Azam vs Mbeya City: match statistics
Azam vs Mbeya City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Azam played Mbeya City in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 28 October 2026. Venue: Chamazi Stadium. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Azam: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Mbeya City: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Azam scores 1.63 and concedes 0.88 goals per match. Mbeya City scores 1.00 and concedes 1.13. League average: 2.46 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Azam 50%, Mbeya City 38%. Over 2.5: Azam 38%, Mbeya City 38%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
xG, shots and style
Azam has higher xG: 1.86 vs 1.32. Azam: 9.3 shots per match, Mbeya City: 7.4.
Match halves
Azam: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.63. Mbeya City: half-time lead 13%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Azam: 16-30 (5 goals). Mbeya City: 76-90+ (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 43%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Azam sit 3rd and have won 3 of their last 5 matches, while ninth-placed Mbeya City have managed just 1 win and suffered 3 defeats over the same period. The hosts have won 75% of their home matches, whereas the visitors have lost 50% of their away games, clearly pointing in Azam’s favour. At home, Azam average 1.5 goals and 6.25 shots on target per match, compared with Mbeya City’s away averages of 0.75 goals and 3.25 shots on target. The hosts’ advantage is also reflected in the quality of the chances they create: Azam average 2.02 xG at home, while Mbeya City concede chances worth 1.83 xG on the road. Mbeya City have failed to score in 50% of their away matches and have conceded 7 goals in their last 5 games, making an Azam win the most likely outcome.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against both teams scoring comes from Mbeya City: the visitors average 0.75 goals, have failed to score in 50% of their matches, and BTTS has landed in only 25% of their games. Azam have conceded an average of just 0.6 goals across their last 5 matches, further limiting the visitors’ chances of scoring. The hosts are more likely to find the net, having averaged 1.4 goals over the same period, while Mbeya City conceded 1.4. A counterpoint is the visitors’ xG of 1.46, higher than Azam’s 1.18, but their actual goals-scoring average remains lower. Therefore, the more likely scenario is that at least one team fails to score (BTTS - No).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals: this line has held in 75% of Azam’s matches and 100% of Mbeya City’s. Over their last five games, Azam averaged 1.4 goals scored and 0.6 conceded, for a total of 2.0 goals per match; none of those games went over 2.5 goals. Mbeya City averaged 0.8 goals scored over the same period, while conceding 1.4, so two or three goals cannot be ruled out. However, the hosts have the more favorable chance-quality figures: their recent xG stands at 1.70 compared with 1.32 for the visitors, while Mbeya’s defense allows chances worth 1.68 xG per match. A 2.30-goal projection points to value on Under 3.5, even though Azam may create more chances.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The strongest scenario is Azam leading at the break and maintaining their advantage through to the final whistle: the hosts led at half-time in 3 of their last 5 matches, while Mbeya City did not lead at the break in any of their games over the same period. Azam won 3 of their last 5 matches, scoring an average of 1.4 goals and conceding 0.6, while the visitors won just once, scored 0.8 goals and conceded 1.4. The hosts’ average of 0.8 goals scored before half-time in their last five matches, compared with Mbeya City’s average of 0.8 goals conceded over that period, also points to an early home lead. A draw at half-time remains a significant alternative, as the visitors recorded one in 3 of their last 5 matches. However, their average xG conceded of 1.83, compared with Azam’s 1.02, strengthens the forecast of a home win at full-time.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Azam | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 55% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.20 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Azam is 150% better for: last-5 form.
2 pts / match - Azam · 0.8 pts / match - Mbeya City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Azam is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
1.63 goals / match - Azam · 1 goals / match - Mbeya City
Azam is 28% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.88 goals / match - Azam · 1.13 goals / match - Mbeya City
Azam scores in 88% of matches (7 of 8 matches), while Mbeya City keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
Mbeya City scores in 63% of matches (5 of 8 matches), while Azam keeps a clean sheet in 38% (3 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Azam
Over / Under - Mbeya City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Azam is 156% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - Azam · 0.88 pts / match - Mbeya City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Azam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 63%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mbeya City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 13% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Azam
Mbeya City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Azam | Liga | Mbeya City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.50 | 2.46 | ▼ 2.13 |
| Both teams scored | • 50% | 51% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 38% | 43% | ▼ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | ▲ 38% |
| Goal before half-time | • 75% | 74% | ▼ 63% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 88% | 70% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Azam 1 - 1 - 0 Mbeya City. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Azam vs Mbeya City?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Azam 4:0 Mbeya City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Azam and Mbeya City?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Azam won 1, Mbeya City won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Azam vs Mbeya City?
Azam score 1.63 goals per game on average and Mbeya City 1.00. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 43% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Azam's matches and 38% of Mbeya City's.
What form are Azam and Mbeya City in?
Over the last 5 games Azam have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Mbeya City 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Azam vs Mbeya City?
The statistical background for Azam vs Mbeya City — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.