Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema: match statistics
Bahardar demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 67% clean sheet record at their home stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +3 in home fixtures, averaging 1.17 goals scored while conceding just 0.67 per match. Dire Dawa Kenema exhibits offensive struggles on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals, with a failure to score in 40% of their away games. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.49 vs 1.02), and their superiority in shots on target (4 vs 2.2) underscores their greater efficiency. Although both teams share an identical PPG (1.2) over the last five matches, Bahardar's home advantage combined with the visitors' lack of scoring punch points towards a home victory, though a draw remains a viable scenario.
Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar played Dire Dawa Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bahardar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Dire Dawa Kenema: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.75 and concedes 0.75 goals per match. Dire Dawa Kenema scores 0.75 and concedes 1.17. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 33%, Dire Dawa Kenema 42%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 25%, Dire Dawa Kenema 33%. League level: BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.06. Bahardar: 8.9 shots per match, Dire Dawa Kenema: 6.7.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 8%, second-half goals 0.50. Dire Dawa Kenema: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.50.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). Dire Dawa Kenema: 76-90+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 44%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahardar demonstrates solid home form with a 50% win rate and an impressive 67% clean sheet record at their home stadium. The hosts hold a positive goal difference of +3 in home fixtures, averaging 1.17 goals scored while conceding just 0.67 per match. Dire Dawa Kenema exhibits offensive struggles on the road, averaging only 0.8 goals, with a failure to score in 40% of their away games. xG statistics also favor the hosts (1.49 vs 1.02), and their superiority in shots on target (4 vs 2.2) underscores their greater efficiency. Although both teams share an identical PPG (1.2) over the last five matches, Bahardar's home advantage combined with the visitors' lack of scoring punch points towards a home victory, though a draw remains a viable scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.25 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahardar is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.75 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.17 goals / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Bahardar scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Dire Dawa Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 25% (3 of 12 matches).
Dire Dawa Kenema scores in 50% of matches (6 of 12 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 58% (7 of 12 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahardar
Over / Under - Dire Dawa Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahardar is 30% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.08 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.83 pts / match - Dire Dawa Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 8% of matches and wins 25%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Dire Dawa Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Dire Dawa Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Dire Dawa Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.78 | ▲ 1.92 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 44% | ▼ 42% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 25% | 28% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 58% | 38% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 25% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 59% | ▲ 75% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:0 Dire Dawa Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Bahardar score 0.75 goals per game on average and Dire Dawa Kenema 0.75. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Bahardar's matches and 42% of Dire Dawa Kenema's.
What form are Bahardar and Dire Dawa Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Dire Dawa Kenema 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bahardar vs Dire Dawa Kenema: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.