Barau vs Ikorodu City: match statistics
Barau demonstrates significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts post impressive offensive statistics at home – averaging 2.75 xG and 1.36 goals per match, which, coupled with just an 18% loss rate, makes them the clear favorite. Ikorodu City shows significant problems in away matches, winning only 9% of games and having a negative goal difference (-4), with very low efficiency – averaging just 0.73 goals per away match. Furthermore, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away matches, which, when facing Barau's solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per home game), significantly reduces their chances. Taking into account all these factors and the recent form of both teams, a home victory seems the most likely scenario.
Barau vs Ikorodu City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barau played Ikorodu City in NPFL (Nigeria). The match was played on 1 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Barau: 1-3-1, 1.20 points/match. Ikorodu City: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barau scores 0.83 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Ikorodu City scores 0.96 and concedes 0.61. League average: 1.84 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barau 35%, Ikorodu City 30%. Over 2.5: Barau 22%, Ikorodu City 17%. League level: BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
xG, shots and style
Barau has higher xG: 1.39 vs 1.36. Barau: 6.7 shots per match, Ikorodu City: 7.7.
Match halves
Barau: half-time lead 17%, second-half goals 0.43. Ikorodu City: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.48.
Goals by minute
Barau: 61-75 (6 goals). Ikorodu City: 0-15 (4 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
NPFL: 1.84 goals per match, BTTS 36%, Over 2.5 26%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barau demonstrates significantly better form in home matches, achieving a 45% win rate and boasting a positive goal difference (+6). The hosts post impressive offensive statistics at home – averaging 2.75 xG and 1.36 goals per match, which, coupled with just an 18% loss rate, makes them the clear favorite. Ikorodu City shows significant problems in away matches, winning only 9% of games and having a negative goal difference (-4), with very low efficiency – averaging just 0.73 goals per away match. Furthermore, the visitors fail to score in 45% of their away matches, which, when facing Barau's solid defense (0.82 goals conceded per home game), significantly reduces their chances. Taking into account all these factors and the recent form of both teams, a home victory seems the most likely scenario.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barau | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 23% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.21 | 0.18 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.55 | 0.40 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Ikorodu City is 50% better for: last-5 form.
1.2 pts / match - Barau · 1.8 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Ikorodu City is 16% better for: goals scored per match.
0.83 goals / match - Barau · 0.96 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Ikorodu City is 64% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Barau · 0.61 goals / match - Ikorodu City
Barau scores in 39% of matches (9 of 23 matches), while Ikorodu City keeps a clean sheet in 61% (14 of 23 matches).
Ikorodu City scores in 70% of matches (16 of 23 matches), while Barau keeps a clean sheet in 30% (7 of 23 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barau
Over / Under - Ikorodu City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Ikorodu City is 38% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.04 pts / match - Barau · 1.43 pts / match - Ikorodu City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barau - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 17% of matches and wins 26%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Ikorodu City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 60% |
| No goal | 60% | 80% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -1 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.0 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 100% |
| Goal difference | +3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (6 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (4 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barau
Ikorodu City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (NPFL).
Teams vs league
| Barau | Liga | Ikorodu City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 1.83 | 1.84 | ▼ 1.57 |
| Both teams scored | • 35% | 36% | ▼ 30% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 22% | 26% | ▼ 17% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 30% | 38% | ▲ 61% |
| Goal before half-time | • 61% | 60% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 52% | 59% | ▼ 39% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barau 0 - 0 - 1 Ikorodu City. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barau vs Ikorodu City?
The NPFL match finished Barau 1:0 Ikorodu City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barau vs Ikorodu City?
Barau score 0.83 goals per game on average and Ikorodu City 0.96. The NPFL average is 1.84 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 26% of games. Both teams score in 35% of Barau's matches and 30% of Ikorodu City's.
What form are Barau and Ikorodu City in?
Over the last 5 games Barau have a 1-3-1 record (1.20 points per game) and Ikorodu City 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barau vs Ikorodu City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.