Bala Town vs Briton Ferry: match statistics
Bala Town vs Briton Ferry: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bala Town played Briton Ferry in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bala Town: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Briton Ferry: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bala Town scores 1.03 and concedes 1.39 goals per match. Briton Ferry scores 1.42 and concedes 1.48. League average: 2.89 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bala Town 39%, Briton Ferry 55%. Over 2.5: Bala Town 42%, Briton Ferry 55%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Briton Ferry has higher xG: 1.44 vs 1.15. Bala Town: 8.6 shots per match, Briton Ferry: 10.7.
Match halves
Bala Town: half-time lead 29%, second-half goals 0.48. Briton Ferry: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.61.
Goals by minute
Bala Town: 46-60 (8 goals). Briton Ferry: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 2.89 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-2. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I predict an away win: Briton Ferry have scored 44 goals this season versus Bala’s 32, and average 1.73 goals per away game while Bala score only 0.87 at home with 2.87 shots on target. In the last 5 matches the visitors have 7 goals and 2 conceded with a 3-1-1 record (2.0 points per game); the hosts have 8 goals and 3 conceded with a 2-2-1 record (1.6 points per game). Defensively Bala concede 1.2 goals per home match versus 1.47 conceded by Briton Ferry away, but xG metrics favor the visitors (xG for: 1.11 home vs 1.40 away; xG against: 1.57 vs 1.67). Additionally the visitors have higher possession and better quality of chances (47% possession vs 41%, conversion rate 16% vs 10% and 4.73 shots on target vs 2.87), and Bala fail to score in 40% of home games compared to only 13% of away games for the visitors. Considering the superior efficiency, higher number of shots on target and xG advantage for the visitors, I give them the better chances to win, while noting a significant draw risk due to Bala’s 47% home draw rate.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal indicators point toward both teams scoring — BTTS is 50% for Bala Town and 60% for Briton Ferry, versus a league average of 51%. xG analysis confirms goal potential: home xG 1.48 implies roughly a 77% chance of scoring at least once, and away xG 1.40 implies roughly 75%; the product of these values suggests an approximate BTTS probability of about 58%. Shot statistics are nearly identical (10.69 vs 10.67) and shots on target (4.56 vs 4.73), with Briton Ferry’s finishing rate 16% versus Bala Town’s 11% increasing the visitors’ chance to score. Counterarguments are the visitors’ higher clean sheets (33% vs 19%) and lower BTTS in Briton Ferry’s last 5 matches (20% vs 40% for the hosts); nevertheless, in their last 5 Bala scored 8 and conceded 3, while Briton Ferry scored 7 and conceded 2, which still supports a Goal/Goal scenario. On this basis I assess BTTS - Yes at 58% versus 42% and recommend the bet.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-and-defensive model projects a combined expected total of ~2.97 goals: 1.58 for Bala Town (attack xG 1.48 vs opponent defense 1.67 → avg 1.58) and 1.39 for Briton Ferry (attack xG 1.40 vs home defense 1.38 → avg 1.39). Seasonal rates support this view — Over 1.5 occurred in 81% of Bala’s matches and 80% of Briton Ferry’s, while Over 0.5 is 88% and 93% respectively, so goalless games are rare. Additionally, both teams scored in 50% of Bala’s matches and 60% of Briton Ferry’s; home and away average 4.56 and 4.73 shots on target per match, with conversion rates of 11% (home) vs 16% (away), which increases the likelihood of at least two goals. Last 5 matches confirm attacking form — Bala 8 goals, Briton Ferry 7, with last-5 average xG of 1.66 and 1.53, so I assess the probability of Over 2.5 as moderately high (~62%), but the strongest signal is for the 1.5 line. Therefore I recommend playing Over 1.5, as the seasonal 81%/80% and projected xG ≈2.97 give stronger backing for this line than for 2.5 or 3.5.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
At half-time a draw is most common: the home side were level at the break in 44% of matches, while the away side were level in 53%, which strongly supports the scenario of a draw after the first 45 minutes. In the second half the advantage lies with the visitors — the average goals scored by away teams in the second half is 0.87 versus 0.38 for hosts, and in minutes 46–60 the visitors scored 6 goals while the hosts only 1 and the hosts conceded 9 goals in that interval. Additionally, the away team has better season metrics: they average 1.73 goals per game versus 1.13 for the home team, achieve a shot conversion rate of 16% versus 11% for the hosts, and won 40% of matches compared to 31% for the hosts, which boosts their chances of a victory after the break. Considering the high share of half-time draws (~44%) and the visitors’ second-half advantage (0.87 vs 0.38, 6 goals in 46–60), the most probable scenario is a draw at half-time and an away win in regular time (X/2). Therefore I assigned the highest weight to X/2 (21%), alongside X/X (13%) and 1/1 (20%) as alternative outcomes.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bala Town | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 44% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.31 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Briton Ferry is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bala Town · 2 pts / match - Briton Ferry
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Briton Ferry is 38% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Bala Town · 1.42 goals / match - Briton Ferry
Bala Town is 6% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.39 goals / match - Bala Town · 1.48 goals / match - Briton Ferry
Bala Town scores in 61% of matches (19 of 31 matches), while Briton Ferry keeps a clean sheet in 26% (8 of 31 matches).
Briton Ferry scores in 71% of matches (22 of 31 matches), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 32% (10 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bala Town
Over / Under - Briton Ferry
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Briton Ferry is 26% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.23 pts / match - Bala Town · 1.55 pts / match - Briton Ferry
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bala Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 29% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Briton Ferry - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bala Town
Briton Ferry
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bala Town | Liga | Briton Ferry | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.42 | 2.89 | • 2.90 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 51% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 54% | • 55% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 32% | 29% | ▼ 26% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 71% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 65% | 76% | • 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bala Town 0 - 1 - 2 Briton Ferry. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bala Town vs Briton Ferry?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Bala Town 1:2 Briton Ferry. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bala Town and Briton Ferry?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bala Town won 0, Briton Ferry won 2 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bala Town vs Briton Ferry?
Bala Town score 1.03 goals per game on average and Briton Ferry 1.42. The Welsh Premier League average is 2.89 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Bala Town's matches and 55% of Briton Ferry's.
What form are Bala Town and Briton Ferry in?
Over the last 5 games Bala Town have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Briton Ferry 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bala Town vs Briton Ferry?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.