Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl: match statistics
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla played Raya Ghazl in Second Division (Egypt). The match was played on 17 April 2026. Final score: 4:0.
Current form
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Raya Ghazl: 0-1-4, 0.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla scores 0.97 and concedes 1.24 goals per match. Raya Ghazl scores 0.62 and concedes 1.24. League average: 1.90 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 55%, Raya Ghazl 41%. Over 2.5: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 41%, Raya Ghazl 38%. League level: BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
xG, shots and style
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.16. Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: 8.6 shots per match, Raya Ghazl: 7.5.
Match halves
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: half-time lead 28%, second-half goals 0.55. Raya Ghazl: half-time lead 10%, second-half goals 0.41.
Goals by minute
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla: 31-45+ (7 goals). Raya Ghazl: 76-90+ (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Second Division: 1.90 goals per match, BTTS 41%, Over 2.5 31%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla appears the favorite based on the metrics: they sit 16th versus Raya's 18th, have 5 wins versus 4 and have scored 28 goals this season versus the visitors' 18. At home the hosts average 1.00 goal per game with 10.08 shots and 3.25 shots on target, while Raya away average only 0.21 goals per game with 8.75 shots and 2.83 on target. The decisive difference is conversion and chance creation: Baladiyyat fail to score in 36% of home matches, whereas Raya fail to score in 79% of away matches; conversion rate is roughly 11% for the hosts versus 2% for the visitors. Defensively the hosts concede 0.86 goals per home match versus Raya’s 1.07 conceded on the road, and xG for Baladiyyat at home is 1.37 versus 1.15 for Raya, which together with 0.6 vs 0.2 points per game in the last 5 matches favors a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
The strongest signal against BTTS - Yes is the visitors' dreadful offense: an average of 0.21 goals per game and 79% of matches without scoring this season, meaning the away side fail to score in the vast majority of league fixtures. The home team have seasonal averages of 1.0 goals per game and a season BTTS rate of 60%, but in their last 5 matches their BTTS is only 40% with an average of 0.6 goals, indicating limited offensive efficiency. xG is similar (xG 1.17 hosts vs 1.15 visitors), however conversion heavily favors the hosts: 12% conversion with 3.36 shots on target on average for the hosts versus 2% conversion with 2.83 shots on target for the visitors, so the away team rarely turn chances into goals. Additionally, visitors have more clean sheets (36% vs 20% for hosts) and in the last 5 matches they averaged 0.2 goals scored while conceding 7, which increases the likelihood of a one-sided (or nil) output from them rather than mutual scoring. Based on this I assess the probability of BTTS - Yes at 22% and No at 78%, choosing 'No' as the most likely outcome due to the 0.21 goals per game and 79% matches without a goal for the visitors, which is the strongest signal in the provided data.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Hosts Baladiyyat average 1.0 goal per match with xG 1.17, and their games finish over 1.5 goals in 80% of cases, which is a strong signal for Over 1.5. Visitors Raya score only 0.21 goals on average with xG 1.15, but they have a very low shot conversion rate of 2% versus the hosts' 12%, so their real contribution to the outcome is limited. The combined xG of both teams is 2.32 (1.17+1.15) and total shots 8.14 vs 8.75 suggest potential for around 2.15 expected goals (I estimate 1.30 for the hosts and 0.85 for the visitors). Historically the hosts also have 53% of matches over 2.5 while the visitors only 21%, therefore Over 2.5 is less certain (~40%), and Over 3.5 is very unlikely (~12%). For these reasons the safest and strongest option is Over 1.5 (approx. 70% chance), exploiting the hosts' offensive dominance and their high share of matches with at least two goals.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time with the home team winning at full-time (X/1). Half-time draws are common: the home side had an HT draw in 9 matches (60% of cases), and the visitors in 10 matches (71%), which strongly indicates a draw at the break. In the second half the home team is more proactive — they average 0.67 goals after the break, have 93% of matches with at least one goal in the 2nd half and win 40% of second halves, whereas the visitors score only 0.14 goals in 2H and have 0% second-half wins. Additionally, the home team finishes chances better (xG 1.17 with a 12% conversion versus xG 1.15 and 2% for the visitors) and the visitors have not yet recorded a win this season (0% win rate), therefore X/1 is the most probable outcome.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Raya Ghazl | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.16 | 0.16 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.23 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is 200% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 0.2 pts / match - Raya Ghazl
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is 56% better for: goals scored per match.
0.97 goals / match - Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 0.62 goals / match - Raya Ghazl
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla scores in 66% of matches (19 of 29 matches), while Raya Ghazl keeps a clean sheet in 28% (8 of 29 matches).
Raya Ghazl scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Baladiyyat Al Mehalla keeps a clean sheet in 21% (6 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Over / Under - Raya Ghazl
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla is 25% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.21 pts / match - Baladiyyat Al Mehalla · 0.97 pts / match - Raya Ghazl
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 28% of matches and wins 17%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Raya Ghazl - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 10% of matches and wins 14%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.6 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 0.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (7 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla
Raya Ghazl
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Second Division).
Teams vs league
| Baladiyyat Al Mehalla | Liga | Raya Ghazl | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.21 | 1.90 | • 1.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 41% | • 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 41% | 31% | ▲ 38% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 38% | ▼ 28% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 69% | 51% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 69% | 67% | ▲ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Other recorded players
Away team
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
- Baladiyyat Al MehallaGoalIbrahim Sheta
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 0 - 0 - 1 Raya Ghazl. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl?
The Second Division match finished Baladiyyat Al Mehalla 4:0 Raya Ghazl. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl?
Baladiyyat Al Mehalla score 0.97 goals per game on average and Raya Ghazl 0.62. The Second Division average is 1.90 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 31% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Baladiyyat Al Mehalla's matches and 41% of Raya Ghazl's.
What form are Baladiyyat Al Mehalla and Raya Ghazl in?
Over the last 5 games Baladiyyat Al Mehalla have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Raya Ghazl 0-1-4 (0.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Baladiyyat Al Mehalla vs Raya Ghazl: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.