Barnet vs Gillingham: match statistics
Barnet vs Gillingham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barnet played Gillingham in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 25 April 2026. Final score: 6:2.
Current form
Barnet: 4-1-0, 2.60 points/match. Gillingham: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barnet scores 1.41 and concedes 1.14 goals per match. Gillingham scores 1.14 and concedes 1.50. League average: 2.56 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barnet 55%, Gillingham 55%. Over 2.5: Barnet 45%, Gillingham 45%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Barnet has higher xG: 1.64 vs 1.48. Barnet: 14.1 shots per match, Gillingham: 13.0.
Match halves
Barnet: half-time lead 30%, second-half goals 0.77. Gillingham: half-time lead 20%, second-half goals 0.75.
Goals by minute
Barnet: 76-90+ (18 goals). Gillingham: 76-90+ (14 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.56 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barnet are the favorites: the hosts have scored 62 goals this season and 13 in the last 5 matches (2.6 per game), recording 4 wins and 1 draw in that span, while Gillingham have 50 goals this season and only 6 in their last 5. In chance quality Barnet average 1.73 xG at home versus Gillingham’s 1.27 xG away, and the hosts register 14.86 shots per game (4.73 on target) compared to the visitors’ 11.36 shots (3.09 on target). Defensively Barnet concede 1.23 goals at home with 1.07 xG against, whereas Gillingham concede 1.36 goals away with 1.45 xG against, indicating Barnet’s advantage in limiting high-quality chances (xG against difference 0.38). Additionally, the hosts failed to score in only 14% of home matches, while Gillingham were shut out in 41% of away games, which weakens the visitors’ offensive potential. Considering better form (average 2.6 points per game in the last 5 for Barnet vs 1.0 for Gillingham), higher volume of chances and an xG advantage, I predict a home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
I back BTTS (Both Teams To Score) because Barnet’s offensive edge and Gillingham’s defensive vulnerability point more strongly to goals at both ends. Barnet has a season BTTS rate of 68% and 80% in the last 5, averaging 2.6 goals in the last 5 (13 goals in 5), while Gillingham’s season BTTS is 41% with a 1.0 average, but has improved to 60% BTTS and 1.2 goals in the last 5 (6 goals in 5). Additionally, Barnet’s xG is 1.68 versus 1.27 for Gillingham, Barnet registers 5.23 shots on target compared to the opponent’s 3.09, and Gillingham’s xG against is 1.45, indicating both sides create chances and the visitors have weaker defense. Although Gillingham failed to score in 41% of season matches, Barnet’s 62 goals scored this season and Gillingham’s 8 conceded in the last 5 (66 conceded in the season) further lean toward a Goal/Goal outcome.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
Estimated xG is 1.57 for Barnet (attacking xG 1.68 vs Gillingham defensive xG 1.45) and 1.31 for Gillingham (1.27 vs 1.34), giving a total xG of 2.88. This season Barnet has 82% of matches with over 1.5 goals and 50% over 2.5, while Gillingham records 59% and 41% respectively, so season-long stats favor at least 2 goals. In the last 5 matches Barnet scored 13 goals (2.6 avg) and had 80% of games over 2.5, whereas Gillingham has 6 goals (1.2) and 60% such games, which further increases the probability of Over 2.5 goals. Barnet averages 5.23 shots on target per match versus Gillingham’s 3.09, and the percentage of Barnet matches where both teams scored is 68%, indicating more clear goal-scoring opportunities. The strongest signal is Over 2.5 — this is the best line to play given the combined xG of 2.88 and the home side’s form.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Barnet holds the advantage in chance creation: xG 1.68 versus 1.27 for Gillingham, averaging 5.23 on-target shots at home compared to 3.09 for the visitors, and scoring an average 1.27 goals per game versus Gillingham’s 1.00. At Half-Time, the hosts average 0.5 goals and the visitors 0.27, with Barnet leading at the break in 27% of matches versus 14% for Gillingham; in the last 5 games Barnet were level at Half-Time in 80% (4 of 5), which increases the likelihood of an HT draw. After the break Barnet have averaged 1.8 goals in the last 5 matches versus 0.8 for Gillingham, and 100% of those 5 games featured at least one goal in the second half (visitors 80%), so the hosts frequently decide matters in the second half. Season-long indicators show BTTS 68% for Barnet vs 41% for Gillingham, but Barnet’s superior form (last 5: 4 wins and 1 draw) and advantages in xG and on-target shots support a turnaround from a Half-Time draw to a Full-Time win for the hosts; hence the selection X/1 with the highest probability of 32%.
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barnet | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 32% | 32% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barnet is 160% better for: last-5 form.
2.6 pts / match - Barnet · 1 pts / match - Gillingham
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barnet is 24% better for: goals scored per match.
1.41 goals / match - Barnet · 1.14 goals / match - Gillingham
Barnet is 32% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.14 goals / match - Barnet · 1.5 goals / match - Gillingham
Barnet scores in 80% of matches (35 of 44 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 23% (10 of 44 matches).
Gillingham scores in 73% of matches (32 of 44 matches), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 34% (15 of 44 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barnet
Over / Under - Gillingham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barnet is 28% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Barnet · 1.09 pts / match - Gillingham
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 30% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 20% of matches and wins 27%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 1.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 0% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 2.0 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (18 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +9 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (14 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (18). Late-goal balance (76-90): -4 - late phases are a weakness.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barnet
Gillingham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Barnet | Liga | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.56 | • 2.64 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 52% | ▲ 55% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 45% | 48% | ▼ 45% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 34% | 27% | ▼ 23% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 68% | 66% | ▼ 57% |
| Goal after half-time | • 77% | 78% | ▲ 82% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barnet 0 - 1 - 0 Gillingham. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barnet vs Gillingham?
The EFL League Two match finished Barnet 6:2 Gillingham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barnet vs Gillingham?
Barnet score 1.41 goals per game on average and Gillingham 1.14. The EFL League Two average is 2.56 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Barnet's matches and 55% of Gillingham's.
What form are Barnet and Gillingham in?
Over the last 5 games Barnet have a 4-1-0 record (2.60 points per game) and Gillingham 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barnet vs Gillingham?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barnet vs Gillingham: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.