Bali United vs PSS Sleman: match statistics

Bali United have won 3 of their last 5 matches and scored 9 goals during that run, averaging 1.8 goals per game. PSS Sleman have also scored 9 times in their last five outings, but secured only 2 wins and drew as many as 2 matches. The visitors’ defense looks slightly more solid, having conceded 5 goals compared with Bali United’s 6; however, the hosts have collected more points in their last five league rounds: 1.8 versus 1.6. Both teams find the net regularly, but Bali United have the superior win record and home advantage, making them slight favorites. A draw remains a realistic scenario given their similar attacking output and the small difference in goals conceded.

The signal for both teams to score is moderately positive, as Bali United and PSS Sleman have each scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, averaging 1.8 per game. PSS Sleman recorded BTTS in 3 of their last 5 appearances (60%), while Bali United did so in 2 of 5 (40%), giving a slight edge to the scenario of a goal from each side, although it is not decisive. Bali United conceded an average of 1.2 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for PSS Sleman, meaning neither defence has been completely impenetrable. The hosts also created more quality chances, with an average xG of 1.68 versus the visitors’ 1.05, but PSS Sleman limited opponents to just 0.63 xG, which reduces confidence in the pick. Despite the visitors’ more solid defence, both teams’ regular scoring supports a slight BTTS - Yes selection.

The latest form of both teams points to an open game: Bali United have scored 9 goals in their last 5 matches, while PSS Sleman have also scored 9, averaging 1.8 goals per game. During this period, the hosts conceded 1.2 goals per match, compared with 1.0 for the visitors, which does not suggest particularly tight defences. Bali United created chances worth an average xG of 1.68, clearly above PSS Sleman’s 1.05, while the visitors have seen at least three goals in 60% of their last five matches. The total goals projection of 2.80 offers the strongest edge for Over 1.5, as only two goals are required for the bet to win, and both teams have regularly averaged 1.8 goals scored.

Bali United have a clearly stronger start to matches: in their last five games, they were leading at the break in 80% of cases, compared with 40% for PSS Sleman, and averaged 1.0 goals scored before half-time while conceding just 0.2. PSS Sleman scored only 0.4 goals per first half on average and failed to score before the break in 60% of their last five appearances. The hosts have won 3 of their last 5 matches and averaged 1.8 goals per game, while the visitors recorded 2 wins and 2 draws over the same period. After half-time, PSS Sleman are more dangerous, averaging 1.4 goals, but Bali United concede 1.0 goal during that period, increasing the risk of a turnaround. Despite this, the hosts’ first-half superiority and their 60% win rate in the last five matches make Bali United leading at half-time and winning at full-time the most likely scenario.