Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: match statistics
Bahardar presents solid home form with 78% clean sheets and just 0.44 goals conceded on average per match at home, making them a difficult rival at their own stadium. However, their offensive efficiency is problematic – just 0.78 goals per match in home games and as many as 56% of meetings without a scored goal. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better shooting efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 8% for the hosts), but a weak away defense conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory – Bahardar with a series of four draws, and the guests with only one win in the last five matches. Considering the defensive strength of the hosts and their tendency to draw (56% of home matches), as well as the offensive problems of both teams, a draw or a narrow victory for Bahardar seems most likely.
Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar played Ethiopia Nigd Bank in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 5 February 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Bahardar: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.67 and concedes 0.61 goals per match. Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores 1.11 and concedes 1.22. League average: 1.69 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 33%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 67%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 22%, Ethiopia Nigd Bank 39%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.16. Bahardar: 8.4 shots per match, Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 6.6.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 6%, second-half goals 0.50. Ethiopia Nigd Bank: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). Ethiopia Nigd Bank: 76-90+ (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.69 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahardar presents solid home form with 78% clean sheets and just 0.44 goals conceded on average per match at home, making them a difficult rival at their own stadium. However, their offensive efficiency is problematic – just 0.78 goals per match in home games and as many as 56% of meetings without a scored goal. Ethiopia Nigd Bank has better shooting efficiency (18% shot conversion vs 8% for the hosts), but a weak away defense conceding an average of 1.33 goals per match. The recent form of both teams is unsatisfactory – Bahardar with a series of four draws, and the guests with only one win in the last five matches. Considering the defensive strength of the hosts and their tendency to draw (56% of home matches), as well as the offensive problems of both teams, a draw or a narrow victory for Bahardar seems most likely.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.43 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahardar is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.8 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
0.67 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.11 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Bahardar is 100% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.61 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.22 goals / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Bahardar scores in 44% of matches (8 of 18 matches), while Ethiopia Nigd Bank keeps a clean sheet in 22% (4 of 18 matches).
Ethiopia Nigd Bank scores in 78% of matches (14 of 18 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 61% (11 of 18 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahardar
Over / Under - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahardar is 19% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.06 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.89 pts / match - Ethiopia Nigd Bank
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 6% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Ethiopia Nigd Bank - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Ethiopia Nigd Bank
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Ethiopia Nigd Bank | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.28 | 1.69 | ▲ 2.33 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 40% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▲ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 61% | 42% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 17% | 54% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 44% | 56% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 2:2 Ethiopia Nigd Bank. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
Bahardar score 0.67 goals per game on average and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1.11. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.69 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Bahardar's matches and 67% of Ethiopia Nigd Bank's.
What form are Bahardar and Ethiopia Nigd Bank in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Ethiopia Nigd Bank 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank?
The statistical background for Bahardar vs Ethiopia Nigd Bank — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.