Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: match statistics
Carrick Rangers displays distinctly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors have a better points average (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches) and a positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Ballymena's negative home record (-2). Carrick Rangers is characterized by higher scoring efficiency on the road (1.6 goals/match vs Ballymena's 1.27 at home) and a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%). Ballymena occupies only 10th place in the table with a mere 27% home win rate, whereas Carrick Rangers wins 40% of their away matches. The hosts' recent form (WLDLD) is unstable, while the visitors show greater consistency (WDWDL). Considering all the statistics, Carrick Rangers' advantage is evident, although the narrow difference in xG (1.3 vs 1.22) suggests the match could be evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ballymena United played Carrick Rangers in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 14 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Ballymena United: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Carrick Rangers: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ballymena United scores 1.13 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Carrick Rangers scores 1.48 and concedes 1.58. League average: 2.88 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ballymena United 48%, Carrick Rangers 65%. Over 2.5: Ballymena United 42%, Carrick Rangers 58%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Carrick Rangers has higher xG: 1.30 vs 1.13. Ballymena United: 8.5 shots per match, Carrick Rangers: 9.6.
Match halves
Ballymena United: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.68. Carrick Rangers: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Ballymena United: 61-75 (9 goals). Carrick Rangers: 31-45+ (18 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-1-0. Average goals 2.50, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Carrick Rangers displays distinctly better form and efficiency this season. The visitors have a better points average (1.6 PPG vs 1.0 PPG in the last 5 matches) and a positive away goal difference (+2) compared to Ballymena's negative home record (-2). Carrick Rangers is characterized by higher scoring efficiency on the road (1.6 goals/match vs Ballymena's 1.27 at home) and a better shot conversion rate (16% vs 13%). Ballymena occupies only 10th place in the table with a mere 27% home win rate, whereas Carrick Rangers wins 40% of their away matches. The hosts' recent form (WLDLD) is unstable, while the visitors show greater consistency (WDWDL). Considering all the statistics, Carrick Rangers' advantage is evident, although the narrow difference in xG (1.3 vs 1.22) suggests the match could be evenly contested, hence a significant probability of a draw as well.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ballymena United | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 36% | 41% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.13 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.37 | 0.37 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Carrick Rangers is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Ballymena United · 1.6 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Carrick Rangers is 31% better for: goals scored per match.
1.13 goals / match - Ballymena United · 1.48 goals / match - Carrick Rangers
Ballymena United scores in 68% of matches (21 of 31 matches), while Carrick Rangers keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
Carrick Rangers scores in 81% of matches (25 of 31 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (6 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ballymena United
Over / Under - Carrick Rangers
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Carrick Rangers is 49% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.97 pts / match - Ballymena United · 1.45 pts / match - Carrick Rangers
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Carrick Rangers - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 35%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +5 | -4 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (9 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (18 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ballymena United
Carrick Rangers
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Ballymena United | Liga | Carrick Rangers | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.65 | 2.88 | ▲ 3.06 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 51% | ▲ 65% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 42% | 55% | ▲ 58% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 26% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 81% | 76% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 81% | 79% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (2): Ballymena United 1 - 1 - 0 Carrick Rangers. Average goals 2.50, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Ballymena United 2:1 Carrick Rangers. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers?
In the last 2 head-to-head matches Ballymena United won 1, Carrick Rangers won 0 and 1 ended level. These games averaged 2.50 goals, with both teams scoring in 100% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
Ballymena United score 1.13 goals per game on average and Carrick Rangers 1.48. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Ballymena United's matches and 65% of Carrick Rangers's.
What form are Ballymena United and Carrick Rangers in?
Over the last 5 games Ballymena United have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Carrick Rangers 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers?
The statistical background for Ballymena United vs Carrick Rangers — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.