Barrow vs Chesterfield: match statistics
Barrow vs Chesterfield: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barrow played Chesterfield in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 6 April 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Barrow: 1-2-2, 1.00 points/match. Chesterfield: 3-0-2, 1.80 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barrow scores 0.95 and concedes 1.60 goals per match. Chesterfield scores 1.55 and concedes 1.30. League average: 2.53 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barrow 55%, Chesterfield 60%. Over 2.5: Barrow 60%, Chesterfield 48%. League level: BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
xG, shots and style
Chesterfield has higher xG: 1.42 vs 1.22. Barrow: 10.7 shots per match, Chesterfield: 12.2.
Match halves
Barrow: half-time lead 18%, second-half goals 0.48. Chesterfield: half-time lead 35%, second-half goals 0.85.
Goals by minute
Barrow: 31-45+ (11 goals). Chesterfield: 76-90+ (16 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.53 goals per match, BTTS 51%, Over 2.5 46%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-0-1. Average goals 1.00, BTTS 0%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
The favorites are the visitors — Chesterfield sit 7th with 17 wins and 62 goals this season, while Barrow are 23rd with 8 wins and 38 goals. Away, Chesterfield average 1.45 goals with 3.75 shots on target and a 14% conversion rate, whereas Barrow at home manage only 0.68 goals per game, 2.74 shots on target and a 7% conversion, indicating a clear advantage for the visitors in quality of chances. In the last 5 matches Barrow scored 3 and conceded 9, averaging 1.0 point per game, while Chesterfield scored 7 and conceded 8, averaging 1.8 points per game; additionally Barrow failed to score in 53% of home games, whereas Chesterfield were goalless in only 10% of away matches. Considering higher efficiency (14% vs 7%), better shots on target (3.75 vs 2.74) and steadier form (3 wins in the last 5 for the visitors vs 1 for the hosts), I predict a Chesterfield win; I estimate probabilities at approximately 64% away win, 20% draw and 16% home win.
View the statistical overviewBTTS - will both teams score?
Both teams show high BTTS rates this season: Barrow 55% and Chesterfield 65%, averaging 60% versus the league baseline of 51%. Barrow scores 1.65 and concedes 1.10 per match, while Chesterfield scores 1.45 and concedes 1.50, indicating both sides regularly create and concede goals. In the last 5 matches Barrow has scored 3 and conceded 9 (0.6 for and 1.8 against), and Chesterfield has scored 7 and conceded 8 (1.4 and 1.6), demonstrating both teams have been prone to conceding recently. Seasonal and last-5 xG also support BTTS: season xG is 1.55 (Barrow) vs 1.29 (Chesterfield), and in the last 5 matches the visitors’ xG is 1.74 vs the hosts’ 1.21, meaning the visitors create more chances but the hosts still present scoring opportunities. Additionally, low percentages of matches without a goal (Barrow 15%, Chesterfield 10%) and relatively low clean sheets (35% and 25%) push BTTS probability to 66% vs 34%, therefore I back the market: BTTS - Yes.
View BTTS statisticsOver/Under - goals analysis
I project 1.49 goals for Barrow and 1.19 for Chesterfield (total 2.68); estimates derived as the average of their attacking xG and the opponent’s defensive xG: (1.55+1.43)/2=1.49 and (1.29+1.09)/2=1.19. Season-long averages confirm the direction: Barrow has 1.65 goals per match (38 in the season) and 13.85 shots with 12% conversion, while Chesterfield has 1.45 goals (62 in the season) and 10.6 shots with 14% conversion. Over 1.5 percentages are 75% for Barrow and 70% for Chesterfield (avg. 72.5%), so the strongest signal is Over 1.5 and I estimate its probability at ~78%. The 2.5 line is more balanced: seasonally 50%/45% (avg. 47.5%) and the league at 46%, but the last 5 matches for both teams produced Over 2.5 in 60% of cases, so I assign Over 2.5 at 55%. The 3.5 line has the weakest support (seasonally 35%/35% and expected total 2.68 < 3.5), therefore I rate Under 3.5 at 70%.
View Over/Under statisticsHT/FT - half-time and full-time scenario
Seasonal data favor Barrow in the first half: the home side led at the break in 45% of matches and average 0.85 first-half goals versus Chesterfield's 0.55, with average xG 1.55 for Barrow and 1.29 for the visitors. However, recent form (last 5 matches) favors the visitors — Chesterfield have a 60% win rate in their last five (vs 20% for Barrow), scored 9 first-half goals in those five games compared to Barrow's 4, and average 1.8 first-half goals in the last five (vs 0.8 for Barrow). Combining season-long and last-5 form yields estimated first-half probabilities: Barrow ~27%, draw ~34%, Chesterfield ~39%. Applying the same weighting to full-time gives estimated probabilities: Barrow ~31%, draw ~26%, Chesterfield ~43%. Multiplying these probabilities produces the highest likelihood for the 2/2 scenario (Chesterfield leading at the break and winning) at 16%, then X/2 at 15% and 2/1 at 12%; therefore I recommend the HT/FT bet "2/2".
View first-half and second-half statisticsHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barrow | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.12 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.29 | 0.38 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Chesterfield is 80% better for: last-5 form.
1 pts / match - Barrow · 1.8 pts / match - Chesterfield
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Chesterfield is 63% better for: goals scored per match.
0.95 goals / match - Barrow · 1.55 goals / match - Chesterfield
Chesterfield is 23% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.6 goals / match - Barrow · 1.3 goals / match - Chesterfield
Barrow scores in 63% of matches (25 of 40 matches), while Chesterfield keeps a clean sheet in 30% (12 of 40 matches).
Chesterfield scores in 88% of matches (35 of 40 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 18% (7 of 40 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barrow
Over / Under - Chesterfield
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Chesterfield is 48% better for: first-half form (half-time points).
0.98 pts / match - Barrow · 1.45 pts / match - Chesterfield
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 18% of matches and wins 20%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Chesterfield - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 35% of matches and wins 43%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.40 | 1.00 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.0 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 1.0 |
| Average goals in match | 0.8 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 60% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 100% | 60% |
| Goal difference | -4 | -2 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 1.40 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Goals conceded / match | 1.0 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.8 | 1.2 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 60% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 20% | 20% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 60% |
| No goal | 40% | 40% |
| Goal difference | -1 | 0 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (11 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (19). Late-goal balance (76-90): -13 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (16 goals). Concedes most in 31-45 (13). Late-goal balance (76-90): +8 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barrow
Chesterfield
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Barrow | Liga | Chesterfield | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.55 | 2.53 | ▲ 2.85 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 55% | 51% | ▲ 60% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 60% | 46% | ▲ 48% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 18% | 27% | ▲ 30% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 70% | 66% | ▲ 75% |
| Goal after half-time | • 78% | 78% | ▲ 83% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barrow 0 - 0 - 1 Chesterfield. Average goals 1.00, both teams scored in 0% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barrow vs Chesterfield?
The EFL League Two match finished Barrow 0:1 Chesterfield. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Barrow score 0.95 goals per game on average and Chesterfield 1.55. The EFL League Two average is 2.53 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 46% of games. Both teams score in 55% of Barrow's matches and 60% of Chesterfield's.
What form are Barrow and Chesterfield in?
Over the last 5 games Barrow have a 1-2-2 record (1.00 points per game) and Chesterfield 3-0-2 (1.80 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barrow vs Chesterfield?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barrow vs Chesterfield: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.