Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs El Daklyeh FC: match statistics

El Daklyeh FC sit 9th, while Baladiyyat Al Mehalla are only 16th, indicating an advantage for the visitors based on their campaign so far. In their last five matches, El Daklyeh collected 7 points from 2 wins and a draw, whereas the hosts earned just 4 points from one win and one draw. The visitors also boast the more stable defence: they conceded 3 goals during this period compared with Baladiyyat’s 4, while scoring one more goal, 4 to 3. However, the current-season sample is very limited: the hosts lost their only match 1:2, while El Daklyeh drew 0:0, meaning the low goal tally also increases the likelihood of a draw. Nevertheless, the stronger trend across the last five matches and the higher league position provide a slight indication in favour of an away win.

The “No” selection is clearly stronger, as BTTS in the last five matches stands at just 20% for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and 0% for El Daklyeh FC. During this period, the hosts averaged 0.6 goals per match, while the visitors averaged 0.8, indicating limited attacking potential from both sides. El Daklyeh conceded only 0.6 goals per game across their five most recent appearances, while Baladiyyat kept a clean sheet in 100% of the available matches this season. Although the visitors’ latest xG is 1.02 and the hosts’ is 0.97, both teams have recorded low overall goal figures: 3 and 4 goals respectively in five matches. With the league BTTS average at 50%, the data for both teams clearly shifts the forecast towards a scenario in which at least one side fails to score.

Both teams have a low-scoring profile: in their last five matches, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla averaged 0.6 goals, while El Daklyeh FC averaged 0.8. Over the same period, the hosts conceded 0.8 goals per game, compared with 0.6 for the visitors, resulting in an average of just 1.4 total goals in each team’s matches. Only 20% of the hosts’ last five games went over 2.5 goals, while none of El Daklyeh’s five matches produced such a result. The estimated xG stands at 0.97 for the hosts and 1.02 for the visitors, but the opponents’ solid defensive numbers—0.8 and 1.30 xG allowed, respectively—limit the prospects of an open game. The strongest pick is Under 3.5 goals, as losing this bet would require at least four goals, whereas the projected total is only 1.70 goals.

The strongest scenario is a draw at half-time followed by an El Daklyeh win in the match, as both teams were level after 45 minutes in 2 of their last 5 games, while the average number of first-half goals was only 0.6 for the hosts and 0.8 for the visitors. In the first halves, each team conceded an average of just 0.2 goals, and both kept a clean sheet in 80% of those matches, clearly favouring an X at half-time. After the break, Baladiyyat Al Mehalla concede an average of 0.6 goals while scoring just 0.2, whereas El Daklyeh have the better overall form: 1.4 points per game compared with the opponents’ 0.8, and a 40% win rate versus 20%. The visitors have also conceded an average of 0.6 goals per match in their last five appearances, while the hosts have conceded 0.8, so after a cautious start, they have a slightly better chance of turning the result in their favour.