Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar: match statistics
Azam presents impressive home form with 60% wins and 100% clean sheets at their own stadium, not losing a single match at home this season. The hosts dominate in terms of ball possession (59% vs 44%) and offensive efficiency, having a significantly higher xG coefficient (1.91 vs 0.95). Mtibwa Sugar has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their form on the road is very weak with a sequence of ldlddd and 83% of matches without scoring a goal. The difference in playing quality is also visible in the average goals scored per match: Azam 1.4 at home, while Mtibwa Sugar just 0.17 away. Taking all statistics into account, especially Azam's invincibility on their own turf and the guests' complete lack of away victories, I definitely favor the hosts to achieve a certain victory.
Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Azam played Mtibwa Sugar in Ligi kuu Bara (Tanzania). The match was played on 25 February 2026. Final score: 3:0.
Current form
Azam: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Mtibwa Sugar: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Azam scores 1.38 and concedes 0.25 goals per match. Mtibwa Sugar scores 0.87 and concedes 0.93. League average: 1.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Azam 25%, Mtibwa Sugar 47%. Over 2.5: Azam 13%, Mtibwa Sugar 33%. League level: BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 29%.
xG, shots and style
Azam has higher xG: 1.60 vs 0.97. Azam: 10.0 shots per match, Mtibwa Sugar: 3.6.
Match halves
Azam: half-time lead 63%, second-half goals 0.50. Mtibwa Sugar: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.47.
Goals by minute
Azam: 31-45+ (4 goals). Mtibwa Sugar: 76-90+ (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ligi kuu Bara: 1.89 goals per match, BTTS 30%, Over 2.5 29%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Azam presents impressive home form with 60% wins and 100% clean sheets at their own stadium, not losing a single match at home this season. The hosts dominate in terms of ball possession (59% vs 44%) and offensive efficiency, having a significantly higher xG coefficient (1.91 vs 0.95). Mtibwa Sugar has not won any away match this season (0% Win%), and their form on the road is very weak with a sequence of ldlddd and 83% of matches without scoring a goal. The difference in playing quality is also visible in the average goals scored per match: Azam 1.4 at home, while Mtibwa Sugar just 0.17 away. Taking all statistics into account, especially Azam's invincibility on their own turf and the guests' complete lack of away victories, I definitely favor the hosts to achieve a certain victory.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Azam | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 26% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.27 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.52 | 0.59 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Azam is 57% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Azam · 1.4 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Azam is 59% better for: goals scored per match.
1.38 goals / match - Azam · 0.87 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Azam is 272% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.25 goals / match - Azam · 0.93 goals / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Azam scores in 75% of matches (6 of 8 matches), while Mtibwa Sugar keeps a clean sheet in 40% (6 of 15 matches).
Mtibwa Sugar scores in 60% of matches (9 of 15 matches), while Azam keeps a clean sheet in 75% (6 of 8 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Azam
Over / Under - Mtibwa Sugar
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Azam is 236% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2.25 pts / match - Azam · 0.67 pts / match - Mtibwa Sugar
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Azam - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 63% of matches and wins 50%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mtibwa Sugar - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 100% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (4 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Azam
Mtibwa Sugar
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ligi kuu Bara).
Teams vs league
| Azam | Liga | Mtibwa Sugar | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.63 | 1.89 | • 1.80 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 25% | 30% | ▲ 47% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 13% | 29% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 75% | 42% | ▼ 40% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 63% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 63% | 56% | ▼ 53% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- AzamGoalFaisal SalumAssist: Lusajo Mwaikenda
- AzamGoalJean-Jacques NgitaAssist: Faisal Salum
- AzamGoalJean-Jacques NgitaAssist: Lusajo Mwaikenda
FAQ
What was the result of Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar?
The Ligi kuu Bara match finished Azam 3:0 Mtibwa Sugar. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Azam score 1.38 goals per game on average and Mtibwa Sugar 0.87. The Ligi kuu Bara average is 1.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 25% of Azam's matches and 47% of Mtibwa Sugar's.
What form are Azam and Mtibwa Sugar in?
Over the last 5 games Azam have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Mtibwa Sugar 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Azam vs Mtibwa Sugar: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.