Barnet vs Swindon Town: match statistics
Swindon Town finds itself in 4th place in the table and presents significantly better form than Barnet (11th place), earning 12 points in the last 5 matches with an average of 2.4 points per match. The guests have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 4, which shows their offensive power and defensive solidity. Barnet has weaker shooting efficiency (9% shot conversion in home matches versus 12% for Swindon away) and a lower xG coefficient (1.84 vs 1.49), but their home form is stable with 3 draws in the last 5 matches. Swindon has a 50% win rate away and a better goal difference, making them the favorite for this meeting. A predicted victory for the guests is the most likely scenario, although Barnet's solid defense (only 2 goals conceded in the last 5 matches) may make this a close contest.
Barnet vs Swindon Town: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barnet played Swindon Town in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 17 February 2026. Final score: 1:2.
Current form
Barnet: 2-3-0, 1.80 points/match. Swindon Town: 4-0-1, 2.40 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barnet scores 1.29 and concedes 1.00 goals per match. Swindon Town scores 1.66 and concedes 1.16. League average: 2.58 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barnet 48%, Swindon Town 53%. Over 2.5: Barnet 39%, Swindon Town 63%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Barnet has higher xG: 1.72 vs 1.42. Barnet: 14.6 shots per match, Swindon Town: 12.4.
Match halves
Barnet: half-time lead 32%, second-half goals 0.65. Swindon Town: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.78.
Goals by minute
Barnet: 76-90+ (12 goals). Swindon Town: 76-90+ (13 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.58 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 1-0-0. Average goals 2.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Swindon Town finds itself in 4th place in the table and presents significantly better form than Barnet (11th place), earning 12 points in the last 5 matches with an average of 2.4 points per match. The guests have won 4 of the last 5 meetings, scoring 10 goals and conceding only 4, which shows their offensive power and defensive solidity. Barnet has weaker shooting efficiency (9% shot conversion in home matches versus 12% for Swindon away) and a lower xG coefficient (1.84 vs 1.49), but their home form is stable with 3 draws in the last 5 matches. Swindon has a 50% win rate away and a better goal difference, making them the favorite for this meeting. A predicted victory for the guests is the most likely scenario, although Barnet's solid defense (only 2 goals conceded in the last 5 matches) may make this a close contest.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barnet | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 40% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.26 | 0.34 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Swindon Town is 33% better for: last-5 form.
1.8 pts / match - Barnet · 2.4 pts / match - Swindon Town
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Swindon Town is 29% better for: goals scored per match.
1.29 goals / match - Barnet · 1.66 goals / match - Swindon Town
Barnet is 16% better for: goals conceded per match.
1 goals / match - Barnet · 1.16 goals / match - Swindon Town
Barnet scores in 74% of matches (23 of 31 matches), while Swindon Town keeps a clean sheet in 34% (11 of 32 matches).
Swindon Town scores in 84% of matches (27 of 32 matches), while Barnet keeps a clean sheet in 39% (12 of 31 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barnet
Over / Under - Swindon Town
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Swindon Town is 6% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.39 pts / match - Barnet · 1.47 pts / match - Swindon Town
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barnet - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 32% of matches and wins 39%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Swindon Town - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 56%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 40% | 40% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 80% | 80% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 2.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 0.4 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 80% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 80% |
| No goal | 40% | 20% |
| Goal difference | +1 | +5 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (9). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (13 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): +2 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barnet
Swindon Town
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Barnet | Liga | Swindon Town | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▼ 2.29 | 2.58 | ▲ 2.81 |
| Both teams scored | ▼ 48% | 54% | • 53% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▼ 39% | 48% | ▲ 63% |
| Clean sheets | ▲ 39% | 26% | ▲ 34% |
| Goal before half-time | • 68% | 68% | ▲ 72% |
| Goal after half-time | ▼ 71% | 76% | ▼ 72% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barnet 1 - 0 - 0 Swindon Town. Average goals 2.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barnet vs Swindon Town?
The EFL League Two match finished Barnet 1:2 Swindon Town. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barnet vs Swindon Town?
Barnet score 1.29 goals per game on average and Swindon Town 1.66. The EFL League Two average is 2.58 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 48% of Barnet's matches and 53% of Swindon Town's.
What form are Barnet and Swindon Town in?
Over the last 5 games Barnet have a 2-3-0 record (1.80 points per game) and Swindon Town 4-0-1 (2.40 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barnet vs Swindon Town?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.