Barnsley vs Exeter City: match statistics
Barnsley demonstrates significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +7 goal difference in home matches. The hosts average 2 goals per match in home fixtures, which, alongside an average of 12.94 shots and 56% possession, attests to their offensive strength. Conversely, Exeter City faces serious away struggles—just 24% away wins, a negative goal difference of -5, and an alarming 41% of matches without scoring. The visitors' form is concerning, with just 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and a run of four draws and one loss. Exeter scores an average of only 0.94 goals per away match with a low shot conversion rate of 11%, further reducing their chances of a positive result. Considering all these factors, Barnsley has a clear advantage, although the visitors' solid defense (24% clean sheets away) could make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
Barnsley vs Exeter City: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barnsley played Exeter City in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 7 March 2026. Final score: 2:1.
Current form
Barnsley: 2-1-2, 1.40 points/match. Exeter City: 0-4-1, 0.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barnsley scores 1.66 and concedes 1.69 goals per match. Exeter City scores 1.15 and concedes 1.18. League average: 2.61 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barnsley 69%, Exeter City 41%. Over 2.5: Barnsley 69%, Exeter City 41%. League level: BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
xG, shots and style
Barnsley has higher xG: 1.35 vs 1.23. Barnsley: 11.7 shots per match, Exeter City: 10.7.
Match halves
Barnsley: half-time lead 31%, second-half goals 0.84. Exeter City: half-time lead 24%, second-half goals 0.76.
Goals by minute
Barnsley: 0-15 (11 goals). Exeter City: 46-60 (10 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.61 goals per match, BTTS 52%, Over 2.5 50%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 3.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barnsley demonstrates significantly better home form with a 50% win rate at their own stadium and an impressive +7 goal difference in home matches. The hosts average 2 goals per match in home fixtures, which, alongside an average of 12.94 shots and 56% possession, attests to their offensive strength. Conversely, Exeter City faces serious away struggles—just 24% away wins, a negative goal difference of -5, and an alarming 41% of matches without scoring. The visitors' form is concerning, with just 0.8 points per match in their last five outings and a run of four draws and one loss. Exeter scores an average of only 0.94 goals per away match with a low shot conversion rate of 11%, further reducing their chances of a positive result. Considering all these factors, Barnsley has a clear advantage, although the visitors' solid defense (24% clean sheets away) could make the match competitive, hence the relatively high probability of a draw.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barnsley | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 34% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.42 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Barnsley is 75% better for: last-5 form.
1.4 pts / match - Barnsley · 0.8 pts / match - Exeter City
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barnsley is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.66 goals / match - Barnsley · 1.15 goals / match - Exeter City
Exeter City is 43% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.69 goals / match - Barnsley · 1.18 goals / match - Exeter City
Barnsley scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Exeter City keeps a clean sheet in 32% (11 of 34 matches).
Exeter City scores in 68% of matches (23 of 34 matches), while Barnsley keeps a clean sheet in 6% (2 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barnsley
Over / Under - Exeter City
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Barnsley is 20% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
1.31 pts / match - Barnsley · 1.09 pts / match - Exeter City
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barnsley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 31% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
Exeter City - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 24% of matches and wins 32%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.40 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.8 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 20% | 40% |
| Goal difference | +1 | 0 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.6 | 1.4 |
| Average goals in match | 0.6 | 2.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 20% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -1 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 0-15 (11 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (15). Late-goal balance (76-90): -2 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (10 goals). Concedes most in 16-30 (11). Late-goal balance (76-90): 0.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barnsley
Exeter City
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Barnsley | Liga | Exeter City | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.34 | 2.61 | ▼ 2.32 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 69% | 52% | ▼ 41% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 69% | 50% | ▼ 41% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 6% | 27% | ▲ 32% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 84% | 69% | ▲ 71% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 97% | 81% | ▼ 71% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barnsley 0 - 0 - 1 Exeter City. Average goals 3.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barnsley vs Exeter City?
The EFL League One match finished Barnsley 2:1 Exeter City. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barnsley vs Exeter City?
Barnsley score 1.66 goals per game on average and Exeter City 1.15. The EFL League One average is 2.61 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 50% of games. Both teams score in 69% of Barnsley's matches and 41% of Exeter City's.
What form are Barnsley and Exeter City in?
Over the last 5 games Barnsley have a 2-1-2 record (1.40 points per game) and Exeter City 0-4-1 (0.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barnsley vs Exeter City?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.