AZ vs Excelsior: match statistics
AZ demonstrates a decisive advantage at home, winning 50% of matches with just 13% losses and scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics (xG 1.98 vs 1.35) as well as defensive figures (averaging 1.88 goals conceded vs 2.75 for Excelsior away). Excelsior holds a dismal away record—63% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -13—which, combined with only 25% away wins, clearly positions them as the outsider. While the form of both teams over the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), the disparity between AZ's home efficiency and Excelsior's away frailty decisively favors the hosts. The high average goal count in AZ's home games (4.25) and Excelsior's vulnerability to conceding suggest a confident victory for the hosts.
AZ vs Excelsior: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ played Excelsior in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 21 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
AZ: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Excelsior: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ scores 1.83 and concedes 1.72 goals per match. Excelsior scores 1.06 and concedes 1.89. League average: 3.28 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ 72%, Excelsior 61%. Over 2.5: AZ 72%, Excelsior 67%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 1.84 vs 1.33. AZ: 16.6 shots per match, Excelsior: 11.9.
Match halves
AZ: half-time lead 39%, second-half goals 0.72. Excelsior: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.
Goals by minute
AZ: 31-45+ (9 goals). Excelsior: 0-15 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.28 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AZ demonstrates a decisive advantage at home, winning 50% of matches with just 13% losses and scoring an average of 2.38 goals per game. The hosts boast superior offensive statistics (xG 1.98 vs 1.35) as well as defensive figures (averaging 1.88 goals conceded vs 2.75 for Excelsior away). Excelsior holds a dismal away record—63% losses, zero clean sheets, and a negative goal difference of -13—which, combined with only 25% away wins, clearly positions them as the outsider. While the form of both teams over the last five matches is balanced (1.4 points per match each), the disparity between AZ's home efficiency and Excelsior's away frailty decisively favors the hosts. The high average goal count in AZ's home games (4.25) and Excelsior's vulnerability to conceding suggest a confident victory for the hosts.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.30 | 0.26 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Excelsior is 75% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - AZ · 1.4 pts / match - Excelsior
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 73% better for: goals scored per match.
1.83 goals / match - AZ · 1.06 goals / match - Excelsior
AZ is 10% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.72 goals / match - AZ · 1.89 goals / match - Excelsior
AZ scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Excelsior keeps a clean sheet in 17% (3 of 18 matches).
Excelsior scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ
Over / Under - Excelsior
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.56 pts / match - AZ · 1.39 pts / match - Excelsior
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 39% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Excelsior - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ
Excelsior
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | Excelsior | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.56 | 3.28 | ▼ 2.94 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▼ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 72% | 63% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 22% | 19% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 83% | 85% | ▼ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 89% | 86% | ▼ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs Excelsior?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 1:1 Excelsior. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs Excelsior?
AZ score 1.83 goals per game on average and Excelsior 1.06. The Eredivisie average is 3.28 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 72% of AZ's matches and 61% of Excelsior's.
What form are AZ and Excelsior in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Excelsior 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs Excelsior?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for AZ vs Excelsior: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.