Bari 1908 vs Palermo: match statistics
Palermo presents significantly better form and table position (4th place) compared to Bari (17th place). The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) with 1.8 points per match, while the hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match with one win. The goal difference speaks in favor of Palermo (30:14 vs 18:31 for Bari), and the visitors' positive goal difference on the road (+3) contrasts with the hosts' zero balance at home. Palermo has better xG statistics (1.33 vs 1.21), indicating more effective offensive play. Although Palermo's away matches often end in draws (50% draws), their solid form and statistical advantage give them the best chances for victory in this clash.
Bari 1908 vs Palermo: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bari 1908 played Palermo in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 30 January 2026. Final score: 0:3.
Current form
Bari 1908: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Palermo: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bari 1908 scores 0.86 and concedes 1.48 goals per match. Palermo scores 1.43 and concedes 0.67. League average: 2.45 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bari 1908 57%, Palermo 38%. Over 2.5: Bari 1908 43%, Palermo 33%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Palermo has higher xG: 1.52 vs 1.10. Bari 1908: 10.3 shots per match, Palermo: 13.9.
Match halves
Bari 1908: half-time lead 5%, second-half goals 0.48. Palermo: half-time lead 52%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Bari 1908: 76-90+ (6 goals). Palermo: 76-90+ (7 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.45 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Palermo presents significantly better form and table position (4th place) compared to Bari (17th place). The visitors are unbeaten in their last 5 matches (2 wins, 3 draws) with 1.8 points per match, while the hosts have earned only 0.8 points per match with one win. The goal difference speaks in favor of Palermo (30:14 vs 18:31 for Bari), and the visitors' positive goal difference on the road (+3) contrasts with the hosts' zero balance at home. Palermo has better xG statistics (1.33 vs 1.21), indicating more effective offensive play. Although Palermo's away matches often end in draws (50% draws), their solid form and statistical advantage give them the best chances for victory in this clash.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bari 1908 | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 27% | 31% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.33 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Palermo is 125% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 1.8 pts / match - Palermo
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Palermo is 66% better for: goals scored per match.
0.86 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 1.43 goals / match - Palermo
Palermo is 121% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.48 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 0.67 goals / match - Palermo
Bari 1908 scores in 67% of matches (14 of 21 matches), while Palermo keeps a clean sheet in 48% (10 of 21 matches).
Palermo scores in 71% of matches (15 of 21 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 19% (4 of 21 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bari 1908
Over / Under - Palermo
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Palermo is 132% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.76 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 1.76 pts / match - Palermo
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 5% of matches and wins 19%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.1 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Palermo - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 52% of matches and wins 48%. Usually protects the lead until full-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.60 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 0.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -2 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.00 | 1.20 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +2 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (8). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (7 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bari 1908
Palermo
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Bari 1908 | Liga | Palermo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.33 | 2.45 | ▼ 2.10 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 57% | 54% | ▼ 38% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 43% | 46% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 19% | 27% | ▲ 48% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 57% | 70% | ▲ 81% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 62% | 75% | ▼ 62% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bari 1908 0 - 0 - 1 Palermo. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bari 1908 vs Palermo?
The Serie B match finished Bari 1908 0:3 Palermo. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bari 1908 vs Palermo?
Bari 1908 score 0.86 goals per game on average and Palermo 1.43. The Serie B average is 2.45 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 57% of Bari 1908's matches and 38% of Palermo's.
What form are Bari 1908 and Palermo in?
Over the last 5 games Bari 1908 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Palermo 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bari 1908 vs Palermo?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Bari 1908 vs Palermo: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.