Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905: match statistics
Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Baník Ostrava played Bohemians 1905 in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 18 April 2026. Final score: 0:2.
Current form
Baník Ostrava: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Bohemians 1905: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Baník Ostrava scores 0.89 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Bohemians 1905 scores 0.79 and concedes 1.25. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Baník Ostrava 39%, Bohemians 1905 39%. Over 2.5: Baník Ostrava 29%, Bohemians 1905 39%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Baník Ostrava has higher xG: 1.62 vs 1.51. Baník Ostrava: 14.0 shots per match, Bohemians 1905: 12.4.
Match halves
Baník Ostrava: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.46. Bohemians 1905: half-time lead 21%, second-half goals 0.43.
Goals by minute
Baník Ostrava: 46-60 (8 goals). Bohemians 1905: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
I back the home win because Baník shows superior chance creation and quality of chances at home: average xG for the hosts is 1.72 versus 1.48 xG for the visitors away, and 4.85 on-target shots per match compared to 3.79 for Bohemians. In the last 5 matches Baník scored 7 goals while Bohemians managed only 2, giving the hosts an offensive edge despite Baník conceding 9 goals in that period versus 6 for Bohemians. Both teams average 0.8 points per match in their last 5 fixtures, and their season figures are close (hosts 25 goals scored vs 22 for the visitors, with 42 and 35 goals conceded), indicating a balanced overall level. Additionally, Baník has higher possession (52% vs 43%) and more shots overall (15.23 vs 12.21), which gives them a slight advantage in this matchup.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I favor No BTTS as more likely because seasonal BTTS rates for both teams are only 36% (Baník) and 43% (Bohemians), below the league level of 49%, and align with a high share of clean sheets in the league at 60%. In the last 5 matches Bohemians have just 20% BTTS and average 0.4 goals scored, while Baník has 40% BTTS and 1.4 goals per game, so the visitors clearly struggle offensively. Although both teams’ xG are relatively high (1.54 for Baník vs 1.48 for Bohemians), seasonal goals averages are only 0.71 and 0.86 and shot conversion rates are 6% and 7%, indicating poor finishing. Both sides do concede frequently (seasonal goals conceded 1.14 and 1.36), but the combination of low conversion and Bohemians’ form increases the probability that at least one team keeps a clean sheet. Therefore I estimate No BTTS at 60% versus 40% for BTTS (BTTS - Yes).
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
The xG-based model yields a total of 3.01 xG: Baník has xG_for 1.54 and Bohemians xG_against 1.59 — expected home goals ~1.56; similarly Bohemians xG_for 1.48 and Baník xG_against 1.41 give ~1.45 for the away side. However, both teams significantly underperform these xG in actual goals: Baník averages 0.71 goals/match on xG 1.54 (difference −0.83), Bohemians 0.86 on xG 1.48 (difference −0.62), and shot conversion is only 6% and 7%. Season frequencies show Over 1.5 in 50% (Baník) and 71% (Bohemians) — average ~60%, Over 2.5 in 36% and 43% — average 39.5%, and Over 3.5 in 7% and 14% — average 10.5%. Given the high xG_total of 3.01 but also the historically low finishing efficiency (goals 0.71/0.86 and conversion 6–7%), I assign the highest probability to Over 1.5 (62%), a moderate probability to Over 2.5 (44%) and a low probability to Over 3.5 (8%); therefore I recommend backing Over 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Baník Ostrava was level at half-time in 57% of their home matches (8 times), while Bohemians led at the break in only 29% of their away fixtures (4 times), indicating a higher probability of a draw at half-time. Historically Baník scored an average of 0.29 goals by the break versus 0.43 for Bohemians, but in the last 5 matches Baník has improved that average to 0.8 compared to 0.2 for Bohemians, showing the home side’s better form at the start of matches. Total xG slightly favors Baník 1.54 vs 1.48, and the hosts concede on average 1.14 goals per match versus 1.36 conceded by Bohemians, giving them an advantage in the second half. Both teams share the same points-per-game average of 1.07, which explains an even first half; nonetheless the marginal xG edge and superior defensive metrics for the hosts increase Baník’s chances of winning after 90 minutes. Therefore the strongest signal is the HT/FT pick X/1 (draw at the break, Baník to win full-time).
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Baník Ostrava | Bohemians 1905 | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.21 | 0.20 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Bohemians 1905 is 33% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 0.8 pts / match - Bohemians 1905
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Baník Ostrava is 13% better for: goals scored per match.
0.89 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 0.79 goals / match - Bohemians 1905
Bohemians 1905 is 20% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.25 goals / match - Bohemians 1905
Baník Ostrava scores in 50% of matches (14 of 28 matches), while Bohemians 1905 keeps a clean sheet in 25% (7 of 28 matches).
Bohemians 1905 scores in 57% of matches (16 of 28 matches), while Baník Ostrava keeps a clean sheet in 18% (5 of 28 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Baník Ostrava
Over / Under - Bohemians 1905
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bohemians 1905 is 12% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.93 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.04 pts / match - Bohemians 1905
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Baník Ostrava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bohemians 1905 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 21% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.6 |
| Average goals in match | 2.2 | 2.4 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 60% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 20% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 60% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Baník Ostrava
Bohemians 1905
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Baník Ostrava | Liga | Bohemians 1905 | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.39 | 2.60 | ▼ 2.04 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 39% | 49% | ▼ 39% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 29% | 46% | ▼ 39% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 71% | ▼ 68% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Baník Ostrava 0 - 0 - 1 Bohemians 1905. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905?
The First League match finished Baník Ostrava 0:2 Bohemians 1905. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905?
Baník Ostrava score 0.89 goals per game on average and Bohemians 1905 0.79. The First League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 39% of Baník Ostrava's matches and 39% of Bohemians 1905's.
What form are Baník Ostrava and Bohemians 1905 in?
Over the last 5 games Baník Ostrava have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Bohemians 1905 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Baník Ostrava vs Bohemians 1905?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.