Bahia vs Bragantino: match statistics
Bahia is displaying significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches overall (PPG: 2.6) and a 10:5 goal difference, whereas Bragantino has managed only 1 point per game on average in their last 5 outings. The hosts remain unbeaten this season (3-2-0) and have not lost any home match, although both home fixtures ended in draws. Bragantino has poor away efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 33% FTS) despite a high xG (2.06), pointing to finishing issues. The xG stats favor the visitors (2.06 vs 1.68), but actual results and current form lean towards the hosts. Taking into account Bahia's home draws and the unpredictability of both sides, I predict a home win with moderate probability, with a substantial chance of a draw.
Bahia vs Bragantino: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia played Bragantino in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 18 March 2026. Final score: 2:0.
Current form
Bahia: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match. Bragantino: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.20 and concedes 0.60 goals per match. Bragantino scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00. League average: 2.77 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 60%, Bragantino 50%. Over 2.5: Bahia 20%, Bragantino 17%. League level: BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Bragantino has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.24. Bahia: 11.6 shots per match, Bragantino: 16.3.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 0.20. Bragantino: half-time lead 50%, second-half goals 0.33.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 31-45+ (3 goals). Bragantino: 31-45+ (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.77 goals per match, BTTS 63%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-0. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia is displaying significantly better form with 4 wins in their last 5 matches overall (PPG: 2.6) and a 10:5 goal difference, whereas Bragantino has managed only 1 point per game on average in their last 5 outings. The hosts remain unbeaten this season (3-2-0) and have not lost any home match, although both home fixtures ended in draws. Bragantino has poor away efficiency (0.67 goals per game, 33% FTS) despite a high xG (2.06), pointing to finishing issues. The xG stats favor the visitors (2.06 vs 1.68), but actual results and current form lean towards the hosts. Taking into account Bahia's home draws and the unpredictability of both sides, I predict a home win with moderate probability, with a substantial chance of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.10 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.27 | 0.15 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 120% better for: last-5 form.
2.2 pts / match - Bahia · 1 pts / match - Bragantino
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 45% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Bahia · 0.83 goals / match - Bragantino
Bahia is 67% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.6 goals / match - Bahia · 1 goals / match - Bragantino
Bahia scores in 100% of matches (5 of 5 matches), while Bragantino keeps a clean sheet in 33% (2 of 6 matches).
Bragantino scores in 83% of matches (5 of 6 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 40% (2 of 5 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Bragantino
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Bahia · 1.83 pts / match - Bragantino
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 60%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bragantino - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 50% of matches and wins 33%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.7 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Bragantino
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Bragantino | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.80 | 2.77 | ▼ 1.83 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 60% | 63% | ▼ 50% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 20% | 46% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 40% | 19% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 80% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 20% | 75% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bahia 2 - 0 - 0 Bragantino. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Bragantino?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 2:0 Bragantino. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Bragantino?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Bragantino won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Bragantino?
Bahia score 1.20 goals per game on average and Bragantino 0.83. The Serie A average is 2.77 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 60% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Bragantino's.
What form are Bahia and Bragantino in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 3-2-0 record (2.20 points per game) and Bragantino 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Bragantino?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.