Azam vs KMC: match statistics
Azam vs KMC: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Azam played KMC in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 25 May 2026. Venue: Chamazi Stadium. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Azam: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match. KMC: 0-0-5, 0.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Azam scores 1.43 and concedes 0.39 goals per match. KMC scores 0.59 and concedes 1.64. League average: 2.11 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Azam 22%, KMC 32%. Over 2.5: Azam 35%, KMC 36%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 38%.
xG, shots and style
Azam has higher xG: 1.58 vs 1.29. Azam: 10.0 shots per match, KMC: 6.7.
Match halves
Azam: half-time lead 43%, second-half goals 0.74. KMC: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.32.
Goals by minute
Azam: 46-60 (8 goals). KMC: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.11 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 38%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Azam is the clear favorite in this matchup: at home they win 67% of matches and have 100% clean sheets (0 goals conceded per home match on average), while KMC has not recorded a single away win (0% wins and 92% losses). Offensively Azam averages 1.5 goals per home match with xG 1.88; in the last 5 matches they scored 9 goals (4 wins, 1 loss). KMC away scores only 0.67 goals per match, xG 1.14, and lost all last 5 away games, conceding 10 goals. The hosts create significantly more chances: 12.9 shots per home match and 4.5 on target with a 14% conversion rate, whereas KMC averages 7 shots with 2.67 on target and a 6% conversion, indicating higher finishing efficiency for Azam. Defensively the gap is also notable — Azam’s average xG against at home is 0.86, while KMC records xG against 1.38 away and concedes 2.08 goals per away match on average. Considering possession (58% vs 49%) and average points in the last 5 (2.4 for Azam vs 0 for KMC), a home victory is more likely.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I predict No BTTS (both teams not to score) with a 70% probability because Azam have only 20% home games with both teams scoring this season and 20% in the last 5 — well below the league BTTS level of 34%. KMC have an away BTTS of 42% (last 5: 40%), but their away goals average is only 0.67 this season and 1.0 in the last 5, so the visitors often fail to score. Azam scored 9 goals in the last 5 matches (1.8 per game) while conceding 0.8 in that period, whereas KMC conceded 10 goals in their last 5 (2.0 per game) — this suggests only the home side is likely to find the net. xG metrics confirm the home advantage: Azam xG_for 1.46 versus KMC xG_against_away 1.38, and KMC generate 1.14 xG with a shot conversion of 6%, which limits their realistic scoring chances. Considering these numbers and KMC's poor form (lllll), I assess 'No' at 70% versus 30% for 'Yes' (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project approximately 3.11 total goals in the match, with Azam around 1.64 goals and KMC around 1.47 goals. The basis is xG and form: Azam averages 1.46 xG per home match and 1.82 xG in the last 5 games, while KMC has attacking xG 1.14 for the season and 1.40 in the last 5; additionally KMC conceded 10 goals in the last 5 matches (2.0 per game). Seasonal data are mixed — Azam scored 33 and conceded 9 goals this season, season-long Over 2.5 for Azam is 20% versus 50% for KMC, but in the last 5 both teams have Over 2.5 at 40%. A Poisson model with lambda=3.11 estimates probabilities of Over 1.5 ≈82%, Over 2.5 ≈60% and Over 3.5 ≈38%. I back the Over on the 1.5 line as the strongest signal: Azam’s offensive edge in the last 5 (9 goals, xG 1.82) and KMC’s poor defense (36 conceded this season and 2.0 in the last 5) increase the likelihood of at least 2 goals in the match.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Azam is in much better form: in the last 5 matches they have 4 wins (80% win rate), while KMC have lost all 5 games (100% defeats). At half-time Azam led in 60% of their last 5 matches (3 of 5) and have an average goals at the break of 1.0 versus 0.2 for KMC, which gives a strong signal for the home side to lead at the break. For the full match the statistics also favor Azam: average goals in the last 5 matches are 1.8 for Azam versus 1.0 for KMC, and average goals conceded are 0.8 vs 2.0, suggesting an advantage in goal difference. Additionally, the home side’s xG is 1.46 compared to 1.14 for KMC, and average shots on target are 3.5 versus 2.67, increasing the likelihood that Azam will hold their lead and win. Therefore the safest HT/FT pick is 1/1 (home leading at half-time and winning), and I assign the highest probability to this scenario.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Azam | KMC | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 38% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.19 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.45 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Azam is 142% better for: goals scored per match.
1.43 goals / match - Azam · 0.59 goals / match - KMC
Azam is 321% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.39 goals / match - Azam · 1.64 goals / match - KMC
Azam scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while KMC keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
KMC scores in 41% of matches (9 of 22 matches), while Azam keeps a clean sheet in 78% (18 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Azam
Over / Under - KMC
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Azam is 96% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.78 pts / match - Azam · 0.91 pts / match - KMC
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Azam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 43% of matches and wins 52%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
KMC - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 9%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Azam
KMC
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Azam | Liga | KMC | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.83 | 2.11 | ▲ 2.23 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 22% | 35% | ▼ 32% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 38% | ▼ 36% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 78% | 40% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 52% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
| Goal after half-time | • 61% | 62% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AzamGoalFaisal Salum
- AzamGoalFaisal SalumAssist: Iddy Seleman Nado
- AzamGoalYoro Mamadou Diaby
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
FAQ
What was the result of Azam vs KMC?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Azam 3:0 KMC. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Azam vs KMC?
Azam score 1.43 goals per game on average and KMC 0.59. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.11 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 38% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Azam's matches and 32% of KMC's.
What form are Azam and KMC in?
Over the last 5 games Azam have a 4-0-1 record (2.40 points per game) and KMC 0-0-5 (0.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Azam vs KMC?
The statistical background for Azam vs KMC — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.