AZ vs Willem II: match statistics
Full analysis and pick in the app
Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.
AZ vs Willem II: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
AZ play Willem II in Eredivisie (Netherlands). The match date is 11 September 2026. Venue: AFAS Stadion.
Current form
AZ: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match. Willem II: 0-1-3, 0.25 points/match.
Goal statistics
AZ scores 3.20 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Willem II scores 1.00 and concedes 3.25. League average: 4.05 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: AZ 60%, Willem II 75%. Over 2.5: AZ 60%, Willem II 100%. League level: BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 85%.
xG, shots and style
AZ has higher xG: 2.31 vs 1.24. AZ: 19.6 shots per match, Willem II: 12.5.
Match halves
AZ: half-time lead 40%, second-half goals 2.40. Willem II: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
AZ: 46-60 (4 goals). Willem II: 76-90+ (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Eredivisie: 4.05 goals per match, BTTS 78%, Over 2.5 85%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Before the match
1X2 odds
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| AZ | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 41% | 20% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
AZ is 1100% better for: last-5 form.
3 pts / match - AZ · 0.25 pts / match - Willem II
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
AZ is 220% better for: goals scored per match.
3.2 goals / match - AZ · 1 goals / match - Willem II
AZ is 225% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - AZ · 3.25 goals / match - Willem II
AZ scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Willem II keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 4 matches).
Willem II scores in 75% of matches (3 of 4 matches), while AZ keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - AZ
Over / Under - Willem II
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
AZ is 220% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.6 pts / match - AZ · 0.5 pts / match - Willem II
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
AZ - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 40% of matches and wins 100%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Willem II - second-half results
Concedes 1.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 3.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 2.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +10 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.50 | 0.25 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.3 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 2.3 |
| Average goals in match | 1.3 | 3.0 |
| 1 goal | 75% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 50% | 75% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 75% |
| Clean sheet | 25% | 0% |
| No goal | 75% | 50% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
AZ
Willem II
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Eredivisie).
Teams vs league
| AZ | Liga | Willem II | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 4.20 | 4.05 | ▲ 4.25 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 78% | ▼ 75% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 60% | 85% | ▲ 100% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 11% | ▼ 0% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 80% | ▼ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 100% | 95% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
When do AZ and Willem II play?
AZ face Willem II on 11 September 2026 in Eredivisie at AFAS Stadion. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.
What do the goal statistics show before AZ vs Willem II?
AZ score 3.20 goals per game on average and Willem II 1.00. The Eredivisie average is 4.05 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 85% of games. Both teams score in 60% of AZ's matches and 75% of Willem II's.
What form are AZ and Willem II in?
Over the last 5 games AZ have a 5-0-0 record (3.00 points per game) and Willem II 0-1-3 (0.25 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for AZ vs Willem II?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.