Nigeria - NPFLData current as of 19 September 2026

Barau vs Abia Warriors: match statistics

Reasoning:

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Barau vs Abia Warriors: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Barau play Abia Warriors in NPFL (Nigeria). The match date is 23 September 2026.

Current form

Barau: 2-1-0, 2.33 points/match. Abia Warriors: 0-2-1, 0.67 points/match.

Goal statistics

Barau scores 2.00 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Abia Warriors scores 0.67 and concedes 2.00. League average: 2.71 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Barau 67%, Abia Warriors 33%. Over 2.5: Barau 67%, Abia Warriors 67%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Barau has higher xG: 2.41 vs 0.00. Barau: 9.3 shots per match, Abia Warriors: -1.0.

Match halves

Barau: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 1.33. Abia Warriors: half-time lead 0%, second-half goals 0.33.

Goals by minute

Barau: 76-90+ (4 goals). Abia Warriors: 0-15 (1 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

NPFL: 2.71 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

Before this fixture, 2 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.

Before the match

1X2 odds

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Pre-match profilewhat do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

BarauAbia Warriors
2Goals scored / match0.67
BarauAbia Warriors
0.67Goals conceded / match2
BarauAbia Warriors
34%Average possession-1%
BarauAbia Warriors
4.67Shots on target / match-1
BarauAbia Warriors

Team statswho is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

9.33Shots per match-1
BarauAbia Warriors
4.67Shots on target-1
BarauAbia Warriors
21.4%Shot conversion-66.7%
BarauAbia Warriors
34%Possession-1%
BarauAbia Warriors
2.41xG for0
BarauAbia Warriors
0.81xG against0
BarauAbia Warriors

Shooting quality

Barau: Counter-attackingAbia Warriors: Balanced
BarauAbia Warriors
Accuracy (shots on target)50%0%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.260.00
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.430.00

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team formwho is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Barau is 248% better for: last-5 form.

2.33 pts / match - Barau · 0.67 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Barau
WDW
Unbeaten in the last 5 matches
Season result split
67% W33% D0% L
Season (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match · goal difference +4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
2-1-0
2.33 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
2-0-0
Last 5 at home
2-0-0
WW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 2.0Goals conceded: 0.7xG: 2.41Opponent xG: 0.81BTTS: 67%Over 2.5: 67%
Abia Warriors
DLD
No win in the last 5 matches
Season result split
0% W67% D33% L
Season (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -4
Last 5 (W-D-L)
0-2-1
0.67 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-0-1
Last 5 away
0-0-1
L
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 0.7Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 0.00Opponent xG: 0.00BTTS: 33%Over 2.5: 67%

Goalshow do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Barau is 199% better for: goals scored per match.

2 goals / match - Barau · 0.67 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Barau is 199% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Barau · 2 goals / match - Abia Warriors

Barau scoring profile: strong

Barau scores in 67% of matches (2 of 3 matches), while Abia Warriors keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

Abia Warriors scoring profile: mixed

Abia Warriors scores in 33% of matches (1 of 3 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 33% (1 of 3 matches).

6Goals scored (season)2
BarauAbia Warriors
2Goals conceded (season)6
BarauAbia Warriors
2.67Average goals in match2.67
BarauAbia Warriors
6Goals scored (last 5)2
BarauAbia Warriors
2Goals conceded (last 5)6
BarauAbia Warriors

How often they score at least...

67%1 goal33%
BarauAbia Warriors
67%2 goals33%
BarauAbia Warriors
67%3 goals0%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%4 goals0%
BarauAbia Warriors

How often they concede at least...

67%1 goal67%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%2 goals67%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%3 goals33%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%4 goals33%
BarauAbia Warriors

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

33%BTTS at half-time33%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%BTTS in both halves0%
BarauAbia Warriors
67%Scored in both halves33%
BarauAbia Warriors

BTTS and goal count

67%Min. 3 goals and BTTS33%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%Min. 3 goals without BTTS33%
BarauAbia Warriors
67%BTTS - last 533%
BarauAbia Warriors

Goal count (Over/Under)how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors
33%Min. 2 goals before half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
BarauAbia Warriors

2nd half

67%Min. 1 goal after half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors
67%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
BarauAbia Warriors
33%Min. 3 goals after half-time0%
BarauAbia Warriors

Match halveswhen do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Barau is 406% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

1.67 pts / match - Barau · 0.33 pts / match - Abia Warriors

Barau - half-time state
33% leading67% draw0% trailing
Abia Warriors - half-time state
0% leading33% draw67% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

1.67Points per match (1st half)0.33
BarauAbia Warriors
0.67Goals scored (1st half)0.33
BarauAbia Warriors
0.33Goals conceded (1st half)1.33
BarauAbia Warriors
1Average goals (1st half)1.67
BarauAbia Warriors
67%Clean sheet before half-time33%
BarauAbia Warriors
33%No goal before half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors

After half-time (2nd half)

2.33Points per match (2nd half)1.33
BarauAbia Warriors
1.33Goals scored (2nd half)0.33
BarauAbia Warriors
0.33Goals conceded (2nd half)0.67
BarauAbia Warriors
1.67Average goals (2nd half)1
BarauAbia Warriors
67%Clean sheet after half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors
33%No goal after half-time67%
BarauAbia Warriors

Barau - second-half results

67% W33% D0% L
5
Half-time points
2
Half-time goals
+1
Goal difference (1st half)
7
Second-half points
+3
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.67
PPG before half-time
Lead holding203%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time0.0

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Abia Warriors - second-half results

33% W33% D33% L
1
Half-time points
1
Half-time goals
-3
Goal difference (1st half)
4
Second-half points
-1
Goal difference (2nd half)
0.33
PPG before half-time
Defence after half-time-0.7

Defence stays stable across the full match.

Barau - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match1.672.33
Goals scored / match0.71.3
Goals conceded / match0.30.3
Average goals in match1.01.7
1 goal67%67%
2 goals33%67%
3 goals0%33%
Clean sheet67%67%
No goal33%33%
Goal difference+1+3
Half-time: 33% leading - 67% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 67% won - 33% draw - 0% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 2
Abia Warriors - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match0.331.33
Goals scored / match0.30.3
Goals conceded / match1.30.7
Average goals in match1.71.0
1 goal67%67%
2 goals67%33%
3 goals33%0%
Clean sheet33%67%
No goal67%67%
Goal difference-3-1
Half-time: 0% leading - 33% draw - 67% trailing
2nd half: 33% won - 33% draw - 33% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 33% - Half-time goals total: 1

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minutewhen do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Barau
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
1
1
16-30
0
0
31-45
0
0
46-60
0
0
61-75
4
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (4 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (1). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.

Abia Warriors
ScoredConceded
1
0
0-15
0
1
16-30
0
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
0
0
61-75
1
1
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (1 goal). Concedes most in 31-45 (3). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicatorswhat do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.67
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
2.0 : 0.7
Estimated goal split
home : away
99%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
50%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-25%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
22%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
22%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 5 matches
0-1
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Barau

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+1.60
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.27
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.41
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.14
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
106%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
81%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
+0.7
Late goals
67% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 17% come in the first quarter-hour.
67%

Abia Warriors

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
0.00
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-1.33
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
+1.1 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.67
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-2.00
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
81%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
106%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
0.00
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
0.0
Late goals
50% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 50% come in the first quarter-hour.
50%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League contextis this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).

Teams vs league

BarauLigaAbia Warriors
Average goals in match 2.672.71 2.67
Both teams scored 67%50% 33%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) 67%54% 67%
Clean sheets 33%29% 33%
Goal before half-time 67%83% 67%
Goal after half-time 67%79% 67%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.71
Average goals per match
50%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
29%
Clean sheets
1.88
Home goals / match
0.83
Away goals / match
+127%
Home attack advantage
+56%
Home defence advantage
+59%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
83%
1 goal
42%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
0%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
79%
1 goal
38%
2 goals
13%
3 goals
4%
4 goals

Head-to-head

Recent meetings (2): Barau 1 - 0 - 1 Abia Warriors. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.

Barau
2 : 0
Abia Warriors
Abia Warriors
2 : 0
Barau

FAQ

When do Barau and Abia Warriors play?

Barau face Abia Warriors on 23 September 2026 in NPFL. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What is the head-to-head record between Barau and Abia Warriors?

In the last 2 head-to-head matches Barau won 1, Abia Warriors won 1 and 0 ended level. These games averaged 2.00 goals, with both teams scoring in 0% of them.

What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Abia Warriors?

Barau score 2.00 goals per game on average and Abia Warriors 0.67. The NPFL average is 2.71 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 67% of Barau's matches and 33% of Abia Warriors's.

What form are Barau and Abia Warriors in?

Over the last 5 games Barau have a 2-1-0 record (2.33 points per game) and Abia Warriors 0-2-1 (0.67 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Abia Warriors?

This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.