Barnsley vs Stevenage: match statistics
Barnsley holds a clear home advantage with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference of +5, while Stevenage has won only 36% of their away games with a negative goal difference of -2. The hosts average 2 goals per match at home, significantly surpassing Stevenage's 1.07 goals away. Barnsley also dominates possession (58% vs 42%) and registers more shots per match (12.55 vs 8.71), indicating control of the game. Stevenage has a high 43% clean sheet rate in away fixtures, which further weakens their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (1 point per game), but Barnsley's home strength and xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.04) favor the hosts. Considering all factors, a Barnsley win is the most likely outcome, although 7th-placed Stevenage could put up resistance, making a draw a realistic alternative.
Barnsley vs Stevenage: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barnsley played Stevenage in EFL League One (England). The match was played on 31 January 2026. Final score: 3:1.
Current form
Barnsley: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Stevenage: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barnsley scores 1.54 and concedes 1.67 goals per match. Stevenage scores 1.07 and concedes 0.89. League average: 2.54 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barnsley 63%, Stevenage 44%. Over 2.5: Barnsley 63%, Stevenage 33%. League level: BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
xG, shots and style
Barnsley has higher xG: 1.34 vs 1.14. Barnsley: 11.5 shots per match, Stevenage: 9.5.
Match halves
Barnsley: half-time lead 33%, second-half goals 0.79. Stevenage: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.74.
Goals by minute
Barnsley: 61-75 (8 goals). Stevenage: 46-60 (8 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League One: 2.54 goals per match, BTTS 50%, Over 2.5 48%.
Head-to-head
No aligned head-to-head sample is available in the database.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Barnsley holds a clear home advantage with a 55% win rate and a positive goal difference of +5, while Stevenage has won only 36% of their away games with a negative goal difference of -2. The hosts average 2 goals per match at home, significantly surpassing Stevenage's 1.07 goals away. Barnsley also dominates possession (58% vs 42%) and registers more shots per match (12.55 vs 8.71), indicating control of the game. Stevenage has a high 43% clean sheet rate in away fixtures, which further weakens their chances. The recent form of both teams is similar (1 point per game), but Barnsley's home strength and xG statistics (1.45 vs 1.04) favor the hosts. Considering all factors, a Barnsley win is the most likely outcome, although 7th-placed Stevenage could put up resistance, making a draw a realistic alternative.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barnsley | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 33% | 35% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.12 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.40 | 0.32 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Barnsley is 44% better for: goals scored per match.
1.54 goals / match - Barnsley · 1.07 goals / match - Stevenage
Stevenage is 88% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.67 goals / match - Barnsley · 0.89 goals / match - Stevenage
Barnsley scores in 71% of matches (17 of 24 matches), while Stevenage keeps a clean sheet in 37% (10 of 27 matches).
Stevenage scores in 67% of matches (18 of 27 matches), while Barnsley keeps a clean sheet in 8% (2 of 24 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barnsley
Over / Under - Stevenage
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barnsley - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 33% of matches and wins 38%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.3 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Stevenage - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 41%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.4 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.4 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 1.4 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 100% | 100% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 20% | 20% |
| No goal | 60% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.00 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.0 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 0.0 | 1.8 |
| 1 goal | 0% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 0% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 100% | 40% |
| No goal | 100% | 40% |
| Goal difference | 0 | -3 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 61-75 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (12). Late-goal balance (76-90): -3 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 46-60 (8 goals). Concedes most in 61-75 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +1 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barnsley
Stevenage
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League One).
Teams vs league
| Barnsley | Liga | Stevenage | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | ▲ 3.21 | 2.54 | ▼ 1.96 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 63% | 50% | ▼ 44% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 48% | ▼ 33% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 8% | 27% | ▲ 37% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 83% | 68% | ▼ 41% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 96% | 81% | ▼ 67% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
FAQ
What was the result of Barnsley vs Stevenage?
The EFL League One match finished Barnsley 3:1 Stevenage. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barnsley vs Stevenage?
Barnsley score 1.54 goals per game on average and Stevenage 1.07. The EFL League One average is 2.54 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 48% of games. Both teams score in 63% of Barnsley's matches and 44% of Stevenage's.
What form are Barnsley and Stevenage in?
Over the last 5 games Barnsley have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Stevenage 1-2-2 (1.00 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barnsley vs Stevenage?
This page shows the full statistical context — form, head-to-head, goals, BTTS and Over/Under. The tip, value assessment and full reasoning are in the NoFluffPicks app.