AZ vs Heracles: match statistics
AZ is positioned 6th in the table and shows solid home form with a 42% win rate and only a 17% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, confirming their offensive efficiency. Heracles occupies the last 18th place with a disastrous away record - an 85% loss rate, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -26 in away matches. The visitors have lost all of their last five away fixtures and score an average of merely 0.85 goals per game, failing to find the net in 46% of their matches. Considering AZ's edge in ball possession (51% vs 42%), shooting efficiency, and Heracles's abysmal away form and statistics, a decisive home win is the most probable scenario.
AZ vs Heracles: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ played Heracles in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match was played on 15 March 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
AZ: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Heracles: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ scores 1.65 and concedes 1.62 goals per match. Heracles scores 1.23 and concedes 2.50. League average: 3.20 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ 73%, Heracles 54%. Over 2.5: AZ 65%, Heracles 73%. League level: BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 1.71 vs 1.25. AZ: 15.3 shots per match, Heracles: 11.2.
Match halves
AZ: half-time lead 27%, second-half goals 0.81. Heracles: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.65.
Goals by minute
AZ: 31-45+ (10 goals). Heracles: 46-60 (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 3.20 goals per match, BTTS 64%, Over 2.5 63%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
AZ is positioned 6th in the table and shows solid home form with a 42% win rate and only a 17% loss rate at their own stadium. The hosts score an average of 2.08 goals per home game with an xG of 1.77, confirming their offensive efficiency. Heracles occupies the last 18th place with a disastrous away record - an 85% loss rate, zero clean sheets, and a goal difference of -26 in away matches. The visitors have lost all of their last five away fixtures and score an average of merely 0.85 goals per game, failing to find the net in 46% of their matches. Considering AZ's edge in ball possession (51% vs 42%), shooting efficiency, and Heracles's abysmal away form and statistics, a decisive home win is the most probable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AZ is 600% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - AZ · 0.2 pts / match - Heracles
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 34% better for: goals scored per match.
1.65 goals / match - AZ · 1.23 goals / match - Heracles
AZ is 54% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.62 goals / match - AZ · 2.5 goals / match - Heracles
AZ scores in 92% of matches (24 of 26 matches), while Heracles keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 26 matches).
Heracles scores in 58% of matches (15 of 26 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 19% (5 of 26 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ
Over / Under - Heracles
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 57% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.27 pts / match - AZ · 0.81 pts / match - Heracles
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 27% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Heracles - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -5 | -5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (17). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ
Heracles
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | Heracles | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 3.27 | 3.20 | ▲ 3.73 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 73% | 64% | ▼ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 65% | 63% | ▲ 73% |
| Clean sheets | • 19% | 19% | ▼ 8% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 73% | 81% | ▲ 85% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 85% | ▲ 92% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: AZ 1 - 0 - 0 Heracles. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of AZ vs Heracles?
The Eredivisie match finished AZ 4:0 Heracles. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs Heracles?
AZ score 1.65 goals per game on average and Heracles 1.23. The Eredivisie average is 3.20 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 63% of games. Both teams score in 73% of AZ's matches and 54% of Heracles's.
What form are AZ and Heracles in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Heracles 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs Heracles?
The statistical background for AZ vs Heracles — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.