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Ballymena United vs Larne: match statistics
Ballymena United vs Larne: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Ballymena United play Larne in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match time may change. Statistics remain available as match context. Venue: The Showgrounds.
Current form
Ballymena United: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Larne: 5-0-0, 3.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Ballymena United scores 1.50 and concedes 1.40 goals per match. Larne scores 2.14 and concedes 0.43. League average: 2.71 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Ballymena United 60%, Larne 29%. Over 2.5: Ballymena United 50%, Larne 43%. League level: BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
xG, shots and style
Larne has higher xG: 1.80 vs 1.15. Ballymena United: 8.4 shots per match, Larne: 13.3.
Match halves
Ballymena United: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.80. Larne: half-time lead 57%, second-half goals 1.14.
Goals by minute
Ballymena United: 0-15 (5 goals). Larne: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 47%, Over 2.5 52%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-3. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Ballymena United | Larne | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 46% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.14 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.44 | 0.35 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Larne is 88% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Ballymena United · 3 pts / match - Larne
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Larne is 43% better for: goals scored per match.
1.5 goals / match - Ballymena United · 2.14 goals / match - Larne
Larne is 226% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.4 goals / match - Ballymena United · 0.43 goals / match - Larne
Ballymena United scores in 90% of matches (9 of 10 matches), while Larne keeps a clean sheet in 71% (5 of 7 matches).
Larne scores in 86% of matches (6 of 7 matches), while Ballymena United keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Ballymena United
Over / Under - Larne
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Larne is 53% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.4 pts / match - Ballymena United · 2.14 pts / match - Larne
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Ballymena United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 30%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Larne - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 57% of matches and wins 86%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 20% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (5 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (4). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Ballymena United
Larne
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Ballymena United | Liga | Larne | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 2.90 | 2.71 | ▼ 2.57 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 60% | 47% | ▼ 29% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 50% | 52% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 30% | 28% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 60% | 69% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 80% | 84% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Ballymena United 0 - 0 - 3 Larne. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.