Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, making a draw the most likely outcome. Baník Ostrava displays poor home form with only 30% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5, but they have an advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.78 vs 1.16). Mladá Boleslav has better shooting accuracy (14% vs 6%) and a lower away fail-to-score rate (20% FTS), but they concede an average of 2 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is similar (1-1.2 points per match), and the high loss rates for both the hosts and the visitors (60% each) suggest result unpredictability. Considering the close positions in the table (14th and 13th place) and the statistical equilibrium, a draw is the most logical resolution for this encounter.
Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Baník Ostrava played Mladá Boleslav in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 22 February 2026. Final score: 0:0.
Current form
Baník Ostrava: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Mladá Boleslav: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Baník Ostrava scores 0.73 and concedes 1.27 goals per match. Mladá Boleslav scores 1.32 and concedes 2.14. League average: 2.55 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Baník Ostrava 36%, Mladá Boleslav 73%. Over 2.5: Baník Ostrava 23%, Mladá Boleslav 68%. League level: BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
xG, shots and style
Baník Ostrava has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.41. Baník Ostrava: 14.9 shots per match, Mladá Boleslav: 11.8.
Match halves
Baník Ostrava: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.41. Mladá Boleslav: half-time lead 23%, second-half goals 0.68.
Goals by minute
Baník Ostrava: 46-60 (6 goals). Mladá Boleslav: 31-45+ (9 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.55 goals per match, BTTS 49%, Over 2.5 45%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very balanced chances for both teams, making a draw the most likely outcome. Baník Ostrava displays poor home form with only 30% of matches won at home and a goal difference of -5, but they have an advantage in possession (53%) and a higher average xG (1.78 vs 1.16). Mladá Boleslav has better shooting accuracy (14% vs 6%) and a lower away fail-to-score rate (20% FTS), but they concede an average of 2 goals per away match. The recent form of both teams is similar (1-1.2 points per match), and the high loss rates for both the hosts and the visitors (60% each) suggest result unpredictability. Considering the close positions in the table (14th and 13th place) and the statistical equilibrium, a draw is the most logical resolution for this encounter.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Baník Ostrava | Mladá Boleslav | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.17 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Mladá Boleslav is 20% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.2 pts / match - Mladá Boleslav
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Mladá Boleslav is 81% better for: goals scored per match.
0.73 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.32 goals / match - Mladá Boleslav
Baník Ostrava is 69% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.27 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 2.14 goals / match - Mladá Boleslav
Baník Ostrava scores in 50% of matches (11 of 22 matches), while Mladá Boleslav keeps a clean sheet in 14% (3 of 22 matches).
Mladá Boleslav scores in 77% of matches (17 of 22 matches), while Baník Ostrava keeps a clean sheet in 18% (4 of 22 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Baník Ostrava
Over / Under - Mladá Boleslav
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Mladá Boleslav is 5% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.95 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 1 pts / match - Mladá Boleslav
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Baník Ostrava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 18%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Mladá Boleslav - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 23% of matches and wins 18%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (6 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (7). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (9 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Baník Ostrava
Mladá Boleslav
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Baník Ostrava | Liga | Mladá Boleslav | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.00 | 2.55 | ▲ 3.45 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 36% | 49% | ▲ 73% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 23% | 45% | ▲ 68% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 30% | ▼ 14% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 64% | 70% | ▲ 82% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 64% | 73% | ▲ 77% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Baník Ostrava 0 - 1 - 0 Mladá Boleslav. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav?
The First League match finished Baník Ostrava 0:0 Mladá Boleslav. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav?
Baník Ostrava score 0.73 goals per game on average and Mladá Boleslav 1.32. The First League average is 2.55 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 45% of games. Both teams score in 36% of Baník Ostrava's matches and 73% of Mladá Boleslav's.
What form are Baník Ostrava and Mladá Boleslav in?
Over the last 5 games Baník Ostrava have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Mladá Boleslav 1-3-1 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav?
The statistical background for Baník Ostrava vs Mladá Boleslav — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.