Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahardar played Ethiopian Medhin in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 30 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bahardar: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Ethiopian Medhin: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahardar scores 1.00 and concedes 0.86 goals per match. Ethiopian Medhin scores 0.83 and concedes 0.83. League average: 1.82 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahardar 43%, Ethiopian Medhin 33%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 29%, Ethiopian Medhin 33%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.

xG, shots and style

Bahardar has higher xG: 1.18 vs 1.17. Bahardar: 7.3 shots per match, Ethiopian Medhin: 6.5.

Match halves

Bahardar: half-time lead 14%, second-half goals 0.71. Ethiopian Medhin: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.17.

Goals by minute

Bahardar: 76-90+ (3 goals). Ethiopian Medhin: 16-30 (2 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.82 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 30%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

49Possession (%)51
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
13Shots8
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Shots on target2
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.72xG1.39
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Corners7
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
86Dangerous attacks102
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14Fouls14
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0Cards0
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1Goals scored / match0.83
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.86Goals conceded / match0.83
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Average possession54%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.86Shots on target / match3
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7.29Shots per match6.5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
2.86Shots on target3
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
13.7%Shot conversion12.8%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
51%Possession54%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.18xG for1.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.13xG against1.38
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Shooting quality

Bahardar: Efficient finishingEthiopian Medhin: Balanced
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
Accuracy (shots on target)39%46%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.18
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.350.28

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Ethiopian Medhin is 40% better for: last-5 form.

1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.4 pts / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar
DDLWL
Season result split
29% W43% R29% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-3-2
1.29 pts / match · goal difference +1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-2-2
1.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 at home
2-1-1
WDLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.6Goals conceded: 0.8xG: 1.14Opponent xG: 1.19BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%
Ethiopian Medhin
WDLWL
Season result split
33% W33% R33% P
Season (W-D-L)
2-2-2
1.33 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
2-1-1
Last 5 away
2-1-1
DWLW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.27Opponent xG: 1.38BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bahardar is 20% better for: goals scored per match.

1 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.83 goals / match - Ethiopian Medhin

Bahardar scoring profile: mixed

Bahardar scores in 57% of matches (4 of 7 matches), while Ethiopian Medhin keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).

Ethiopian Medhin scoring profile: more difficult

Ethiopian Medhin scores in 33% of matches (2 of 6 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 43% (3 of 7 matches).

7Goals scored (season)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
6Goals conceded (season)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.86Average goals in match1.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
3Goals scored (last 5)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
4Goals conceded (last 5)5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they score at least...

57%1 goal33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
29%2 goals33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%3 goals17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

How often they concede at least...

57%1 goal67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%2 goals17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%3 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%4 goals0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

41%
League average

Goal patterns

14%BTTS at half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Scored in both halves17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

BTTS and goal count

29%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
20%BTTS - last 540%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

29%Min. 1 goal before half-time50%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 3 goals before half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

2nd half

57%Min. 1 goal after half-time50%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
43%Min. 2 goals after half-time17%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
14%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahardar - half-time state
14% leading71% draw14% trailing
Ethiopian Medhin - half-time state
17% leading67% draw17% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.14Points per match (1st half)1.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.29Goals scored (1st half)0.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.43Goals conceded (1st half)0.33
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.71Average goals (1st half)1
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
86%Clean sheet before half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
71%No goal before half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

After half-time (2nd half)

1.43Points per match (2nd half)1
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.71Goals scored (2nd half)0.17
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
0.43Goals conceded (2nd half)0.5
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
1.14Average goals (2nd half)0.67
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
57%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin
57%No goal after half-time83%
BahardarEthiopian Medhin

Bahardar - second-half results

29% W57% R14% P
8
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
10
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.14
PPG before half-time
Lead holding207%

Leads at half-time in 14% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Ethiopian Medhin - second-half results

17% W50% R33% P
7
Half-time points
4
Half-time goals
+2
Goal difference (1st half)
6
Second-half points
-2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.17
PPG before half-time
Lead holding194%

Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.801.20
Goals scored / match0.20.4
Goals conceded / match0.60.2
Average goals in match0.80.6
1 goal20%40%
2 goals20%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet80%80%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-2+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 1
Ethiopian Medhin - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.00
Goals scored / match0.80.2
Goals conceded / match0.40.6
Average goals in match1.20.8
1 goal60%60%
2 goals40%20%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference+2-2
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 40% draw - 40% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 4

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
2
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (3 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Ethiopian Medhin
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
2
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
2
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (2 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.76
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.9 : 0.8
Estimated goal split
home : away
97%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
38%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
19%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
29%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 3 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.05
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.09
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.18
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.27
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
115%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
91%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.29
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.4
Late goals
43% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 14% come in the first quarter-hour.
43%

Ethiopian Medhin

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.21
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.21
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.34
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.55
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
88%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
95%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.07
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.5
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

BahardarLigaEthiopian Medhin
Average goals in match 1.861.82 1.67
Both teams scored 43%41% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 29%30% 33%
Clean sheets 43%39% 33%
Goal before half-time 29%54% 50%
Goal after half-time 57%62% 50%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.82
Average goals per match
41%
Both teams scored
30%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
39%
Clean sheets
0.87
Home goals / match
0.94
Away goals / match
+-7%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+-3%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
25%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
62%
1 goal
21%
2 goals
7%
3 goals
1%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 1:0 Ethiopian Medhin. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

Bahardar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Ethiopian Medhin 0.83. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.82 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 30% of games. Both teams score in 43% of Bahardar's matches and 33% of Ethiopian Medhin's.

What form are Bahardar and Ethiopian Medhin in?

Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Ethiopian Medhin 2-1-2 (1.40 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin?

The statistical background for Bahardar vs Ethiopian Medhin — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.