Bari 1908 vs Südtirol: match statistics
Analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams with a slight edge for a draw. Bari 1908 is in a difficult league situation (19th place) with very poor form in their last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per game), however they are playing at home, where they have drawn 42% of their matches. Südtirol is showing excellent form in recent weeks (2.2 points per game, a run of 3 wins and 2 draws), but in away matches they have a 75% draw rate this season, which is an extremely high indicator. The xG statistics of both teams are very close (Bari 1.25 vs Südtirol 1.23), confirming their balanced offensive quality. The visitors' form advantage is offset by their tendency to draw away and the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
Bari 1908 vs Südtirol: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Bari 1908 played Südtirol in Serie B (Italy). The match was played on 15 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Bari 1908: 1-1-3, 0.80 points/match. Südtirol: 3-2-0, 2.20 points/match.
Goal statistics
Bari 1908 scores 0.79 and concedes 1.50 goals per match. Südtirol scores 1.00 and concedes 0.96. League average: 2.47 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Bari 1908 54%, Südtirol 54%. Over 2.5: Bari 1908 46%, Südtirol 33%. League level: BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Südtirol has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.10. Bari 1908: 10.3 shots per match, Südtirol: 12.1.
Match halves
Bari 1908: half-time lead 4%, second-half goals 0.42. Südtirol: half-time lead 38%, second-half goals 0.38.
Goals by minute
Bari 1908: 76-90+ (6 goals). Südtirol: 16-30 (6 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
Serie B: 2.47 goals per match, BTTS 53%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 0.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Analysis indicates evenly matched chances for both teams with a slight edge for a draw. Bari 1908 is in a difficult league situation (19th place) with very poor form in their last 5 matches (only 0.8 points per game), however they are playing at home, where they have drawn 42% of their matches. Südtirol is showing excellent form in recent weeks (2.2 points per game, a run of 3 wins and 2 draws), but in away matches they have a 75% draw rate this season, which is an extremely high indicator. The xG statistics of both teams are very close (Bari 1.25 vs Südtirol 1.23), confirming their balanced offensive quality. The visitors' form advantage is offset by their tendency to draw away and the desperation of the hosts fighting to avoid relegation. Taking all factors into account, a draw seems the most likely outcome of this match.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Bari 1908 | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 28% | 29% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.28 | 0.29 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Südtirol is 175% better for: last-5 form.
0.8 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 2.2 pts / match - Südtirol
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Südtirol is 27% better for: goals scored per match.
0.79 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 1 goals / match - Südtirol
Südtirol is 56% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.5 goals / match - Bari 1908 · 0.96 goals / match - Südtirol
Bari 1908 scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Südtirol keeps a clean sheet in 25% (6 of 24 matches).
Südtirol scores in 63% of matches (15 of 24 matches), while Bari 1908 keeps a clean sheet in 21% (5 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Bari 1908
Over / Under - Südtirol
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Südtirol is 80% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.79 pts / match - Bari 1908 · 1.42 pts / match - Südtirol
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Bari 1908 - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 4% of matches and wins 17%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Südtirol - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 38% of matches and wins 25%. Sometimes loses the lead after half-time.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -1 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.2 | 0.2 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 20% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 0% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 100% |
| No goal | 40% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | +1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (6 goals). Concedes most in 46-60 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 16-30 (6 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (6). Late-goal balance (76-90): -1 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Bari 1908
Südtirol
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (Serie B).
Teams vs league
| Bari 1908 | Liga | Südtirol | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.47 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | • 54% | 53% | • 54% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | • 46% | 47% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 21% | 28% | ▼ 25% |
| Goal before half-time | ▼ 54% | 71% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 63% | 73% | ▼ 63% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Substitutes
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Bari 1908 0 - 1 - 0 Südtirol. Average goals 0.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?
The Serie B match finished Bari 1908 1:2 Südtirol. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?
Bari 1908 score 0.79 goals per game on average and Südtirol 1.00. The Serie B average is 2.47 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 54% of Bari 1908's matches and 54% of Südtirol's.
What form are Bari 1908 and Südtirol in?
Over the last 5 games Bari 1908 have a 1-1-3 record (0.80 points per game) and Südtirol 3-2-0 (2.20 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Bari 1908 vs Südtirol?
The statistical background for Bari 1908 vs Südtirol — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under — is on this page. The tip with full reasoning and a value assessment is in the NoFluffPicks app.