Bahia vs Palmeiras: match statistics
Bahia vs Palmeiras: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia play Palmeiras in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 6 April 2026 at 00:30. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bahia: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Palmeiras: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.47 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Palmeiras scores 1.67 and concedes 0.72. League average: 2.64 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 68%, Palmeiras 61%. Over 2.5: Bahia 53%, Palmeiras 50%. League level: BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Bahia has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.43. Bahia: 14.5 shots per match, Palmeiras: 13.1.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 37%, second-half goals 0.74. Palmeiras: half-time lead 61%, second-half goals 0.67.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 76-90+ (8 goals). Palmeiras: 16-30 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.64 goals per match, BTTS 58%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
2 H2H matches: 2-0-0. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Match description
The match looks balanced — Bahia averages 1.75 goals per home game, while Palmeiras scores 1.75 on the road; Palmeiras sit top of the table (1st) with 7 wins this season versus Bahia's 5. Bahia's main advantage is control and chance creation: at home they register 54% possession, on average 13.5 shots of which 6.5 are on target, and an average xG of 1.57, while conceding only 0.5 goals per game and keeping clean sheets in 50% of matches. Palmeiras compensate with finishing and form — 19 goals this season, a shot conversion rate of 18% (versus Bahia's 13%), 4 wins in their last 5 matches and an average of 2.4 points per match over that period. The xG difference (1.57 vs 1.11) and shot volume (13.5 vs 9.5) favour Bahia in quality of chances, but Palmeiras’ higher efficiency means the game could be tight and decided by one or two moments. Considering Bahia's zero percent home loss rate and very low average concession of 0.5 goals, I give a slight edge to the hosts and back a Bahia victory.
Half-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 34% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palmeiras is 13% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bahia · 1.8 pts / match - Palmeiras
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palmeiras is 14% better for: goals scored per match.
1.47 goals / match - Bahia · 1.67 goals / match - Palmeiras
Palmeiras is 75% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Bahia · 0.72 goals / match - Palmeiras
Bahia scores in 95% of matches (18 of 19 matches), while Palmeiras keeps a clean sheet in 39% (7 of 18 matches).
Palmeiras scores in 94% of matches (17 of 18 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 26% (5 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under — Bahia
Over / Under — Palmeiras
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palmeiras is 64% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.32 pts / match - Bahia · 2.17 pts / match - Palmeiras
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 37% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Palmeiras - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 61% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goli). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (8 goli). Concedes most in 46-60 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): +5 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Palmeiras
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Palmeiras | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.74 | 2.64 | ▼ 2.39 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 68% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 53% | 50% | • 50% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 26% | 23% | ▲ 39% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 95% | 77% | ▲ 89% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 68% | 78% | ▼ 56% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bahia 2 - 0 - 0 Palmeiras. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Palmeiras?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:2 Palmeiras. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Palmeiras?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 2, Palmeiras won 0 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 1.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Palmeiras?
Bahia score 1.47 goals per game on average and Palmeiras 1.67. The Serie A average is 2.64 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 68% of Bahia's matches and 61% of Palmeiras's.
What form are Bahia and Palmeiras in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Palmeiras 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Palmeiras?
The statistical background for Bahia vs Palmeiras — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.