Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: match statistics
Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bandırmaspor played Sivasspor in 1. Lig (Türkiye). The match was played on 2 May 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Bandırmaspor: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Sivasspor: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bandırmaspor scores 1.24 and concedes 0.92 goals per match. Sivasspor scores 1.27 and concedes 1.14. League average: 2.94 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bandırmaspor 41%, Sivasspor 54%. Over 2.5: Bandırmaspor 35%, Sivasspor 43%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
xG, shots and style
Sivasspor has higher xG: 1.32 vs 1.20. Bandırmaspor: 10.7 shots per match, Sivasspor: 11.6.
Match halves
Bandırmaspor: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.73. Sivasspor: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.62.
Goals by minute
Bandırmaspor: 31-45+ (10 goals). Sivasspor: 76-90+ (11 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
1. Lig: 2.94 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 55%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bandırmaspor has a clear home advantage: they have won 56% of their matches at home and recorded 61% clean sheets, conceding just 0.72 goals per game on average. Sivasspor are weaker away from home — 33% wins on the road, only 28% clean sheets and 1.22 goals conceded per away match on average. Season offensive numbers are similar (Bandırmaspor 46 goals vs Sivasspor 47), but the hosts average 1.44 goals at home with xG 1.33 and 4.33 shots on target, compared to 1.06 goals, xG 1.18 and 3.39 shots on target for the visitors; conversion 12% versus 10%. In the last 5 matches Bandırmaspor scored 4 and conceded 1, averaging 1.8 points per game, while Sivasspor scored 7 and conceded 11, averaging 1.2 points per game. Considering the hosts' defensive edge, superior quality of chances and recent trends, I forecast a Bandırmaspor win; I estimate probabilities of 60% for the home side, 22% for a draw and 18% for the visitors.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Seasonal BTTS indicators favor the "both teams to score" scenario — Bandırmaspor BTTS 53%, Sivasspor 56%, league average 50%. In the last 5 matches there is divergence: the home side has only 20% BTTS, averaging 0.8 goals scored and 0.2 conceded (4 scored and 1 conceded in 5), while the away side has 100% BTTS, averaging 1.4 scored and 2.2 conceded (7 scored and 11 conceded). xG projects about 1.38 for the home team (xG_for 1.44 vs xG_against_away 1.31) and about 1.12 for the away team (xG_for 1.18 vs xG_against_home 1.06), which suggests both sides have realistic scoring chances. Additionally, the hosts average 4.32 shots on target versus 3.39 for the visitors and have a conversion rate of ~11% compared to 10% for the opponent, so given Sivasspor's weaker defense in the last 5 matches (11 conceded) the BTTS scenario is stronger — therefore selection: BTTS - Yes with an estimated probability of 65%/35%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Total expected xG is about 2.50, split as home 1.38 (attack xG 1.44 vs away defense xG 1.31) and away 1.12 (attack xG 1.18 vs home defense xG 1.06). Using a Poisson model with λ=2.50, the probability of at least 2 goals (Over 1.5) is ~71%, Over 2.5 ~46%, and Over 3.5 only ~24%. These estimates align with seasonal rates: Over 2.5 occurs in 37% of home matches and 50% of away matches (avg ~44%), while Over 3.5 is 32% at home and 11% away, supporting a low chance of >3.5 goals. In the last 5 matches Bandırmaspor scored 4 and conceded 1 (avg 0.8 scored and 0.2 conceded), and Sivasspor scored 7 and conceded 11 (avg 1.4 and 2.2), which together do not materially shift the expected 2.5 threshold upward. Based on the above figures the strongest probabilistic signal is an Under 3.5 bet (≈76% chance).
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
The most likely scenario is a draw at half-time and a Bandırmaspor victory after 90 minutes (X/1). A draw at the break is supported by the statistics: the visitors were level at the interval in 59% of matches, the hosts in 37%, and average first-half goals are low — 0.68 for the home team and 0.47 for the away side — indicating a low-scoring first half. After the break Bandırmaspor are stronger: the home side averages 1.63 points in the second half and win the second half 42% of the time, with 31 points, compared to Sivasspor’s 0.82 points and an 18% second-half win rate (14 points). Additionally, the hosts have superior xG (1.44 vs 1.18) and more on-target shots (4.32 vs 3.39), and their home goal differential is 1.47 scored to 1.05 conceded, giving them the edge in the matchup. Therefore the strongest signal from the data is X/1 — draw at half-time, home turnaround to win the match.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bandırmaspor | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 35% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.33 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bandırmaspor is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Bandırmaspor · 1.2 pts / match - Sivasspor
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bandırmaspor is 24% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.92 goals / match - Bandırmaspor · 1.14 goals / match - Sivasspor
Bandırmaspor scores in 70% of matches (26 of 37 matches), while Sivasspor keeps a clean sheet in 32% (12 of 37 matches).
Sivasspor scores in 76% of matches (28 of 37 matches), while Bandırmaspor keeps a clean sheet in 43% (16 of 37 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bandırmaspor
Over / Under - Sivasspor
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bandırmaspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Sivasspor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.2 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 20% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 0% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bandırmaspor
Sivasspor
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (1. Lig).
Teams vs league
| Bandırmaspor | Liga | Sivasspor | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.16 | 2.94 | ▼ 2.41 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 41% | 51% | ▲ 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 35% | 55% | ▼ 43% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 43% | 28% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 62% | 71% | ▼ 65% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 70% | 80% | ▼ 68% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bandırmaspor 0 - 0 - 1 Sivasspor. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
The 1. Lig match finished Bandırmaspor 1:0 Sivasspor. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
Bandırmaspor score 1.24 goals per game on average and Sivasspor 1.27. The 1. Lig average is 2.94 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 55% of games. Both teams score in 41% of Bandırmaspor's matches and 54% of Sivasspor's.
What form are Bandırmaspor and Sivasspor in?
Over the last 5 games Bandırmaspor have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Sivasspor 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bandırmaspor vs Sivasspor?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.