Bahia vs Vasco da Gama: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bahia played Vasco da Gama in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 23 November 2025. Final score: 1:0.

Current form

Bahia: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Vasco da Gama: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bahia scores 1.35 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Vasco da Gama scores 1.47 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.46 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bahia 53%, Vasco da Gama 50%. Over 2.5: Bahia 56%, Vasco da Gama 56%. League level: BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

xG, shots and style

Bahia has higher xG: 1.48 vs 1.45. Bahia: 13.3 shots per match, Vasco da Gama: 13.0.

Match halves

Bahia: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.79. Vasco da Gama: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.85.

Goals by minute

Bahia: 76-90+ (13 goals). Vasco da Gama: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie A: 2.46 goals per match, BTTS 48%, Over 2.5 44%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.

Half-by-half

0 : 0
1st half
1 : 0
2nd half

Match statistics

55Possession (%)45
BahiaVasco da Gama
19Shots7
BahiaVasco da Gama
4Shots on target1
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.92xG0.74
BahiaVasco da Gama
11Corners1
BahiaVasco da Gama
61Dangerous attacks30
BahiaVasco da Gama
10Fouls11
BahiaVasco da Gama
2Cards5
BahiaVasco da Gama

Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BahiaVasco da Gama
1.35Goals scored / match1.47
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.26Goals conceded / match1.5
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%Average possession56%
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.47Shots on target / match4.74
BahiaVasco da Gama

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

13.35Shots per match13
BahiaVasco da Gama
4.47Shots on target4.74
BahiaVasco da Gama
10.1%Shot conversion11.3%
BahiaVasco da Gama
55%Possession56%
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.48xG for1.45
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.4xG against1.47
BahiaVasco da Gama

Shooting quality

Bahia: BalancedVasco da Gama: Balanced
BahiaVasco da Gama
Accuracy (shots on target)33%36%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.110.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.31

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bahia is 33% better for: last-5 form.

0.8 pts / match - Bahia · 0.6 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia
LWLDL
Season result split
44% W24% D32% L
Season (W-D-L)
15-8-11
1.56 pts / match · goal difference +3
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
12-3-2
Last 5 at home
4-0-1
WWWWL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 2.2xG: 1.60Opponent xG: 1.59BTTS: 60%Over 2.5: 80%
Vasco da Gama
WLLLL
Season result split
35% W18% D47% L
Season (W-D-L)
12-6-16
1.24 pts / match · goal difference -1
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-0-4
0.60 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
5-2-10
Last 5 away
2-0-3
LWWLL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.8Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.40Opponent xG: 1.70BTTS: 20%Over 2.5: 60%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Vasco da Gama is 9% better for: goals scored per match.

1.35 goals / match - Bahia · 1.47 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.

1.26 goals / match - Bahia · 1.5 goals / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia scoring profile: very strong

Bahia scores in 82% of matches (28 of 34 matches), while Vasco da Gama keeps a clean sheet in 21% (7 of 34 matches).

Vasco da Gama scoring profile: strong

Vasco da Gama scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).

46Goals scored (season)50
BahiaVasco da Gama
43Goals conceded (season)51
BahiaVasco da Gama
2.62Average goals in match2.97
BahiaVasco da Gama
6Goals scored (last 5)4
BahiaVasco da Gama
11Goals conceded (last 5)10
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they score at least...

82%1 goal68%
BahiaVasco da Gama
38%2 goals44%
BahiaVasco da Gama
12%3 goals24%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%4 goals6%
BahiaVasco da Gama

How often they concede at least...

68%1 goal79%
BahiaVasco da Gama
35%2 goals50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
18%3 goals21%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%4 goals0%
BahiaVasco da Gama

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

48%
League average

Goal patterns

15%BTTS at half-time24%
BahiaVasco da Gama
3%BTTS in both halves9%
BahiaVasco da Gama
21%Scored in both halves35%
BahiaVasco da Gama

BTTS and goal count

41%Min. 3 goals and BTTS38%
BahiaVasco da Gama
15%Min. 3 goals without BTTS18%
BahiaVasco da Gama
60%BTTS - last 520%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

74%Min. 1 goal before half-time79%
BahiaVasco da Gama
29%Min. 2 goals before half-time41%
BahiaVasco da Gama
9%Min. 3 goals before half-time12%
BahiaVasco da Gama

2nd half

76%Min. 1 goal after half-time82%
BahiaVasco da Gama
47%Min. 2 goals after half-time53%
BahiaVasco da Gama
26%Min. 3 goals after half-time12%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bahia is 7% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.41 pts / match - Bahia · 1.32 pts / match - Vasco da Gama

Bahia - half-time state
35% leading35% draw29% trailing
Vasco da Gama - half-time state
32% leading35% draw32% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.41Points per match (1st half)1.32
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.56Goals scored (1st half)0.62
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.56Goals conceded (1st half)0.71
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.12Average goals (1st half)1.32
BahiaVasco da Gama
56%Clean sheet before half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama
56%No goal before half-time47%
BahiaVasco da Gama

After half-time (2nd half)

1.53Points per match (2nd half)1.18
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.79Goals scored (2nd half)0.85
BahiaVasco da Gama
0.71Goals conceded (2nd half)0.79
BahiaVasco da Gama
1.5Average goals (2nd half)1.65
BahiaVasco da Gama
53%Clean sheet after half-time41%
BahiaVasco da Gama
41%No goal after half-time50%
BahiaVasco da Gama

Bahia - second-half results

41% W29% D29% L
48
Half-time points
19
Half-time goals
0
Goal difference (1st half)
52
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.41
PPG before half-time
Lead holding126%

Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 44%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Vasco da Gama - second-half results

26% W38% D35% L
45
Half-time points
21
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
40
Second-half points
+2
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.32
PPG before half-time
Lead holding109%

Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Bahia - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.202.00
Goals scored / match0.01.2
Goals conceded / match1.21.0
Average goals in match1.22.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals40%80%
3 goals0%60%
Clean sheet20%40%
No goal100%40%
Goal difference-6+1
Half-time: 0% leading - 20% draw - 80% trailing
2nd half: 60% won - 20% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 0
Vasco da Gama - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.800.60
Goals scored / match0.40.4
Goals conceded / match0.81.2
Average goals in match1.21.6
1 goal80%100%
2 goals20%60%
3 goals20%0%
Clean sheet40%20%
No goal60%80%
Goal difference-2-4
Half-time: 20% leading - 20% draw - 60% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 0% draw - 80% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 20% - Half-time goals total: 2

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bahia
ScoredConceded
5
4
0-15
4
9
16-30
10
6
31-45
8
7
46-60
6
8
61-75
13
9
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +4 - wins late phases.

Vasco da Gama
ScoredConceded
5
6
0-15
8
10
16-30
8
8
31-45
10
7
46-60
9
5
61-75
10
15
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -5 - late phases are a weakness.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.79
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.4 : 1.4
Estimated goal split
home : away
113%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
52%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
+43%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
56%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
6%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 17 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bahia

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.08
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.4 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.13
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
91%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
127%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.76
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
28% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 11% come in the first quarter-hour.
28%

Vasco da Gama

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.02
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.01
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-8.0 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.02
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.03
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
148%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
101%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.64
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 10% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).

Teams vs league

BahiaLigaVasco da Gama
Average goals in match 2.622.46 2.97
Both teams scored 53%48% 50%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 56%44% 56%
Clean sheets 32%30% 21%
Goal before half-time 74%69% 79%
Goal after half-time 76%74% 82%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.46
Average goals per match
48%
Both teams scored
44%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
30%
Clean sheets
1.48
Home goals / match
0.99
Away goals / match
+49%
Home attack advantage
+33%
Home defence advantage
+26%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
69%
1 goal
29%
2 goals
10%
3 goals
1%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
17%
3 goals
5%
4 goals

Lineups and player events

Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.

Match timeline

Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.

  1. BahiaYellow cardSantiago Ramos Mingo
  2. Vasco da GamaYellow cardCauan Lucas Barros da Luz
  3. Vasco da GamaSubstitutionOn: David Correa da FonsecaOff: Matheus França de Oliveira
  4. Vasco da GamaYellow cardRayan Rocha
  5. Vasco da GamaRed cardDavid Correa da Fonseca
  6. BahiaYellow cardSantiago Ramos Mingo
  7. Vasco da GamaSubstitutionOn: Danilo das Neves PinheiroOff: Cauan Lucas Barros da Luz
  8. Vasco da GamaYellow cardDanilo das Neves Pinheiro

Referee and managers

Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.

Head-to-head

Previous meeting: Bahia 0 - 0 - 1 Vasco da Gama. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.

CR Vasco da Gama
3 : 1
EC Bahia

FAQ

What was the result of Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:0 Vasco da Gama. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

Bahia score 1.35 goals per game on average and Vasco da Gama 1.47. The Serie A average is 2.46 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 44% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bahia's matches and 50% of Vasco da Gama's.

What form are Bahia and Vasco da Gama in?

Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Vasco da Gama 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vasco da Gama?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.