Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahardar played Mebrat Hayl in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 22 November 2025. Final score: 2:0.

Current form

Bahardar: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Mebrat Hayl: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahardar scores 1.00 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Mebrat Hayl scores 1.00 and concedes 0.20. League average: 1.76 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahardar 60%, Mebrat Hayl 20%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 40%, Mebrat Hayl 20%. League level: BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 29%.

xG, shots and style

Bahardar has higher xG: 1.09 vs 0.99. Bahardar: 7.0 shots per match, Mebrat Hayl: 6.2.

Match halves

Bahardar: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.60. Mebrat Hayl: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.00.

Goals by minute

Bahardar: 76-90+ (2 goals). Mebrat Hayl: 46-60 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Ethiopia Premier League: 1.76 goals per match, BTTS 39%, Over 2.5 29%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
2 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

51Possession (%)49
BahardarMebrat Hayl
11Shots6
BahardarMebrat Hayl
5Shots on target1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1.74xG1.09
BahardarMebrat Hayl
4Corners1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
95Dangerous attacks87
BahardarMebrat Hayl
11Fouls16
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0Cards0
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1Goals scored / match1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1Goals conceded / match0.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
51%Average possession54%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
2.6Shots on target / match2.8
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

7Shots per match6.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
2.6Shots on target2.8
BahardarMebrat Hayl
14.3%Shot conversion16.1%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
51%Possession54%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1.09xG for0.99
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1.15xG against0.82
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Shooting quality

Bahardar: Efficient finishingMebrat Hayl: Efficient finishing
BahardarMebrat Hayl
Accuracy (shots on target)37%45%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.160.16
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.380.36

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Mebrat Hayl is 83% better for: last-5 form.

1.2 pts / match - Bahardar · 2.2 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Bahardar
WDDDL
Season result split
20% W60% R20% P
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match · goal difference 0
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-3-1
1.20 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
1-1-1
Last 5 at home
1-1-1
WDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 1.0xG: 1.09Opponent xG: 1.15BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 40%
Mebrat Hayl
WDWWD
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
60% W40% R0% P
Season (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-2-0
2.20 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
1-1-0
Last 5 away
1-1-0
DW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 0.2xG: 0.99Opponent xG: 0.82BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 20%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Mebrat Hayl is 400% better for: goals conceded per match.

1 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.2 goals / match - Mebrat Hayl

Bahardar scoring profile: more difficult

Bahardar scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Mebrat Hayl keeps a clean sheet in 80% (4 of 5 matches).

Mebrat Hayl scoring profile: mixed

Mebrat Hayl scores in 60% of matches (3 of 5 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).

5Goals scored (season)5
BahardarMebrat Hayl
5Goals conceded (season)1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
2Average goals in match1.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
5Goals scored (last 5)5
BahardarMebrat Hayl
5Goals conceded (last 5)1
BahardarMebrat Hayl

How often they score at least...

60%1 goal60%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%2 goals20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%3 goals20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

How often they concede at least...

60%1 goal20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%2 goals0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%3 goals0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0%4 goals0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

39%
League average

Goal patterns

20%BTTS at half-time0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%Scored in both halves0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

BTTS and goal count

40%Min. 3 goals and BTTS20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
60%BTTS - last 520%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

40%Min. 1 goal before half-time20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%Min. 2 goals before half-time0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%Min. 3 goals before half-time0%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

2nd half

40%Min. 1 goal after half-time60%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
40%Min. 2 goals after half-time20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
20%Min. 3 goals after half-time20%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahardar is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.2 pts / match - Bahardar · 0.8 pts / match - Mebrat Hayl

Bahardar - half-time state
20% leading60% draw20% trailing
Mebrat Hayl - half-time state
0% leading80% draw20% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.2Points per match (1st half)0.8
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0.4Goals scored (1st half)0
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0.6Goals conceded (1st half)0.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1Average goals (1st half)0.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
80%Clean sheet before half-time80%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
60%No goal before half-time100%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

After half-time (2nd half)

1.4Points per match (2nd half)2.2
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0.6Goals scored (2nd half)1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
0.4Goals conceded (2nd half)0
BahardarMebrat Hayl
1Average goals (2nd half)1
BahardarMebrat Hayl
60%Clean sheet after half-time100%
BahardarMebrat Hayl
60%No goal after half-time40%
BahardarMebrat Hayl

Bahardar - second-half results

20% W80% R0% P
6
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.20
PPG before half-time
Lead holding100%

Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Mebrat Hayl - second-half results

60% W40% R0% P
4
Half-time points
0
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
11
Second-half points
+5
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.80
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.2

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahardar - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.201.40
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.60.4
Average goals in match1.01.0
1 goal40%40%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals20%20%
Clean sheet80%60%
No goal60%60%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 80% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Mebrat Hayl - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.802.20
Goals scored / match0.01.0
Goals conceded / match0.20.0
Average goals in match0.21.0
1 goal20%60%
2 goals0%20%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet80%100%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-1+5
Half-time: 0% leading - 80% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 40% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahardar
ScoredConceded
1
1
0-15
0
1
16-30
1
1
31-45
1
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
2
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Mebrat Hayl
ScoredConceded
0
1
0-15
0
0
16-30
0
0
31-45
4
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
0
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

1.60
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
0.6 : 1.0
Estimated goal split
home : away
91%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
40%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
36%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
16%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 6 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahardar

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.06
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.06
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.5 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.09
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.15
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
118%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
109%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
40% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 20% come in the first quarter-hour.
40%

Mebrat Hayl

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.17
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.63
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.01
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.62
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
109%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
24%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+1.0
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 0% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).

Teams vs league

BahardarLigaMebrat Hayl
Average goals in match 2.001.76 1.20
Both teams scored 60%39% 20%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 40%29% 20%
Clean sheets 40%42% 80%
Goal before half-time 40%53% 20%
Goal after half-time 40%54% 60%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

1.76
Average goals per match
39%
Both teams scored
29%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
42%
Clean sheets
0.85
Home goals / match
0.92
Away goals / match
+-8%
Home attack advantage
+-8%
Home defence advantage
+-1%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
53%
1 goal
24%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
54%
1 goal
22%
2 goals
8%
3 goals
2%
4 goals

FAQ

What was the result of Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl?

The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 2:0 Mebrat Hayl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl?

Bahardar score 1.00 goals per game on average and Mebrat Hayl 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.76 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 29% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bahardar's matches and 20% of Mebrat Hayl's.

What form are Bahardar and Mebrat Hayl in?

Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Mebrat Hayl 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl?

The statistical background for Bahardar vs Mebrat Hayl — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.