Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya: match statistics
Persebaya Surabaya are in significantly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4-1-0 and 2.6 points per match, while Bali United average only 1.6 points per match. The visitors occupy a higher position in the standings (5th place vs 8th place) and have a positive goal difference away from home (+4), in contrast to the hosts' negative goal difference at home (-1). Persebaya also have better offensive efficiency away from home (12% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.56 goals per away match. Bali United fail to score in 44% of their home matches, which further weakens their chances. The advantage in form, better defensive and offensive statistics point towards an away win, although Bali United's solid defense at home (56% clean sheets) and their tendency to draw (56%) mean that a share of the points is also a realistic outcome.
Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bali United played Persebaya Surabaya in Liga 1 (Indonesia). The match was played on 7 February 2026. Final score: 1:3.
Current form
Bali United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Persebaya Surabaya: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bali United scores 1.42 and concedes 1.26 goals per match. Persebaya Surabaya scores 1.47 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bali United 53%, Persebaya Surabaya 58%. Over 2.5: Bali United 47%, Persebaya Surabaya 37%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Bali United has higher xG: 1.54 vs 1.29. Bali United: 13.1 shots per match, Persebaya Surabaya: 10.2.
Match halves
Bali United: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 1.00. Persebaya Surabaya: half-time lead 26%, second-half goals 0.84.
Goals by minute
Bali United: 76-90+ (7 goals). Persebaya Surabaya: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Liga 1: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 7.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Persebaya Surabaya are in significantly better form in their last five matches with a record of 4-1-0 and 2.6 points per match, while Bali United average only 1.6 points per match. The visitors occupy a higher position in the standings (5th place vs 8th place) and have a positive goal difference away from home (+4), in contrast to the hosts' negative goal difference at home (-1). Persebaya also have better offensive efficiency away from home (12% shot conversion vs 6% for the hosts) and a solid defense, conceding an average of only 0.56 goals per away match. Bali United fail to score in 44% of their home matches, which further weakens their chances. The advantage in form, better defensive and offensive statistics point towards an away win, although Bali United's solid defense at home (56% clean sheets) and their tendency to draw (56%) mean that a share of the points is also a realistic outcome.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bali United | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 38% | 39% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Persebaya Surabaya is 63% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Bali United · 2.6 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Persebaya Surabaya is 42% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.26 goals / match - Bali United · 0.89 goals / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Bali United scores in 79% of matches (15 of 19 matches), while Persebaya Surabaya keeps a clean sheet in 32% (6 of 19 matches).
Persebaya Surabaya scores in 84% of matches (16 of 19 matches), while Bali United keeps a clean sheet in 42% (8 of 19 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bali United
Over / Under - Persebaya Surabaya
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Persebaya Surabaya is 32% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.11 pts / match - Bali United · 1.47 pts / match - Persebaya Surabaya
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bali United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 37%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Persebaya Surabaya - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 26% of matches and wins 42%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 2.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bali United
Persebaya Surabaya
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Liga 1).
Teams vs league
| Bali United | Liga | Persebaya Surabaya | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.68 | 2.55 | ▼ 2.37 |
| Both teams scored | • 53% | 53% | ▲ 58% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 47% | 48% | ▼ 37% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 42% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 53% | 68% | ▼ 53% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 84% | 82% | ▼ 79% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bali United 0 - 0 - 1 Persebaya Surabaya. Average goals 7.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The Liga 1 match finished Bali United 1:3 Persebaya Surabaya. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
Bali United score 1.42 goals per game on average and Persebaya Surabaya 1.47. The Liga 1 average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 53% of Bali United's matches and 58% of Persebaya Surabaya's.
What form are Bali United and Persebaya Surabaya in?
Over the last 5 games Bali United have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Persebaya Surabaya 4-1-0 (2.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya?
The statistical background for Bali United vs Persebaya Surabaya — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.