Barau vs Bayelsa United: match statistics
Barau presents decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.4 goals per home match with an xG of 2.72, indicating strong offensive efficiency. Bayelsa United records very poor results on the road—just 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The visitors average only 0.6 goals away with an xG of 1.03 and fail to score in 50% of their matches. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for Barau vs 1.2 PPG for Bayelsa), along with advantages in possession and shot count, further favors the hosts. Considering all statistical data, Barau holds a clear advantage, although their home defense (30% clean sheets) and the league's unpredictability could also lead to a draw.
Barau vs Bayelsa United: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barau played Bayelsa United in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 25 January 2026. Final score: 1:1.
Current form
Barau: 2-2-1, 1.60 points/match. Bayelsa United: 2-0-3, 1.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barau scores 0.86 and concedes 1.05 goals per match. Bayelsa United scores 0.95 and concedes 1.19. League average: 1.83 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barau 33%, Bayelsa United 52%. Over 2.5: Barau 24%, Bayelsa United 33%. League level: BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 27%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.27 vs 1.25. Barau: 5.5 shots per match, Bayelsa United: 6.2.
Match halves
Barau: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.48. Bayelsa United: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Barau: 61-75 (6 goals). Bayelsa United: 61-75 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.83 goals per match, BTTS 35%, Over 2.5 27%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barau presents decidedly better home form with a 50% win rate and a positive goal difference (+6) at their own stadium. The hosts average 1.4 goals per home match with an xG of 2.72, indicating strong offensive efficiency. Bayelsa United records very poor results on the road—just 20% wins, 50% losses, and a negative goal difference (-7). The visitors average only 0.6 goals away with an xG of 1.03 and fail to score in 50% of their matches. The recent form of both teams (1.6 PPG for Barau vs 1.2 PPG for Bayelsa), along with advantages in possession and shot count, further favors the hosts. Considering all statistical data, Barau holds a clear advantage, although their home defense (30% clean sheets) and the league's unpredictability could also lead to a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barau | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 24% | 30% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.23 | 0.20 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.67 | 0.51 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barau is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.6 pts / match - Barau · 1.2 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Bayelsa United is 10% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Barau · 0.95 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Barau is 13% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.05 goals / match - Barau · 1.19 goals / match - Bayelsa United
Barau scores in 38% of matches (8 of 21 matches), while Bayelsa United keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
Bayelsa United scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 29% (6 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barau
Over / Under - Bayelsa United
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Bayelsa United is 13% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.05 pts / match - Barau · 1.19 pts / match - Bayelsa United
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 29%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Bayelsa United - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 33%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 80% |
| No goal | 80% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -2 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): -7 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barau
Bayelsa United
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Barau | Liga | Bayelsa United | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.90 | 1.83 | ▲ 2.14 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 33% | 35% | ▲ 52% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 24% | 27% | ▲ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 29% | 39% | ▼ 19% |
| Goal before half-time | • 62% | 61% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | • 57% | 58% | ▲ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barau 0 - 0 - 1 Bayelsa United. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barau vs Bayelsa United?
The NPFL match finished Barau 1:1 Bayelsa United. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Bayelsa United?
Barau score 0.86 goals per game on average and Bayelsa United 0.95. The NPFL average is 1.83 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 27% of games. Both teams score in 33% of Barau's matches and 52% of Bayelsa United's.
What form are Barau and Bayelsa United in?
Over the last 5 games Barau have a 2-2-1 record (1.60 points per game) and Bayelsa United 2-0-3 (1.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Bayelsa United?
The statistical background for Barau vs Bayelsa United — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.