Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie: match statistics
Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahardar play Shire Endaselassie in Ethiopia Premier League (Ethiopia). The match date is 1 May 2026 at 15:00. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bahardar: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match. Shire Endaselassie: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahardar scores 0.74 and concedes 0.74 goals per match. Shire Endaselassie scores 0.65 and concedes 0.86. League average: 1.78 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahardar 32%, Shire Endaselassie 27%. Over 2.5: Bahardar 18%, Shire Endaselassie 19%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
xG, shots and style
Bahardar has higher xG: 1.26 vs 0.95. Bahardar: 8.3 shots per match, Shire Endaselassie: 5.3.
Match halves
Bahardar: half-time lead 11%, second-half goals 0.53. Shire Endaselassie: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.27.
Goals by minute
Bahardar: 46-60 (8 goals). Shire Endaselassie: 0-15 (5 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Ethiopia Premier League: 1.78 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 28%.
Head-to-head
1 H2H matches: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
Bahardar is the favorite due to superior form: in the last 5 matches they have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss (average 1.6 points per match), while Shire in the same period has 0 wins, 2 draws and 3 losses (average 0.4 points per match). At home Bahardar scores on average 0.79 goals per match with xG 1.36 and averages 9.21 shots of which 3.29 are on target; Shire away records 0.57 goals with xG 0.97 and averages 5.43 shots with 2.21 on target. Defensively the hosts also look better — Bahardar concedes 0.79 goals per home match and has 57% clean sheets, while Shire concedes 0.86 goals away and has only 36% clean sheets. However, both teams have a high share of matches without scoring (Bahardar 57% at home, Shire 64% away) and the hosts register as many as 50% draws at home, which increases the risk of a low-scoring game or point split. Considering Bahardar's advantage in xG (1.36 vs 0.97), higher shot volume and superior points efficiency over the last five matches (1.6 vs 0.4), I tip the home win, although a draw remains a realistic scenario.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahardar | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.15 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.30 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Shire Endaselassie is 67% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Bahardar · 1 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahardar is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.65 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Bahardar is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.74 goals / match - Bahardar · 0.86 goals / match - Shire Endaselassie
Bahardar scores in 47% of matches (18 of 38 matches), while Shire Endaselassie keeps a clean sheet in 41% (15 of 37 matches).
Shire Endaselassie scores in 46% of matches (17 of 37 matches), while Bahardar keeps a clean sheet in 53% (20 of 38 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahardar
Over / Under — Shire Endaselassie
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Shire Endaselassie is 27% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1 pts / match - Bahardar · 1.27 pts / match - Shire Endaselassie
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahardar - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 11% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Shire Endaselassie - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 24%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahardar
Shire Endaselassie
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Ethiopia Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bahardar | Liga | Shire Endaselassie | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.47 | 1.78 | ▼ 1.51 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 32% | 40% | ▼ 27% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 18% | 28% | ▼ 19% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 53% | 40% | • 41% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 39% | 56% | ▼ 51% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 47% | 59% | ▼ 51% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bahardar 0 - 1 - 0 Shire Endaselassie. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie?
The Ethiopia Premier League match finished Bahardar 1:1 Shire Endaselassie. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie?
Bahardar score 0.74 goals per game on average and Shire Endaselassie 0.65. The Ethiopia Premier League average is 1.78 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 28% of games. Both teams score in 32% of Bahardar's matches and 27% of Shire Endaselassie's.
What form are Bahardar and Shire Endaselassie in?
Over the last 5 games Bahardar have a 0-3-2 record (0.60 points per game) and Shire Endaselassie 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bahardar vs Shire Endaselassie: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.