Italy - Serie C Group CStadio Comunale San NicolaData current as of 18 October 2026

Bari 1908 vs Crotone: match statistics

Reasoning:

Full analysis and pick in the app

Check the betting analysis, pick, value bet and full reasoning for this match.

Check analysis and pick

Bari 1908 vs Crotone: form, goals and key statistics

Key match information

Bari 1908 play Crotone in Serie C Group C (Italy). The match date is 18 October 2026. Venue: Stadio Comunale San Nicola.

Current form

Bari 1908: 3-1-1, 2.00 points/match. Crotone: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match.

Goal statistics

Bari 1908 scores 1.44 and concedes 0.67 goals per match. Crotone scores 1.11 and concedes 1.67. League average: 2.88 goals.

BTTS / Over / Under

BTTS: Bari 1908 22%, Crotone 67%. Over 2.5: Bari 1908 56%, Crotone 56%. League level: BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

xG, shots and style

Crotone has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.37. Bari 1908: 11.2 shots per match, Crotone: 14.9.

Match halves

Bari 1908: half-time lead 56%, second-half goals 0.67. Crotone: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.44.

Goals by minute

Bari 1908: 0-15 (3 goals). Crotone: 0-15 (3 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.

League context

Serie C Group C: 2.88 goals per match, BTTS 55%, Over 2.5 54%.

Head-to-head

No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.

Before the match

1X2 odds

(1.47)
(4.00)
(6.40)

Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?

This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.

1.44Goals scored / match1.11
Bari 1908Crotone
0.67Goals conceded / match1.67
Bari 1908Crotone
51%Average possession54%
Bari 1908Crotone
4.78Shots on target / match5
Bari 1908Crotone

Team stats— who is more efficient?

Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.

11.22Shots per match14.89
Bari 1908Crotone
4.78Shots on target5
Bari 1908Crotone
12.9%Shot conversion7.5%
Bari 1908Crotone
51%Possession54%
Bari 1908Crotone
1.37xG for1.7
Bari 1908Crotone
1.63xG against1.33
Bari 1908Crotone

Shooting quality

Bari 1908: BalancedCrotone: Attacking
Bari 1908Crotone
Accuracy (shots on target)43%34%
Chance quality (xG per shot)0.120.11
Finishing (goals per shot on target)0.300.22

xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.

* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.

Team form— who is in better shape?

Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.

Bari 1908 is 150% better for: last-5 form.

2 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 0.8 pts / match - Crotone

Bari 1908
DWWLW
Season result split
67% W11% D22% L
Season (W-D-L)
6-1-2
2.11 pts / match · goal difference +7
Last 5 (W-D-L)
3-1-1
2.00 pts / match
Record at home (W-D-L)
4-1-0
Last 5 at home
4-1-0
WWDWW
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.2Goals conceded: 0.6xG: 1.47Opponent xG: 1.72BTTS: 40%Over 2.5: 40%
Crotone
LDWLL
Season result split
11% W33% D56% L
Season (W-D-L)
1-3-5
0.67 pts / match · goal difference -5
Last 5 (W-D-L)
1-1-3
0.80 pts / match
Record away (W-D-L)
0-2-2
Last 5 away
0-2-2
LDDL
Last 5 matches - averages
Goals scored: 1.4Goals conceded: 2.0xG: 1.43Opponent xG: 1.64BTTS: 80%Over 2.5: 80%

Goals— how do both teams score and concede?

How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.

Bari 1908 is 30% better for: goals scored per match.

1.44 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 1.11 goals / match - Crotone

Bari 1908 is 149% better for: goals conceded per match.

0.67 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 1.67 goals / match - Crotone

Bari 1908 scoring profile: very strong

Bari 1908 scores in 78% of matches (7 of 9 matches), while Crotone keeps a clean sheet in 0% (0 of 9 matches).

Crotone scoring profile: mixed

Crotone scores in 67% of matches (6 of 9 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 67% (6 of 9 matches).

13Goals scored (season)10
Bari 1908Crotone
6Goals conceded (season)15
Bari 1908Crotone
2.11Average goals in match2.78
Bari 1908Crotone
6Goals scored (last 5)7
Bari 1908Crotone
3Goals conceded (last 5)10
Bari 1908Crotone

How often they score at least...

78%1 goal67%
Bari 1908Crotone
44%2 goals44%
Bari 1908Crotone
22%3 goals0%
Bari 1908Crotone
0%4 goals0%
Bari 1908Crotone

How often they concede at least...

33%1 goal100%
Bari 1908Crotone
22%2 goals56%
Bari 1908Crotone
11%3 goals11%
Bari 1908Crotone
0%4 goals0%
Bari 1908Crotone

* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.

Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?

How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.

Goal patterns

0%BTTS at half-time33%
Bari 1908Crotone
0%BTTS in both halves0%
Bari 1908Crotone
33%Scored in both halves11%
Bari 1908Crotone

BTTS and goal count

22%Min. 3 goals and BTTS56%
Bari 1908Crotone
33%Min. 3 goals without BTTS0%
Bari 1908Crotone
40%BTTS - last 580%
Bari 1908Crotone

Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?

How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.

1st half

67%Min. 1 goal before half-time67%
Bari 1908Crotone
22%Min. 2 goals before half-time33%
Bari 1908Crotone
0%Min. 3 goals before half-time33%
Bari 1908Crotone

2nd half

78%Min. 1 goal after half-time78%
Bari 1908Crotone
44%Min. 2 goals after half-time33%
Bari 1908Crotone
0%Min. 3 goals after half-time11%
Bari 1908Crotone

Match halves— when do the teams score more often?

How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.

Bari 1908 is 50% better for: first-half form (half-time points).

2 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 1.33 pts / match - Crotone

Bari 1908 - half-time state
56% leading33% draw11% trailing
Crotone - half-time state
33% leading33% draw33% trailing

Before half-time (1st half)

2Points per match (1st half)1.33
Bari 1908Crotone
0.78Goals scored (1st half)0.67
Bari 1908Crotone
0.11Goals conceded (1st half)0.78
Bari 1908Crotone
0.89Average goals (1st half)1.44
Bari 1908Crotone
89%Clean sheet before half-time44%
Bari 1908Crotone
44%No goal before half-time56%
Bari 1908Crotone

After half-time (2nd half)

1.67Points per match (2nd half)1
Bari 1908Crotone
0.67Goals scored (2nd half)0.44
Bari 1908Crotone
0.56Goals conceded (2nd half)0.89
Bari 1908Crotone
1.22Average goals (2nd half)1.33
Bari 1908Crotone
67%Clean sheet after half-time44%
Bari 1908Crotone
44%No goal after half-time67%
Bari 1908Crotone

Bari 1908 - second-half results

44% W33% D22% L
18
Half-time points
7
Half-time goals
+6
Goal difference (1st half)
15
Second-half points
+1
Goal difference (2nd half)
2.00
PPG before half-time
Lead holding120%

Leads at half-time in 56% of matches and wins 67%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.

Defence after half-time+0.5

Concedes 0.5 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Crotone - second-half results

22% W33% D44% L
12
Half-time points
6
Half-time goals
-1
Goal difference (1st half)
9
Second-half points
-4
Goal difference (2nd half)
1.33
PPG before half-time
Lead holding33%

Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 11%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.

Defence after half-time+0.1

Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.

Bari 1908 - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.201.20
Goals scored / match0.80.4
Goals conceded / match0.00.6
Average goals in match0.81.0
1 goal60%60%
2 goals20%40%
3 goals0%0%
Clean sheet100%60%
No goal40%60%
Goal difference+4-1
Half-time: 60% leading - 40% draw - 0% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 60% draw - 20% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 0% - Half-time goals total: 4
Crotone - last 5 matches by half
1st half2nd half
Points per match2.000.80
Goals scored / match1.20.2
Goals conceded / match1.01.0
Average goals in match2.21.2
1 goal80%80%
2 goals60%40%
3 goals60%0%
Clean sheet40%40%
No goal20%80%
Goal difference+1-4
Half-time: 60% leading - 20% draw - 20% trailing
2nd half: 20% won - 20% draw - 60% lost
BTTS at half-time (last 5): 60% - Half-time goals total: 6

* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.

Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?

Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.

Bari 1908
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
2
0
16-30
2
1
31-45
1
2
46-60
2
1
61-75
3
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (2). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.

Crotone
ScoredConceded
3
0
0-15
1
4
16-30
2
3
31-45
0
1
46-60
2
5
61-75
2
2
76-90

Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (3 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (5). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.

* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.

Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?

A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.

Match profile

2.45
Estimated goals
attack vs opponent defence
1.6 : 0.9
Estimated goal split
home : away
85%
Pace vs league
100% = league average
45%
Both teams scored (BTTS)
average from both teams' seasons
-100%
Derby effect
H2H goals vs typical matches
52%
BTTS estimate
from both teams' scoring frequency
7%
0:0 risk
about 1 in 14 matches
2-3
Most common goal range
attack vs defence on both sides

Bari 1908

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
-0.26
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
+1.03
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-3.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
+0.07
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
+0.96
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
90%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
52%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
-0.11
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.1
Late goals
23% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 23% come in the first quarter-hour.
23%

Crotone

Net xG balance
Difference between the quality of chances created and allowed per match.
+0.37
Results compared with xG
Difference between the actual goal balance and the balance suggested by xG.
-0.93
Points compared with goal balance
Comparison between collected points and the points implied by the team's goal balance.
-2.3 pts
Finishing efficiency
Does the team convert chances? Positive means it scores more than the quality of chances suggests.
-0.59
Defensive efficiency
Does the defence or goalkeeper save the team? Positive means it concedes less than the chances allowed suggest.
-0.34
Attack vs league
How much the team scores compared with the league average for this role. 120% means 20% above average.
87%
Defence vs league
How much the team concedes compared with the league average. 80% means 20% fewer goals conceded.
104%
Form trend
Compares points from the last 5 matches with the whole-season average.
+0.13
Stronger second half?
How many more goals the team scores after half-time than before it.
-0.2
Late goals
20% of this team's goals come in minutes 76-90. For comparison, 30% come in the first quarter-hour.
20%

* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.

League context— is this a high-scoring league?

How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie C Group C).

Teams vs league

Bari 1908LigaCrotone
Average goals in match▼ 2.112.88▼ 2.78
Both teams scored▼ 22%55%▲ 67%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)▲ 56%54%▲ 56%
Clean sheets▲ 67%27%▼ 0%
Goal before half-time▼ 67%75%▼ 67%
Goal after half-time▲ 78%74%▲ 78%

^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.

2.88
Average goals per match
55%
Both teams scored
54%
Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5)
27%
Clean sheets
1.60
Home goals / match
1.28
Away goals / match
+25%
Home attack advantage
+20%
Home defence advantage
+19%
Total home advantage
Goals in 1st half (whole league)
75%
1 goal
33%
2 goals
14%
3 goals
2%
4 goals
Goals in 2nd half (whole league)
74%
1 goal
49%
2 goals
26%
3 goals
11%
4 goals

FAQ

When do Bari 1908 and Crotone play?

Bari 1908 face Crotone on 18 October 2026 in Serie C Group C at Stadio Comunale San Nicola. The exact kick-off time in your timezone is shown at the top of the match page.

What do the goal statistics show before Bari 1908 vs Crotone?

Bari 1908 score 1.44 goals per game on average and Crotone 1.11. The Serie C Group C average is 2.88 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 54% of games. Both teams score in 22% of Bari 1908's matches and 67% of Crotone's.

What form are Bari 1908 and Crotone in?

Over the last 5 games Bari 1908 have a 3-1-1 record (2.00 points per game) and Crotone 1-1-3 (0.80 points per game).

Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bari 1908 vs Crotone?

The statistical background for Bari 1908 vs Crotone — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.