Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň: match statistics
Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Baník Ostrava played Viktoria Plzeň in First League (Czechia). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Baník Ostrava: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Viktoria Plzeň: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Baník Ostrava scores 0.86 and concedes 1.52 goals per match. Viktoria Plzeň scores 1.69 and concedes 1.17. League average: 2.60 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Baník Ostrava 38%, Viktoria Plzeň 48%. Over 2.5: Baník Ostrava 28%, Viktoria Plzeň 52%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Viktoria Plzeň has higher xG: 1.89 vs 1.62. Baník Ostrava: 13.9 shots per match, Viktoria Plzeň: 16.5.
Match halves
Baník Ostrava: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.45. Viktoria Plzeň: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.86.
Goals by minute
Baník Ostrava: 46-60 (8 goals). Viktoria Plzeň: 31-45+ (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
First League: 2.60 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Baník Ostrava sit 15th in the table with a season record of 5 wins, 7 draws and 17 losses and a goal tally of 25-44. In their last 5 matches Ostrava have collected 0 points (0-0-5), scoring 2 and conceding 11, while Viktoria Plzeň (4th) over the same period have 2 wins, 2 draws and 1 loss, scoring 7 and conceding 3. At home Ostrava average 1.14 goals scored and 1.50 conceded per match, register 4.86 shots on target and 8% conversion, whereas Plzeň away average 1.79 goals, concede 1.21, have 5.07 shots on target and 12% conversion. Additionally, Ostrava fail to score in 50% of home games and have a home goal difference of -5 with an average xG of 1.70, while Plzeň record 1.68 xG on the road, only 29% of away games without a goal and 36% clean sheets. Considering Ostrava’s zero-point return in the last 5, the season goal advantage (49 vs 25) and Plzeň’s superior efficiency and defensive stability, I predict an away win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Baník Ostrava has a seasonal BTTS rate of 53% vs Viktoria Plzeň 43%, while the league average BTTS is 50%, providing a neutral baseline. This season Baník averages 1.6 goals scored and concedes 1.13, whereas Plzeň scores 1.79 and concedes 1.21 — both teams therefore show seasonal tendencies to both score and concede. In the last 5 matches a strong signal for Goal/Goal is that Baník concedes on average 2.2 goals (11 conceded) and Plzeň scored 7 goals in those 5 matches (1.4 avg), which increases the likelihood of an away goal. xG analysis also supports an exchange of goals: Baník has xG_for 2.09 vs Plzeň xG_against 1.43, and Plzeň xG_for 1.68 vs Baník xG_against 1.34, although this is tempered by Baník’s poor scoring form in the last 5 (0.4 goals avg) and Plzeň’s low recent BTTS (20%). In summary, seasonal balances and xG point towards a higher probability of BTTS - Yes; I propose a split of 60% for YES and 40% for NO.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I estimate expected goals based on xG: Baník’s offensive xG is 2.09 while the average xG conceded against Plzeň is 1.43, yielding 1.76 expected goals for the hosts; Plzeň’s offensive xG is 1.68 versus average xG conceded to the hosts of 1.34, giving 1.51 for the visitors and a total of 3.27. Season averages confirm both teams’ attacking profiles — Baník scores 1.6 and concedes 1.13, Plzeň scores 1.79 and concedes 1.21; Baník averages 18.13 shots (6.6 on target) against Plzeň’s 14.71 (5.07 on target). Recent form (last 5 matches) favors Plzeň: Baník has scored 2 and conceded 11 (0.4/2.2 in last 5), while Plzeň has 7 scored and 3 conceded (1.4/0.6), which increases the likelihood of goals for the visitors. Seasonal percentages show a high share of Over 1.5 (Baník 73%, Plzeň 86%), therefore I assign Over 1.5 an 82% probability (Under 18%); Over 2.5 I rate at 61% (Baník 40%/Plzeň 64%), and Over 3.5 at 24% (Baník 27%/Plzeň 21%). Based on this, I recommend playing the Over line at 1.5 as the strongest signal.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
I back HT/FT 2/2 — Viktoria Plzeň leading at the break and the visitors winning. Baník has lost all of their last five matches, averaging 0.4 goals scored and 2.2 conceded in that period, while Plzeň have averaged 1.4 scored and 0.6 conceded over their last five. Although Baník generate higher xG (2.09 vs 1.68) and more shots, they have lower finishing efficiency (9% vs 12%), indicating missed opportunities; additionally, in the last five matches the hosts were trailing at the break in 60% of games, while the visitors led at half-time in 40%. In second halves Plzeň have the better record (second-half goal difference +5 versus +1 for Baník), so the scenario of leading at the break and maintaining the win (2/2) appears strongest.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Baník Ostrava | Viktoria Plzeň | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 31% | 36% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.20 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Viktoria Plzeň is 167% better for: last-5 form.
0.6 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.6 pts / match - Viktoria Plzeň
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Viktoria Plzeň is 97% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.69 goals / match - Viktoria Plzeň
Viktoria Plzeň is 30% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.52 goals / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.17 goals / match - Viktoria Plzeň
Baník Ostrava scores in 48% of matches (14 of 29 matches), while Viktoria Plzeň keeps a clean sheet in 34% (10 of 29 matches).
Viktoria Plzeň scores in 76% of matches (22 of 29 matches), while Baník Ostrava keeps a clean sheet in 17% (5 of 29 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Baník Ostrava
Over / Under - Viktoria Plzeň
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Viktoria Plzeň is 103% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.9 pts / match - Baník Ostrava · 1.83 pts / match - Viktoria Plzeň
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Baník Ostrava - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Viktoria Plzeň - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 48%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.2 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 2.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 80% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 40% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -2 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +2 | +2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Baník Ostrava
Viktoria Plzeň
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (First League).
Teams vs league
| Baník Ostrava | Liga | Viktoria Plzeň | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.38 | 2.60 | ▲ 2.86 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 38% | 50% | ▼ 48% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 28% | 47% | ▲ 52% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 17% | 30% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 66% | 72% | ▲ 79% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 73% | ▲ 76% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Baník Ostrava 0 - 0 - 1 Viktoria Plzeň. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň?
The First League match finished Baník Ostrava 0:1 Viktoria Plzeň. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň?
Baník Ostrava score 0.86 goals per game on average and Viktoria Plzeň 1.69. The First League average is 2.60 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 38% of Baník Ostrava's matches and 48% of Viktoria Plzeň's.
What form are Baník Ostrava and Viktoria Plzeň in?
Over the last 5 games Baník Ostrava have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Viktoria Plzeň 2-2-1 (1.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Baník Ostrava vs Viktoria Plzeň?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.