 vs 1.1) speaks in their favor. The class difference between the 7th and 16th place in the table, coupled with the visitors' clear weakness in away matches, suggests a home victory, although their unstable home form does not allow for an overly high probability.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ayutthaya United | Nakhon Ratchasima | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 27% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.25 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ayutthaya United is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Ayutthaya United · 0.8 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ayutthaya United is 98% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Ayutthaya United · 0.65 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima
Ayutthaya United is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.42 goals / match - Ayutthaya United · 1.7 goals / match - Nakhon Ratchasima
Ayutthaya United scores in 79% of matches (19 of 24 matches), while Nakhon Ratchasima keeps a clean sheet in 13% (3 of 23 matches).
Nakhon Ratchasima scores in 43% of matches (10 of 23 matches), while Ayutthaya United keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ayutthaya United
Over / Under - Nakhon Ratchasima
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ayutthaya United is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Ayutthaya United · 0.91 pts / match - Nakhon Ratchasima
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ayutthaya United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 25% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Nakhon Ratchasima - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 13%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ayutthaya United
Nakhon Ratchasima
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Thai League T1).
Teams vs league
| Ayutthaya United | Liga | Nakhon Ratchasima | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.71 | 2.73 | ▼ 2.35 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 57% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 24% | ▼ 13% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 75% | 68% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 75% | 84% | ▼ 74% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Ayutthaya United 1 - 0 - 0 Nakhon Ratchasima. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
The Thai League T1 match finished Ayutthaya United 0:1 Nakhon Ratchasima. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
Ayutthaya United score 1.29 goals per game on average and Nakhon Ratchasima 0.65. The Thai League T1 average is 2.73 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Ayutthaya United's matches and 39% of Nakhon Ratchasima's.
What form are Ayutthaya United and Nakhon Ratchasima in?
Over the last 5 games Ayutthaya United have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Nakhon Ratchasima 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima?
The statistical background for Ayutthaya United vs Nakhon Ratchasima — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.