Bačka Topola vs Radnički Niš: match statistics
Bačka Topola vs Radnički Niš: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bačka Topola played Radnički Niš in SuperLiga (Serbia). The match was played on 16 May 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bačka Topola: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Radnički Niš: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bačka Topola scores 1.23 and concedes 1.20 goals per match. Radnički Niš scores 1.20 and concedes 1.34. League average: 2.68 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bačka Topola 54%, Radnički Niš 51%. Over 2.5: Bačka Topola 43%, Radnički Niš 49%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bačka Topola has higher xG: 1.60 vs 1.40. Bačka Topola: 13.9 shots per match, Radnički Niš: 12.0.
Match halves
Bačka Topola: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.71. Radnički Niš: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.66.
Goals by minute
Bačka Topola: 76-90+ (10 goals). Radnički Niš: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
SuperLiga: 2.68 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bačka Topola has the edge in chance creation and finishing: at home they average 5.11 shots on target and 15.78 shots per game with xG 1.78, while Radnički Niš away averages 3.61 shots on target, 11.22 shots per game and xG 1.35. The hosts score 1.28 goals per home match on average, whereas the visitors score only 0.83 on the road; defensively Bačka concedes 1.11 goals per home game compared to 1.5 conceded by Radnički away. In the last 5 matches Bačka scored 17 goals (3-1-1), while Radnički scored 6 goals (also 3-1-1), indicating superior offensive efficiency for the hosts. Additionally Bačka register 57% possession at home versus 49% for Radnički away and have a lower share of scoreless games (33% vs 44%), reducing the risk of a goalless outcome from them. Considering the higher xG (1.78 vs 1.35), more shots on target (5.11 vs 3.61) and Radnički’s negative away goal difference (-12), I favor a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistical analysis favors a BTTS scenario: hosts Bačka Topola have a seasonal BTTS rate of 59% and BTTS occurred in 100% of their last 5 home matches (5/5), while Radnički Niš has a seasonal BTTS of 44% and only 40% in their last 5 away matches (2/5). Bačka scores an average of 1.59 goals per game (43 goals this season) and averaged 3.4 goals in their last 5 matches (17 goals in 5), while conceding 1.4 goals on average in those five matches, which increases the likelihood of goals from both sides. Radnički scores only 0.83 goals per game seasonally with an xG of 1.35 (indicating low finishing: conversion rate 7% versus Bačka’s 12%), but concedes 1.5 goals per game on the season and 1.0 in the last 5, creating scoring opportunities. Additionally, the league average BTTS is 53%, and the hosts average 4.29 shots on target per game versus the visitors' 3.61, which favors goals from both sides. Given the hosts’ 100% BTTS in their last 5 matches, the relatively high home BTTS rate of 59% and the league average of 53%, the stronger signal is BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The model projects 1.44 goals for Bačka Topola and 1.36 goals for Radnički Niš, totaling 2.80 goals. Supporting data: Bačka has a seasonal goals average of 1.59 and xG 1.46 and scored 17 goals in the last 5 matches (3.4 per game), while Radnički has a seasonal average of 0.83 and xG 1.35 and 6 goals in the last 5 (1.2 per game). Additionally, the hosts average 12.82 shots and 4.29 shots on target per match with a conversion rate of 12%, versus the visitors’ 11.22 shots and 3.61 on target with a 7% conversion, which favors Bačka’s offensive efficiency. Season shares show Bačka’s matches finished over 1.5 in 71% of cases and Radnički in 67%, and over 2.5 in 59% and 39% respectively; Bačka had 100% of last 5 matches over 2.5. With an expected total of 2.80 and a Poisson distribution, the probability of at least 2 goals is about 77%, making Over 1.5 the strongest signal (Over 2.5 ~53%, Over 3.5 ~31%), therefore I recommend backing the over on the 1.5 line.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Statistics favor Bačka Topola: the hosts average 0.82 goals by half-time versus Radnički Niš's 0.28 and lead at the break in 35% of matches compared to the visitors' 17%. Over full matches Bačka wins 53% of games and scores an average of 1.59 goals per match, versus 0.83 goals and 17% wins for Radnički, indicating a clear home advantage. In the last 5 matches Bačka led at the break in 40% of games and scored 13 goals in the first 45 minutes (the visitors only 4); they also register more shots on target (4.29 vs 3.61) and have a higher conversion rate (12% vs 7%). Bačka scored 8 goals between the 31st and 45th minute, while Radnički conceded 7 in that interval, so the most likely scenario is the hosts leading at half-time and holding on for the win (1/1); alternatively, a draw at half-time followed by a home win (X/1) is the second most probable option.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bačka Topola | Radnički Niš | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bačka Topola is 12% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.2 goals / match - Bačka Topola · 1.34 goals / match - Radnički Niš
Bačka Topola scores in 66% of matches (23 of 35 matches), while Radnički Niš keeps a clean sheet in 23% (8 of 35 matches).
Radnički Niš scores in 69% of matches (24 of 35 matches), while Bačka Topola keeps a clean sheet in 26% (9 of 35 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bačka Topola
Over / Under - Radnički Niš
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Radnički Niš is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Bačka Topola · 1.2 pts / match - Radnički Niš
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bačka Topola - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Radnički Niš - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.6 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 2.6 | 2.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 60% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +7 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bačka Topola
Radnički Niš
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (SuperLiga).
Teams vs league
| Bačka Topola | Liga | Radnički Niš | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 2.68 | ▼ 2.54 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 53% | ▼ 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 50% | • 49% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 26% | 29% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 70% | • 69% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 69% | 74% | ▲ 89% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bačka Topola 1 - 1 - 0 Radnički Niš. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bačka Topola vs Radnički Niš?
The SuperLiga match finished Bačka Topola 1:2 Radnički Niš. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bačka Topola and Radnički Niš?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bačka Topola won 1, Radnički Niš won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bačka Topola vs Radnički Niš?
Bačka Topola score 1.23 goals per game on average and Radnički Niš 1.20. The SuperLiga average is 2.68 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Bačka Topola's matches and 51% of Radnički Niš's.
What form are Bačka Topola and Radnički Niš in?
Over the last 5 games Bačka Topola have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Radnički Niš 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bačka Topola vs Radnički Niš?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.