Bala Town vs Cardiff MU: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry with an advantage for a draw. Bala Town displays poor home form with only 17% wins and a goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per match. Cardiff MU is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (55%), which confirms their tendency to share points. The recent form of both teams is similar (0.6 PPG), and the xG values are close, suggesting balanced quality of play. Cardiff has better shooting accuracy (16% vs 11%) and fails to score less frequently (18% vs 42%), which gives them a slight advantage, but their defense also falters away. Taking into account the hosts' poor form and the guests' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
Bala Town vs Cardiff MU: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bala Town played Cardiff MU in Welsh Premier League (Wales). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Bala Town: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Cardiff MU: 0-3-2, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bala Town scores 0.96 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Cardiff MU scores 1.43 and concedes 1.65. League average: 3.10 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bala Town 35%, Cardiff MU 65%. Over 2.5: Bala Town 39%, Cardiff MU 61%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 58%.
xG, shots and style
Cardiff MU has higher xG: 1.38 vs 1.11. Bala Town: 8.1 shots per match, Cardiff MU: 10.7.
Match halves
Bala Town: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.43. Cardiff MU: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.83.
Goals by minute
Bala Town: 0-15 (6 goals). Cardiff MU: 46-60 (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Welsh Premier League: 3.10 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 58%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 50%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates a balanced rivalry with an advantage for a draw. Bala Town displays poor home form with only 17% wins and a goal difference of -6, conceding an average of 1.42 goals per match. Cardiff MU is characterized by a high percentage of draws away (55%), which confirms their tendency to share points. The recent form of both teams is similar (0.6 PPG), and the xG values are close, suggesting balanced quality of play. Cardiff has better shooting accuracy (16% vs 11%) and fails to score less frequently (18% vs 42%), which gives them a slight advantage, but their defense also falters away. Taking into account the hosts' poor form and the guests' tendency to draw, the most likely outcome is a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bala Town | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 42% | 37% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.36 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Cardiff MU is 49% better for: goals scored per match.
0.96 goals / match - Bala Town · 1.43 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Bala Town is 11% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Bala Town · 1.65 goals / match - Cardiff MU
Bala Town scores in 57% of matches (13 of 23 matches), while Cardiff MU keeps a clean sheet in 17% (4 of 23 matches).
Cardiff MU scores in 74% of matches (17 of 23 matches), while Bala Town keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bala Town
Over / Under - Cardiff MU
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Cardiff MU is 9% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Bala Town · 1.13 pts / match - Cardiff MU
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bala Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Cardiff MU - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 26%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bala Town
Cardiff MU
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Welsh Premier League).
Teams vs league
| Bala Town | Liga | Cardiff MU | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.43 | 3.10 | • 3.09 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 35% | 52% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 58% | ▲ 61% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▼ 17% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 70% | 77% | ▲ 83% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 61% | 75% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Bala Town 0 - 1 - 1 Cardiff MU. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 50% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?
The Welsh Premier League match finished Bala Town 1:1 Cardiff MU. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bala Town and Cardiff MU?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Bala Town won 0, Cardiff MU won 1 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 3.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 50% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?
Bala Town score 0.96 goals per game on average and Cardiff MU 1.43. The Welsh Premier League average is 3.10 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 58% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Bala Town's matches and 65% of Cardiff MU's.
What form are Bala Town and Cardiff MU in?
Over the last 5 games Bala Town have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Cardiff MU 0-3-2 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bala Town vs Cardiff MU?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.