AZ vs Heerenveen: match statistics
AZ vs Heerenveen: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ play Heerenveen in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 12 April 2026 at 16:45. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
AZ: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Heerenveen: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ scores 1.71 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Heerenveen scores 1.69 and concedes 1.60. League average: 3.17 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ 65%, Heerenveen 66%. Over 2.5: AZ 65%, Heerenveen 71%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 1.75 vs 1.67. AZ: 15.8 shots per match, Heerenveen: 14.9.
Match halves
AZ: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.76. Heerenveen: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.97.
Goals by minute
AZ: 0-15 (15 goals). Heerenveen: 31-45+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.17 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 61%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Match description
AZ holds a slight home edge: at home they average 2.21 goals per match with an average xG of 1.77 and record 6 shots on target per game, while Heerenveen away averages 1.57 goals, xG 1.58 and 5.43 shots on target. Defensively the hosts also fare marginally better – AZ concedes 1.50 goals on average at home versus Heerenveen’s 1.71 away, and AZ’s home loss rate is only 14% compared to the visitors’ 43% loss rate on the road. However, the visitors are in excellent form over the last 5 matches: 4 wins and 1 draw, 13 goals scored and 5 conceded and 2.6 points per game, whereas AZ in their last 5 have 3 wins and 2 losses, 10 scored and 6 conceded and 1.8 points per game. AZ at home also have 0% matches without scoring, while Heerenveen fail to score in 21% of away games, which increases the hosts’ chances of consistently creating chances. Considering AZ’s higher shooting efficiency at home (conversion 14% versus Heerenveen’s 11% away) and lower tendency to lose, I tip the home win, though I expect an open game with goals.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 7% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - AZ · 1.6 goals / match - Heerenveen
AZ scores in 88% of matches (30 of 34 matches), while Heerenveen keeps a clean sheet in 14% (5 of 35 matches).
Heerenveen scores in 77% of matches (27 of 35 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — AZ
Over / Under — Heerenveen
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heerenveen - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (15 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (14 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ
Heerenveen
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | Heerenveen | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.21 | 3.17 | ▲ 3.29 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 66% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 20% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 76% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | • 85% | 84% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AZ 0 - 0 - 1 Heerenveen. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs Heerenveen?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 3:0 Heerenveen. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs Heerenveen?
AZ score 1.71 goals per game on average and Heerenveen 1.69. The Eredivisie average is 3.17 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 61% of games. Both teams score in 65% of AZ's matches and 66% of Heerenveen's.
What form are AZ and Heerenveen in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Heerenveen 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs Heerenveen?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.