Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia play Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match date is 23 November 2025 at 20:00. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bahia: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.32 and concedes 1.21 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.45 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.52 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 50%, Vasco da Gama 47%. Over 2.5: Bahia 50%, Vasco da Gama 55%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.41. Bahia: 13.9 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 12.6.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 34%, second-half goals 0.76. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.84.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Vasco da Gama: 46-60 (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.52 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 46%.

Head-to-head

2 H2H matches: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 50%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
BahiaVasco da Gama
19Shots7
BahiaVasco da Gama
4Shots on target1
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.92xG0.74
BahiaVasco da Gama
11Corners1
BahiaVasco da Gama
61Dangerous attacks30
BahiaVasco da Gama
10Fouls11
BahiaVasco da Gama
2Cards5
BahiaVasco da Gama

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BahiaVasco da Gama
1.32Goals scored / match1.45
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.21Goals conceded / match1.58
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%Average possession55%
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.71Shots on target / match4.61
BahiaVasco da Gama

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.92Shots per match12.63
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.71Shots on target4.61
BahiaVasco da Gama
9.5%Shot conversion11.5%
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%Possession55%
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.54xG for1.41
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.38xG against1.49
BahiaVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedVasco da Gama: Balanced
BahiaVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)34%37%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.280.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 133% better for: last-5 form.

1.4 pts / match - Bahia · 0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia
LWDWL
Season result split
45% W24% R32% P
Season (W-D-L)
17-9-12
1.58 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-2
1.40 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
14-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWLWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 1.2xG: 2.08Opponent xG: 1.20BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 20%
Vasco da Gama
LLWLL
Season result split
34% W16% R50% P
Season (W-D-L)
13-6-19
1.18 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-12
Last 5 away
1-0-4
WLLLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.0Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.03Opponent xG: 1.79BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 40%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 10% better for: goals scored per match.

1.32 goals / match - Bahia · 1.45 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia is 31% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.21 goals / match - Bahia · 1.58 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 82% of matches (31 of 38 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 38 matches).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 63% of matches (24 of 38 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 34% (13 of 38 matches).

50Goals scored (season)55
BahiaVasco da Gama
46Goals conceded (season)60
BahiaVasco da Gama
2.53Average goals in match3.03
BahiaVasco da Gama
6Goals scored (last 5)5
BahiaVasco da Gama
6Goals conceded (last 5)11
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal63%
BahiaVasco da Gama
37%2 goals42%
BahiaVasco da Gama
11%3 goals24%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%4 goals8%
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

66%1 goal82%
BahiaVasco da Gama
34%2 goals50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
16%3 goals21%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%4 goals3%
BahiaVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

47%
League average

Goal patterns

16%BTTS at half-time24%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%BTTS in both halves8%
BahiaVasco da Gama
21%Scored in both halves34%
BahiaVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

37%Min. 3 goals and BTTS37%
BahiaVasco da Gama
13%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
BahiaVasco da Gama
40%BTTS - last 520%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

71%Min. 1 goal before half-time76%
BahiaVasco da Gama
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time42%
BahiaVasco da Gama
8%Min. 3 goals before half-time13%
BahiaVasco da Gama

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time84%
BahiaVasco da Gama
45%Min. 2 goals after half-time55%
BahiaVasco da Gama
24%Min. 3 goals after half-time16%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 8% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.42 pts / match - Bahia · 1.32 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia - half-time state
34% leading39% draw26% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
32% leading37% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.42Points per match (1st half)1.32
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.55Goals scored (1st half)0.61
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.53Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.08Average goals (1st half)1.32
BahiaVasco da Gama
58%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%No goal before half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.55Points per match (2nd half)1.13
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.76Goals scored (2nd half)0.84
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.68Goals conceded (2nd half)0.87
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.45Average goals (2nd half)1.71
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%Clean sheet after half-time39%
BahiaVasco da Gama
42%No goal after half-time53%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Bahia - second-half results

42% W29% R29% P
54
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
59
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.42
PPG before half-time
Lead holding132%

Leads at half-time in 34% of matches and wins 45%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

26% W34% R39% P
50
Half-time points
23
Half-time goals
-4
Goal difference (1st half)
43
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding106%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 34%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.2

Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.202.00
Goals scored / match0.40.8
Goals conceded / match0.60.6
Average goals in match1.01.4
1 goal60%80%
2 goals40%40%
3 goals0%20%
Clean sheet60%60%
No goal60%40%
Goal difference-1+1
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2
Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.200.60
Goals scored / match0.40.6
Goals conceded / match0.61.6
Average goals in match1.02.2
1 goal40%100%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals20%40%
Clean sheet60%20%
No goal80%80%
Goal difference-1-5
Half-time: 20% leading - 60% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
5
10
16-30
11
6
31-45
9
7
46-60
7
9
61-75
13
10
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goli). Concedes most in 16-30 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
7
6
0-15
8
11
16-30
8
10
31-45
12
8
46-60
10
9
61-75
10
16
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (12 goli). Concedes most in 76-90 (16). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.78
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.5 : 1.3
Estimated goal split
home : away
110%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
49%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-10%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.16
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.7 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.22
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.17
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
86%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
121%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.18
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
26% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
26%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.05
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-7.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.04
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.09
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
145%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
103%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.58
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
18% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 13% come in the first quarter-hour.
18%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals in match 2.532.52 3.03
Both teams scored 50%47% 47%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 50%46% 55%
Clean sheets 34%30% 18%
Goal before half-time 71%70% 76%
Goal after half-time 76%76% 84%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.52
Average goals per match
47%
Both teams scored
46%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.53
Home goals / match
1.00
Away goals / match
+53%
Home attack advantage
+35%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
70%
1 goal
30%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
76%
1 goal
39%
2 goals
18%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Bahia 1 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 50% matches.

Vasco da Gama
0 : 1
Bahia
CR Vasco da Gama
3 : 1
EC Bahia

FAQ

What was the result of Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vasco da Gama?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Vasco da Gama won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

Bahia score 1.32 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.45. The Serie A average is 2.52 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Bahia's matches and 47% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are Bahia and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.