Barnet vs Chesterfield: match statistics
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Barnet presents solid home form with 35% wins and an xG advantage (1.80 vs 1.03), yet their overall recent form is uncertain (1.4 PPG). Chesterfield stands out with better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten streak), but they draw in 41% of away encounters, which is the highest rate in the league. Both teams score effectively (low FTS%), suggesting a spectacular match with goals on both sides. Considering the close positions in the table (9th vs. 7th place), balanced possession statistics (59% vs 58%), and the visitors' tendency to draw, I expect a share of the points.
Barnet vs Chesterfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barnet played Chesterfield in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 1:0.
Current form
Barnet: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Chesterfield: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barnet scores 1.26 and concedes 1.09 goals per match. Chesterfield scores 1.58 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barnet 50%, Chesterfield 67%. Over 2.5: Barnet 41%, Chesterfield 45%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Barnet has higher xG: 1.70 vs 1.37. Barnet: 14.5 shots per match, Chesterfield: 11.6.
Match halves
Barnet: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.62. Chesterfield: half-time lead 36%, second-half goals 0.91.
Goals by minute
Barnet: 76-90+ (13 goals). Chesterfield: 76-90+ (15 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Statistical analysis indicates very even chances for both teams, suggesting a draw as the most probable result. Barnet presents solid home form with 35% wins and an xG advantage (1.80 vs 1.03), yet their overall recent form is uncertain (1.4 PPG). Chesterfield stands out with better disposition in the last five matches (1.8 PPG, unbeaten streak), but they draw in 41% of away encounters, which is the highest rate in the league. Both teams score effectively (low FTS%), suggesting a spectacular match with goals on both sides. Considering the close positions in the table (9th vs. 7th place), balanced possession statistics (59% vs 58%), and the visitors' tendency to draw, I expect a share of the points.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barnet | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.39 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chesterfield is 29% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Barnet · 1.8 pts / match - Chesterfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chesterfield is 25% better for: goals scored per match.
1.26 goals / match - Barnet · 1.58 goals / match - Chesterfield
Barnet is 19% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.09 goals / match - Barnet · 1.3 goals / match - Chesterfield
Barnet scores in 76% of matches (26 of 34 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 27% (9 of 33 matches).
Chesterfield scores in 91% of matches (30 of 33 matches), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 38% (13 of 34 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barnet
Over / Under - Chesterfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 36% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.80 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 40% |
| No goal | 40% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +2 | -3 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 2.60 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.2 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.6 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 20% |
| No goal | 0% | 80% |
| Goal difference | +4 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +7 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (15 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barnet
Chesterfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Barnet | Liga | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.35 | 2.57 | ▲ 2.88 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 50% | 54% | ▲ 67% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 41% | 47% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 38% | 26% | • 27% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 69% | ▲ 76% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 74% | 76% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barnet 0 - 0 - 1 Chesterfield. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barnet vs Chesterfield?
The EFL League Two match finished Barnet 1:0 Chesterfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barnet vs Chesterfield?
Barnet score 1.26 goals per game on average and Chesterfield 1.58. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 50% of Barnet's matches and 67% of Chesterfield's.
What form are Barnet and Chesterfield in?
Over the last 5 games Barnet have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Chesterfield 2-3-0 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barnet vs Chesterfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barnet vs Chesterfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.