Bangor vs Glenavon: match statistics
Bangor vs Glenavon: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bangor played Glenavon in NIFL Premiership (Northern Ireland). The match was played on 11 April 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Bangor: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Glenavon: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bangor scores 1.15 and concedes 1.71 goals per match. Glenavon scores 1.00 and concedes 1.86. League average: 2.85 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bangor 59%, Glenavon 51%. Over 2.5: Bangor 53%, Glenavon 60%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
xG, shots and style
Glenavon has higher xG: 1.20 vs 1.15. Bangor: 8.4 shots per match, Glenavon: 8.9.
Match halves
Bangor: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.59. Glenavon: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.60.
Goals by minute
Bangor: 31-45+ (12 goals). Glenavon: 61-75 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NIFL Premiership: 2.85 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 54%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 3 previous H2H matches were available: 2-0-1. Average goals 3.33, BTTS 67%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Bangor has the superior season record: 10 wins vs 8 for Glenavon and a goal record of 39–58 vs 35–65, giving the home side the edge on paper. At home Bangor averages 1.06 goals and an xG of 1.26 with 1.65 conceded (xG against 1.49), while Glenavon away records 0.94 goals and xG 1.18 with 2.11 conceded (xG against 1.61), so the visitors are more defensively vulnerable. In the last 5 matches Bangor scored 4 and conceded 9 (1–2–2, 1.0 point per match), whereas Glenavon scored 8 and conceded 5 (2–2–1, 1.6 points per match), indicating better current form for the visitors. Additionally Bangor registers more on-target shots at home (3.65 vs 3.24) despite lower possession (41% vs 49%), and Glenavon’s away loss rate is as high as 78% compared to Bangor’s 53% home loss rate, which favours the home side. Considering the lower xG against (1.49 vs 1.61), fewer goals conceded over the season and the opponents’ poor away record, I predict a home win; estimated probabilities: home 46%, draw 25%, away 29%.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS - Yes at 65% probability because both teams display significant defensive vulnerabilities this season: Bangor concedes 1.59 goals per match (58 total) and Glenavon 2.11 (65 total), with clean sheets occurring in only 12% and 6% of games respectively. Season BTTS rates are 47% for Bangor and 56% for Glenavon, while the league average is 52% matches with both teams scoring, indicating a moderate tendency toward Goal/Goal outcomes. Offensively both sides generate roughly 1.2 xG (1.23 for the home team and 1.18 for the away) and 3.35 and 3.24 shots on target, and with an 11% conversion rate this translates to a realistic likelihood of goals from both teams. In the last 5 matches Bangor has scored 4 and conceded 9 (0.8 and 1.8 per game), while Glenavon has scored 8 and conceded 5 (1.6 and 1.0), meaning the visitors are in attacking form against a leaky home defense. Given the low clean sheet percentages (12% and 6%), high average goals conceded and xG above 1.1 for both sides, the Both Teams To Score scenario is stronger than a No Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Based on xG I calculated expected goals: for Bangor I used (home attack xG 1.23 + Glenavon defense xG 1.61)/2 = 1.42, for Glenavon (attack xG 1.18 + Bangor defense xG 1.47)/2 = 1.33, giving a total of 2.75. Season-long stats confirm a tendency for goals: Bangor has Over 1.5 in 88% of matches, Glenavon in 78%, and both teams Over 0.5 in 100% of cases, so at least two goals is highly likely. Shot metrics also support this — averages of 9.41 and 8.94 shots and 3.35 and 3.24 shots on target per match with 11% conversion suggest the xG 2.75 realistically translates into goals. Therefore I give Over 1.5 the strongest signal (85% probability); Over 2.5 I rate at 63% considering season Over25 65% for Bangor vs 56% for Glenavon and total xG 2.75. Over 3.5 I rate at 27% (home Over3.5 12%, away 39%), hence the recommendation: back the Over at 1.5 as the most justified and value-driven bet.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Bangor are favorites on paper: seasonal home goals average 1.06 versus 0.94 scored by Glenavon away, and seasonal points averages are 1.12 for the hosts and 0.44 for the visitors (35% home win rate vs 11% away wins for Glenavon). First halves are rarely goalless (over 0.5 HT: 82% for the hosts and 89% for the visitors), but both teams seldom score in that period (BTTS HT 18% and 11%), so most often only one goal is scored by half-time. Bangor have a slightly higher home xG (1.23 vs 1.18) and in the last five matches they scored 7 first-half goals versus Glenavon’s 4, and they led at the break in 40% of those five matches, indicating improved form before half-time. Glenavon concede on average 2.11 goals per away match compared to 1.59 conceded by Bangor at home, so I expect the hosts to have a greater chance of a turnaround after the break. Therefore my safest HT/FT scenario is a draw at half-time and a Bangor win after 90 minutes (X/1).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bangor | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 40% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.14 | 0.13 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.34 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Glenavon is 60% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Bangor · 1.6 pts / match - Glenavon
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bangor is 15% better for: goals scored per match.
1.15 goals / match - Bangor · 1 goals / match - Glenavon
Bangor is 9% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.71 goals / match - Bangor · 1.86 goals / match - Glenavon
Bangor scores in 71% of matches (24 of 34 matches), while Glenavon keeps a clean sheet in 9% (3 of 35 matches).
Glenavon scores in 60% of matches (21 of 35 matches), while Bangor keeps a clean sheet in 12% (4 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bangor
Over / Under - Glenavon
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bangor is 68% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.24 pts / match - Bangor · 0.74 pts / match - Glenavon
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bangor - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 29%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Glenavon - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 23%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 0.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 20% |
| Goal difference | 0 | +3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (12 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -6 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (10 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -11 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bangor
Glenavon
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NIFL Premiership).
Teams vs league
| Bangor | Liga | Glenavon | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.85 | 2.85 | • 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 52% | • 51% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 53% | 54% | ▲ 60% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 12% | 26% | ▼ 9% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 82% | 76% | ▲ 86% |
| Goal after half-time | • 79% | 80% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Recent meetings (3): Bangor 2 - 0 - 1 Glenavon. Average goals 3.33, both teams scored in 67% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bangor vs Glenavon?
The NIFL Premiership match finished Bangor 0:0 Glenavon. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What is the head-to-head record between Bangor and Glenavon?
In the last 3 head-to-head matches Bangor won 2, Glenavon won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 3.33 goals, with both teams scoring in 67% of them.
What do the goal statistics show before Bangor vs Glenavon?
Bangor score 1.15 goals per game on average and Glenavon 1.00. The NIFL Premiership average is 2.85 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Bangor's matches and 51% of Glenavon's.
What form are Bangor and Glenavon in?
Over the last 5 games Bangor have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Glenavon 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bangor vs Glenavon?
The statistical background for Bangor vs Glenavon — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.