Bahia vs Vitória: match statistics
Bahia shows significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table and winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Vitória sits in 16th position with a record of one win and two losses this season, and their away form is disastrous - a 100% loss rate on the road. The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs the visitors' 1.08 away) and better offensive efficiency. Vitória concedes an average of 5 goals per away match, which, combined with Bahia's solid offense (12 goals in the last 5 matches), indicates a high probability of a home victory. The quality gap between the teams, backed by statistics, unequivocally favors Bahia in this clash.
Bahia vs Vitória: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bahia played Vitória in Serie A (Brazil). The match was played on 11 March 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bahia: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Vitória: 1-0-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bahia scores 1.33 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Vitória scores 1.33 and concedes 2.33. League average: 2.92 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bahia 67%, Vitória 67%. Over 2.5: Bahia 33%, Vitória 67%. League level: BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Vitória has higher xG: 1.40 vs 1.34. Bahia: 12.7 shots per match, Vitória: 13.0.
Match halves
Bahia: half-time lead 67%, second-half goals 0.33. Vitória: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 1.33.
Goals by minute
Bahia: 31-45+ (2 goals). Vitória: 46-60 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie A: 2.92 goals per match, BTTS 69%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bahia shows significantly better form, occupying 3rd place in the table and winning 4 of their last 5 matches overall. Vitória sits in 16th position with a record of one win and two losses this season, and their away form is disastrous - a 100% loss rate on the road. The hosts have the edge in expected goals (xG 1.84 vs the visitors' 1.08 away) and better offensive efficiency. Vitória concedes an average of 5 goals per away match, which, combined with Bahia's solid offense (12 goals in the last 5 matches), indicates a high probability of a home victory. The quality gap between the teams, backed by statistics, unequivocally favors Bahia in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bahia | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 37% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.28 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bahia is 133% better for: last-5 form.
2.33 pts / match - Bahia · 1 pts / match - Vitória
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bahia is 248% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.67 goals / match - Bahia · 2.33 goals / match - Vitória
Bahia scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Vitória keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
Vitória scores in 100% of matches (3 of 3 matches), while Bahia keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bahia
Over / Under - Vitória
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bahia is 506% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
2 pts / match - Bahia · 0.33 pts / match - Vitória
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bahia - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 67% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Vitória - second-half results
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.67 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.7 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 0.3 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 33% |
| 2 goals | 33% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 100% |
| No goal | 33% | 67% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.33 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.3 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.7 | 0.7 |
| Average goals in match | 1.7 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 67% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 67% | 67% |
| 3 goals | 33% | 33% |
| Clean sheet | 33% | 67% |
| No goal | 100% | 0% |
| Goal difference | -5 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (2 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (3 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bahia
Vitória
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie A).
Teams vs league
| Bahia | Liga | Vitória | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.92 | ▲ 3.67 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 67% | 69% | ▼ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 33% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 33% | 15% | ▲ 33% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 100% | 74% | ▼ 67% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 33% | 79% | ▲ 100% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bahia 1 - 0 - 1 Vitória. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bahia vs Vitória?
The Serie A match finished Bahia 1:1 Vitória. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bahia and Vitória?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bahia won 1, Vitória won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bahia vs Vitória?
Bahia score 1.33 goals per game on average and Vitória 1.33. The Serie A average is 2.92 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Bahia's matches and 67% of Vitória's.
What form are Bahia and Vitória in?
Over the last 5 games Bahia have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Vitória 1-0-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bahia vs Vitória?
The statistical background for Bahia vs Vitória — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.