Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris: match statistics
Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Banga played Kauno Žalgiris in A Lyga (Lithuania). The match was played on 1 May 2026. Final score: 2:2.
Current form
Banga: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Kauno Žalgiris: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Banga scores 1.20 and concedes 0.70 goals per match. Kauno Žalgiris scores 2.80 and concedes 0.50. League average: 2.40 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Banga 30%, Kauno Žalgiris 40%. Over 2.5: Banga 30%, Kauno Žalgiris 80%. League level: BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Kauno Žalgiris has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.36. Banga: 12.2 shots per match, Kauno Žalgiris: 14.3.
Match halves
Banga: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.60. Kauno Žalgiris: half-time lead 60%, second-half goals 1.50.
Goals by minute
Banga: 16-30 (5 goals). Kauno Žalgiris: 76-90+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
A Lyga: 2.40 goals per match, BTTS 40%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 5 previous H2H matches were available: 1-2-2. Average goals 0.80, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The visitors, Kauno Žalgiris, are clear favorites — reflected by their 1st place and a season record of 8 wins, 1 draw and 1 loss compared to Banga’s 4 wins, 2 draws, 4 losses. Recent form also favors the visitors: Kauno Žalgiris have scored 16 goals and won 4 of their last 5 matches, while Banga have 9 goals and recorded 3 wins and 2 draws in their last five. Offensively the visitors dominate the metrics — 28 goals this season (avg. 3.0 away), 13.75 shots per match and 6.5 shots on target with a 22% conversion rate, versus Banga at home: 12 goals, 11.8 shots per match, 4.2 shots on target and 15% conversion. Quality of chances is supported by xG: visitors have xG 1.72 away vs 1.31 for the hosts, and defensively Kauno Žalgiris concede on average 0.5 goals away with 50% clean sheets, while Banga concede 0.8 at home with 20% clean sheets; additionally the visitors have no matches without scoring (0%), whereas the hosts failed to score in 40% of games. Considering the goal margin (28 vs 12), superior chance quality and efficiency, and the visitors’ 100% away win rate, I estimate Kauno Žalgiris win probability at ~65%, draw 15% and Banga win 20%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Statistics favor the “no” scenario (one of the teams fails to score): both teams concede only 0.5 goals per match on average this season, and the league has a high clean sheet rate of 76%. Banga keeps a clean sheet in 67% of matches this season, Kauno Žalgiris in 50%, increasing the likelihood that at least one side won’t score. Additionally, Kauno Žalgiris have only 20% BTTS in their last 5 matches, concede on average 0.4 goals and score on average 3.2 goals (16 goals in 5 matches), which more often results in one-sided scorelines than mutual scoring. A counter signal comes from Banga with 60% BTTS in their last 5 matches and an average of 1.8 goals scored, and both teams have season xG of 1.72, so the risk of both teams scoring exists but is weaker than the tendency toward clean sheets. Based on this, I recommend a “no” (No Goal) with 70% probability and “yes” (BTTS - Yes) at 30%.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Both teams show strong offensive potential: Banga averages 2.67 goals at home, Kauno Žalgiris scores 3.00 goals away, and both teams have xG of 1.72 each (3.44 xG combined). Models based on 3.44 xG give roughly an 86% probability of Over 1.5 goals and about 67% for Over 2.5 goals, which aligns with seasonal Over2.5 rates (67% for Banga, 100% for Kauno Žalgiris). In the last 5 matches Banga averaged 1.8 goals, Kauno Žalgiris 3.2 (5.0 goals combined), and average shots on target 5.83 vs 6.5 with conversion rates of 18%/22% further support goals. Although both teams officially concede only 0.5 goals on average, opponent xG are 1.01 and 1.18, suggesting a higher likelihood of conceding than clean sheet rates imply (Banga 67% CS). Given the highest probability and relatively low risk, I pick Over 1.5 (ou_pred_line 1.5) as the strongest betting signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 1/2: home team leading at the break, but visitors taking the final win. This season Banga led at half-time in 4 of 6 matches (67%), averaging 1.5 goals by the break and conceding only 0.17 goals before half-time, scoring a total of 10 first-half goals versus 6 for opponents. Meanwhile Kauno Žalgiris has a 100% win rate this season, scores on average 3.0 goals per match versus the hosts’ 2.67, and features better shot conversion (22% vs 18%) and a higher number of shots on target (6.5 vs 5.83). Both teams share an equal average xG of 1.72 per match, but the visitors clearly convert their chances more often and dominate after the break — they scored 3 goals in the 46–60 minute window while the hosts concede 1 goal there. On this basis the most likely scenario is that Banga leads at the break (67% season rate), but Kauno Žalgiris produces a turnaround and wins by full-time; therefore 1/2 is the strongest signal, with lower probabilities for a draw or a home win.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Banga | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 43% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.32 | 0.46 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Kauno Žalgiris is 25% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Banga · 2 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Kauno Žalgiris is 133% better for: goals scored per match.
1.2 goals / match - Banga · 2.8 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Kauno Žalgiris is 40% better for: goals conceded per match.
0.7 goals / match - Banga · 0.5 goals / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Banga scores in 50% of matches (5 of 10 matches), while Kauno Žalgiris keeps a clean sheet in 60% (6 of 10 matches).
Kauno Žalgiris scores in 100% of matches (10 of 10 matches), while Banga keeps a clean sheet in 30% (3 of 10 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Banga
Over / Under - Kauno Žalgiris
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Kauno Žalgiris is 33% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.5 pts / match - Banga · 2 pts / match - Kauno Žalgiris
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Banga - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 40%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Kauno Žalgiris - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 60% of matches and wins 80%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 2.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 100% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +5 | +6 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (5 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (9 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Banga
Kauno Žalgiris
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (A Lyga).
Teams vs league
| Banga | Liga | Kauno Žalgiris | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 1.90 | 2.40 | ▲ 3.30 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 30% | 40% | • 40% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 30% | 48% | ▲ 80% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 60% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 40% | 66% | ▲ 90% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 80% | 70% | ▲ 90% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (5): Banga 1 - 2 - 2 Kauno Žalgiris. Average goals 0.80, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
The A Lyga match finished Banga 2:2 Kauno Žalgiris. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Banga and Kauno Žalgiris?
In the last 5 head-to-head matches Banga won 1, Kauno Žalgiris won 2 and 2 ended level. These games averaged 0.80 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
Banga score 1.20 goals per game on average and Kauno Žalgiris 2.80. The A Lyga average is 2.40 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 30% of Banga's matches and 40% of Kauno Žalgiris's.
What form are Banga and Kauno Žalgiris in?
Over the last 5 games Banga have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Kauno Žalgiris 3-1-1 (2.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Banga vs Kauno Žalgiris?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.