Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema: match statistics
Bahardar presents solid home form with 43% victories and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent to break down. Overall, the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches (1W-4D), evidencing defensive stability. Mekelle Kenema occupies the penultimate spot in the table and has a weaker away record (29% wins, 43% losses), although they have recently improved their form, gaining 1.6 points per match. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.41 vs 1.14), and Bahardar averages more goals in home matches. Given the hosts' advantage, their solid defense, and the visitors' weaker away disposition, I expect a Bahardar win, though the tendency of both teams to draw makes that result a possibility as well.
Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar played Mekelle Kenema in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match was played on 15 January 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bahardar: 1-4-0, 1.40 points/match. Mekelle Kenema: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.79 and concedes 0.71 goals per match. Mekelle Kenema scores 1.00 and concedes 1.21. League average: 1.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 36%, Mekelle Kenema 57%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 29%, Mekelle Kenema 43%. League level: BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Mekelle Kenema has higher xG: 1.23 vs 1.22. Bahardar: 8.7 shots per match, Mekelle Kenema: 7.0.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 7%, second-half goals 0.57. Mekelle Kenema: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 76-90+ (4 goals). Mekelle Kenema: 16-30 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.71 goals per match, BTTS 42%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahardar presents solid home form with 43% victories and an impressive 71% clean sheets at their own stadium, making them a tough opponent to break down. Overall, the team remains unbeaten in their last five matches (1W-4D), evidencing defensive stability. Mekelle Kenema occupies the penultimate spot in the table and has a weaker away record (29% wins, 43% losses), although they have recently improved their form, gaining 1.6 points per match. xG statistics show a slight advantage for the hosts (1.41 vs 1.14), and Bahardar averages more goals in home matches. Given the hosts' advantage, their solid defense, and the visitors' weaker away disposition, I expect a Bahardar win, though the tendency of both teams to draw makes that result a possibility as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 47% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mekelle Kenema is 14% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.6 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mekelle Kenema is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Bahardar · 1 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Bahardar is 70% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.71 goals / match - Bahardar · 1.21 goals / match - Mekelle Kenema
Bahardar scores in 50% of matches (7 of 14 matches), while Mekelle Kenema keeps a clean sheet in 29% (4 of 14 matches).
Mekelle Kenema scores in 71% of matches (10 of 14 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 57% (8 of 14 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahardar
Over / Under - Mekelle Kenema
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mekelle Kenema is 34% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.07 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.43 pts / match - Mekelle Kenema
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 7% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Mekelle Kenema - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 14%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Mekelle Kenema
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Mekelle Kenema | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.50 | 1.71 | ▲ 2.21 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 42% | ▲ 57% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 29% | 27% | ▲ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 57% | 40% | ▼ 29% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 21% | 56% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 50% | 57% | ▲ 64% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 0:0 Mekelle Kenema. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
Bahardar score 0.79 goals per game on average and Mekelle Kenema 1.00. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Bahardar's matches and 57% of Mekelle Kenema's.
What form are Bahardar and Mekelle Kenema in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 1-4-0 record (1.40 points per game) and Mekelle Kenema 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema?
The statistical background for Bahardar vs Mekelle Kenema — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.