Barrow vs Gillingham: match statistics
Gillingham seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite the poor recent form of both teams. Barrow occupies 22nd position in the table with merely 20% wins at home and a catastrophic series of 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, scoring only 5 goals. The hosts have the worst home record (60% losses) and as many as 47% of matches without scoring a goal at their own ground. Gillingham, despite also having a poor streak, presents better away statistics: higher shot efficiency (10% vs 7%), more goals per match (1.13 vs 0.73), and better expected goals (xG 1.32 vs 1.21). The guests also have a better goal difference (-1 vs -11) and a higher percentage of clean sheets (25% vs 20%), which, given Barrow's weak offense, gives them a real chance for victory. Although a draw is possible due to Gillingham's 31% of draws away, the qualitative advantage of the guests favors the '2' selection.
Barrow vs Gillingham: form, goals and key statistics
Key match information
Barrow played Gillingham in EFL League Two (England). The match was played on 28 February 2026. Final score: 0:1.
Current form
Barrow: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match. Gillingham: 1-0-4, 0.60 points/match.
Goal statistics
Barrow scores 1.03 and concedes 1.56 goals per match. Gillingham scores 1.25 and concedes 1.28. League average: 2.57 goals.
BTTS / Over / Under
BTTS: Barrow 59%, Gillingham 56%. Over 2.5: Barrow 63%, Gillingham 44%. League level: BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
xG, shots and style
Gillingham has higher xG: 1.57 vs 1.25. Barrow: 10.9 shots per match, Gillingham: 13.8.
Match halves
Barrow: half-time lead 22%, second-half goals 0.47. Gillingham: half-time lead 19%, second-half goals 0.81.
Goals by minute
Barrow: 31-45+ (10 goals). Gillingham: 76-90+ (12 goals). This is historical distribution, not a predicted goal minute.
League context
League Two: 2.57 goals per match, BTTS 54%, Over 2.5 47%.
Head-to-head
Before this fixture, 1 previous H2H matches were available: 0-1-0. Average goals 4.00, BTTS 100%.
Archived pre-match analysis
This analysis was prepared before kick-off. The conclusions use only information available before the match and do not include the final result or post-match statistics.
General match analysis
Gillingham seems to be the favorite for this meeting despite the poor recent form of both teams. Barrow occupies 22nd position in the table with merely 20% wins at home and a catastrophic series of 4 defeats in the last 5 matches, scoring only 5 goals. The hosts have the worst home record (60% losses) and as many as 47% of matches without scoring a goal at their own ground. Gillingham, despite also having a poor streak, presents better away statistics: higher shot efficiency (10% vs 7%), more goals per match (1.13 vs 0.73), and better expected goals (xG 1.32 vs 1.21). The guests also have a better goal difference (-1 vs -11) and a higher percentage of clean sheets (25% vs 20%), which, given Barrow's weak offense, gives them a real chance for victory. Although a draw is possible due to Gillingham's 31% of draws away, the qualitative advantage of the guests favors the '2' selection.
View the statistical overviewHalf-by-half
Match statistics
Pre-match profile— what do the season numbers say?
This is a team profile based on season data and form. Match-flow statistics are shown only after the fixture is played.
Team stats— who is more efficient?
Attack and defence comparison for both teams in the current season.
Shooting quality
| Barrow | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|
| Accuracy (shots on target) | 30% | 33% |
| Chance quality (xG per shot) | 0.11 | 0.11 |
| Finishing (goals per shot on target) | 0.31 | 0.27 |
xG per shot around 0.08 usually means long-range attempts; 0.15+ usually means box chances. The style label comes from possession, shot volume and conversion.
* xG (expected goals) says how many goals a team should score from its chances. If actual goals are above xG, finishing is above average; if below xG, chances are being missed.
Team form— who is in better shape?
Last five matches and season record, overall and split by home and away matches.
Goals— how do both teams score and concede?
How many goals both teams score and concede, plus how often they keep a clean sheet or fail to score.
Gillingham is 21% better for: goals scored per match.
1.03 goals / match - Barrow · 1.25 goals / match - Gillingham
Gillingham is 22% better for: goals conceded per match.
1.56 goals / match - Barrow · 1.28 goals / match - Gillingham
Barrow scores in 69% of matches (22 of 32 matches), while Gillingham keeps a clean sheet in 22% (7 of 32 matches).
Gillingham scores in 75% of matches (24 of 32 matches), while Barrow keeps a clean sheet in 16% (5 of 32 matches).
How often they score at least...
How often they concede at least...
* Statistics include both teams' home and away matches in the current season.
Both teams scored (BTTS)— how often do both teams score?
How often both teams' matches have goals on both sides, compared with the league average.
Goal patterns
BTTS and goal count
Goal count (Over/Under)— how often do these matches cross the goal lines?
How often matches involving these teams clear goal thresholds, in the full match and in each half.
Full match - team comparison (Over)
Over / Under - Barrow
Over / Under - Gillingham
1st half
2nd half
Match halves— when do the teams score more often?
How teams split performance between first and second half: goals, points, clean sheets and half-time state.
Before half-time (1st half)
After half-time (2nd half)
Barrow - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 22% of matches and wins 22%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Concedes 0.2 more goals per match after half-time - defensive level drops in the second half.
Gillingham - second-half results
Leads at half-time in 19% of matches and wins 31%. Also wins matches without a half-time lead.
Defence stays stable across the full match.
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 1.20 | 0.80 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.6 | 0.4 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.4 | 1.2 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 1.6 |
| 1 goal | 60% | 80% |
| 2 goals | 40% | 40% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 40% |
| Clean sheet | 60% | 40% |
| No goal | 60% | 60% |
| Goal difference | +1 | -4 |
| 1st half | 2nd half | |
|---|---|---|
| Points per match | 0.80 | 0.60 |
| Goals scored / match | 0.2 | 0.2 |
| Goals conceded / match | 0.8 | 0.6 |
| Average goals in match | 1.0 | 0.8 |
| 1 goal | 80% | 60% |
| 2 goals | 20% | 20% |
| 3 goals | 0% | 0% |
| Clean sheet | 40% | 40% |
| No goal | 80% | 80% |
| Goal difference | -3 | -2 |
* Colours in tables show event frequency: green is common, yellow is moderate, red is rare. It is frequency, not a team rating.
Goals by minute— when do goals arrive?
Match phases in which both teams most often score and concede.
Most dangerous in minutes 31-45 (10 goals). Concedes most in 76-90 (14). Late-goal balance (76-90): -9 - late phases are a weakness.
Most dangerous in minutes 76-90 (12 goals). Concedes most in 0-15 (10). Late-goal balance (76-90): +3 - wins late phases.
* Buckets 31-45 and 76-90 include added-time goals.
Additional team indicators— what do xG, efficiency and form show?
A comparison of chance quality, results and trends based on completed matches from the current season.
Match profile
Barrow
Gillingham
* The estimated goal total and split, BTTS estimate, 0:0 risk and goal range are calculated from public season averages and frequencies for both teams. This is a statistical match profile, not a private model prediction or betting pick. The remaining indicators describe completed matches from the season.
League context— is this a high-scoring league?
How both teams compare with league-wide averages (League Two).
Teams vs league
| Barrow | Liga | Gillingham | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Average goals in match | • 2.59 | 2.57 | • 2.53 |
| Both teams scored | ▲ 59% | 54% | ▲ 56% |
| Min. 3 goals (Over 2.5) | ▲ 63% | 47% | ▼ 44% |
| Clean sheets | ▼ 16% | 26% | ▼ 22% |
| Goal before half-time | ▲ 72% | 69% | ▼ 56% |
| Goal after half-time | ▲ 78% | 76% | ▲ 78% |
^ green = above league average, ˇ red = below league average. This shows direction of the gap, not a team rating.
Lineups and player events
Verified starters, substitutes and recorded player events for this match.
Home team
Starting lineup
Away team
Starting lineup
Match timeline
Goals, cards and substitutions arranged in chronological order.
Referee and managers
Open their season profiles to compare match records, goals and disciplinary trends.
Referee context
See how often this referee shows cards, awards penalties and how their matches tend to finish.
Head-to-head
Previous meeting: Barrow 0 - 1 - 0 Gillingham. Average goals 4.00, both teams scored in 100% matches.
FAQ
What was the result of Barrow vs Gillingham?
The EFL League Two match finished Barrow 0:1 Gillingham. Full match statistics, the half-by-half breakdown and head-to-head are on this page.
What do the goal statistics show before Barrow vs Gillingham?
Barrow score 1.03 goals per game on average and Gillingham 1.25. The EFL League Two average is 2.57 goals, with Over 2.5 landing in 47% of games. Both teams score in 59% of Barrow's matches and 56% of Gillingham's.
What form are Barrow and Gillingham in?
Over the last 5 games Barrow have a 1-0-4 record (0.60 points per game) and Gillingham 1-0-4 (0.60 points per game).
Where can I find a betting tip and analysis for Barrow vs Gillingham?
Here you can check the pre-match numbers for Barrow vs Gillingham: form, H2H, goals and Over/Under. The pick itself, value and reasoning are published in the NoFluffPicks app.